In response to Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) noting that two months ago the Administration (like the MNDFL) told us that non-citizens weren’t voting, or even registering, and now the DOJ is suing to keep the on the voter rolls, Elon Musk responded:
The cycle repeats again:
1. It’s not happening 2. Ok, it’s happening 3. It’s happening and that’s good 4. Use government to force it to happen https://t.co/lalQKXd60J
Visited a different church this weekend, and heard a new song. The musicians on stage played and sang. The congregation was instructed to shout, “That’s My King” when appropriate. Like all modern churches, they have giant tv screens hanging above the stage showing the words. I’ll skip to the part of the song that I found interesting:
That’s my God That’s my shepherd My protector That’s my king
That’s my rock That’s my anchor My defender That’s my king
Most Americans think of “king” as a picture on a playing card, not a part of the government. We mistakenly believe Our Precious Democracy is the ultimate form of government. I think that’s simplistic and dangerous. The Seventeenth Amendment, the effort to pack the Supreme Court, the demand to abolish the electoral college, these all move us away from checks-and-balances and toward absolute rule by whomever counts the ballots.
One need only look to the French Revolution to see why pure mob rule is a terrible idea. Elections aren’t everything – Hitler, Castro and Putin won their elections, too. Ben Franklin quipped: “Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for dinner.” Robert Heinlein wrote: “A king is the people’s only protection against tyranny . . . especially against the worst of all tyrants, themselves.”
Throughout history before the Constitution, the most common form of government was kingship, partly because Might Makes Right, but also partly because Stability Brings Order. The subjects owe allegiance to their king, sure, but as the song from church points out, kings have a responsibility to their subjects, to protect them from enemies foreign and domestic. When there’s a vacancy on the throne, there’s chaos in foreign relations and confusion in domestic politics. That’s one reason some Founders wanted George Washington to agree to be king. He was a natural leader and a gracious gentleman whom ordinary people could admire and respect.
Looking around at the chaos caused by the vacant Rose Garden Throne in America today, and considering the two contestants for the office, only one strikes me as the sort of leader who can inspire people to pick themselves up, dust themselves off, and get busy restoring this nation to greatness. Only one of them is fit to be king.
Joe Doakes
Some historian – I forget who – described the British monarchy of myth, from its origins until probably the 1600s, as the old-world equivalent of Mafia factions duking it out for the position of Capo di Tutti Capi, only with no FBI to prevent slop-over to the wider society. It took over 400 years, from the Magna Carta to the bitter end of the English Civil War, to turn the British monarchy into the most relatively small-l liberal significant monarchy (shaddap about Denmark) in the modern world.
And the greatest glory of the American experiment was that we were able to not only short-circuit that 400 years of dynastic tree-pruning and blood-batheing, but do it via elections and an orderly process, and implement it in 15 short years and keep it running smoothly for almost 250.
Who’s the best choice to try to keep that record going?
SCENE: In a conference room at the MN DFL headquarters. Chair Ken Martin is sitting along one side of the table with Gretel STROMBERG and Inge “Lucky” CARROLL, the executive director and chief social media meme-buffer at “Minnesotans United for All Progressive Causes”, the state’s primary non-profit political action committee that is no way, no how connected with the DFL, you racist pig. Across the table sits Chad MANBUNFRONDSON, upper midwest outreach director for the Harris/Walz campaign
MANBUNFRONDSON: So for some reason the Harris/Walz campaign is having trouble among men, especially whyte men.
Democrats are shocked, shocked, that Trump is talking about using the guard “on citizens” (who are rioting and destroying cities).
Joe Doakes, formerly of Como Park, emails:
Eisenhower sent the 101st Airborne to Little Rock to keep order while they integrated the schools.
He used the military against segregationists, the enemy within, his political foes.
Was that wrong? Was Eisenhower also Hitler, same as Trump?
Kennedy also sent the regular Army to help quell anti-desegregation riots at the University of Mississippi. To be fair, modern Democrats, at least the ones in MInneapolis, likely think of Kennedy as a fascist today, too.
As a good American of rural Scandinavian/Scottish descent, I’m rarely given to sharing optimism publicly. It’s just not in the DNA.
And, as always, I’m a Trump skeptic.
The race could still swing either way; there’s a week left for October Surprises (although have of them, mathematically, would be November surprises).
But over the weekend, the Real Clear Politics average finally showed Trump up in their polling average.
The margin is well within the margin of error – like, in the margin of error’s upper GI tract. But this is the first lead of any kind Trump has had in the RCP average since Harris’s “surge” after defenestrating the Potato. And if it holds until Election Day, it’ll be the first time Trump has ever led the RCP average at election time – 2016, 2020 or this year.
Now, I never bought the “Red Wave” hype in 2022, and I’m not getting on board any bandwagons this year either. But I think two, maybe three, stories over the weekend got me thinking.
Lifeboats
VIrginia hasn’t gone Republican, IIRC, since the ’84 landlside.
Harris is still up, but the change in momentum is pretty clear. If Harris is going to have to fight to defend Virginia, that could make for a very long election night for her, and a much shorter one for me.
Self-Inflicted
Over the weekend, NBC News started to rip off the bandaid – Arab-Americans in MIchigan are…not very warm to Harris:
[Michigan state represetnative Abanas] Farhat said the Democratic Party “has missed several key opportunities” to reassure Arab American voters concerned about Gaza. One glaring oversight, he said, is the ongoing decision to supply Israel with weapons for its military campaign in the enclave. He also points to how the Democratic National Convention did not allow a Palestinian American affected by the war to speak, despite giving a platform to the parents of Hersh Goldberg-Polin, a slain Israeli American who was abducted by Hamas on Oct. 7, 2023.
“The time for listening — we’re beyond that now,” Farhat said. “We’re in a phase where constituencies like mine are demanding action in the form of policy change, not just rhetoric change, but in seeing a party that for years this community has been loyal to, standing up for them.”
It’d be reasonable to read the NBC piece and conclude that Harris could lose Michigan’s Arabs – and, possibly, Michigan itself – rather than Trump winning it.
At the Suburban Collection Showplace, 46100 Grand River Ave., a group of Muslim imams from the Michigan Chapter of the Arab American Bar Association took the stage to endorse Trump, expressing their support for his stance on ending the wars in the Middle East.
“We as Muslims stand with President Trump because he promises peace not war,” one of the imams said. “We are supporting Donald Trump because he promised to end war in the Middle East and Ukraine.”
The imams voiced a shared desire for peace, emphasizing that their communities want to see an end to these wars. Joining them was the mayor of Dearborn Heights, Bill Bazzi, who also took the stage to endorse Trump.
I did not have that on my bingo card. Speaking of candidate just losing states…
Worse
Remember 2016? When Hillary only carried MInnesota by two points?
The Conventional wisdom was not that Trump almost won, but that Hillary almost lost; that Hillary was an unlikeable, bad candidate.
So my question, amid the usual overheated rumors that Trump is contending in Minnesota – and I’ve asked this of a number of Republicans – is this: is Harris a better candidate and more likeable, presidential candidate than Killary?
Do the world a favor and vote against Karl Procaccini:
A friend of the blog notes, for those with shorter and less-photographic memories:
He was the legal architect of the lockdown in MN. His appointment was payback for his ability to defend any bad judgment policy Walz had, constitution be damned. Hack. Don’t vote for him, don’t leave it blank, vote for his opponent.
He’s basically Tim Walz’s hired legal help.
It’ll take a miracle to affect a SCOM race – but if we don’t work for miracles, they never happen.
As noted earlier, the polls look all right for Trump – far better, in fact, than in 2016 and 2020.
But there’s no way to know what’s baked into the “special sauce” in the polls. Did they overcorrect from their embarassing showing in 2016 and 2020? Did they over-overcorrect for 2022? There’s no way to know.
I want to make sure readers understand that, given the closeness of this race, the unpredictability (and inevitability) of polling error, and the Electoral College geography, a Harris/Walz victory remains plausible. You are permitted here, for a moment, to luxuriate in the irony that minorities are now the “problem” for Democrats — increasingly detached from what progressives arrogantly assumed would be a permanent relationship of political patronage. But MAGA types should save the smugness for now, if for no other reason than that Harris’s victory, should it emerge, will be properly interpreted as a direct rebuke to them.
I early-voted yesterday – something I’d never have thought about four years ago.
It took an hour to get into the polling station. This was in Roseville, MN – a very blue suburb.
Beyond the presidency – flipping the MN House, and ending the ravages of the “Trifecta”, is also at stake.
Two years ago, I resisted the “Red Wave” hype – it never quite smelled right to me.
This year? “It’s Trump’s race to lose” is a little more plausible – and thus, more dangerous.
As I write this, Kamala Harris’s lead in the Real Clear Politics average has shrunk to under a point, while Trump’s lead in the seven battleground states that’ll likely decide the election is approaching a point. That’s all within the margin of error – but polls tend to undercount Trump, and he’s outperforming both his previous bouts.
So, yes, Trump will be elected as the 47th president of the United States, and the liberal talking heads will melt down just as they did in 2016. But what matters most is what happens after the election, and whether the experience of Americans will reflect renewed prosperity, a safer world, and respect for tradition and common sense. Many will try to prevent that, but making America great again should be a unifying goal. “Ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.”
I’m not sure the Democrats can let the nation have a peaceful, prosperous four years without repercussions.
I don’t need a lot of reasons not to vote for Kamala Harris next week. I’ve documented many of them.
She’s vapid.
World leaders – the ones that aren’t really just French or British or German version of her, anyway (including the Cartel leaders, who are the de facto leaders of Mexico and are world leaders in a sense in their own right) – have contempt for her, and are clearly drooling at the things they’ll be able to get away with if the American people screw this up.
The policies she does support are disasters, for the economy, liberty and the American republic.
She’s not a lot better at assembling a coherent thought than Biden, or go offscript without screwing up than Trump.
And that’s enough.
But it ain’t everything.
She’s got a pretty tenuous grasp of right and wrong.
The LIttle Girl Who Cried “Hitler”
Out of useful ideas, the Giggles/Piglet camaign is resorting to perhaps the Dems’ most loathsome trope: their opponents are “Nazis” and “Fascists”.
Auschwitz Survivor, Jerry Wartski: “I know more about Hitler than Kamala will ever know in a thousand lifetimes. For her to accuse President Trump of being like Hitler is the worst thing I've ever heard in my 75 years of living in the United States." pic.twitter.com/KXwCr9Gz8L
I stay pretty relentlessly civil – but there is nothing more loathsome, in part because it trivializes one of the most evil ideologies in history to try to win votes from stupid people.
For which she should rot.
Then there’s the little matter of her own little problem with authoritarianism.
“My Authoritaaaaaaaaah”
Giggles clearly enjoys the perks – the power – of being in office.
And flexing that power – especially against those who can’t defend themselves against her:
One of the most brutal ads you’ve ever seen against a politician. Wow. Just watch. 🔥🔥🔥 https://t.co/pPhtYARzwJ
During a hearing to repeal abortion regulations, including protections for infants who survive abortions, Rep. Scott asks Rep. Liebling when a baby becomes a human. Rep Liebling calls the question “completely irrelevant.” pic.twitter.com/Il8oCUODcH
SCENE: Mitch BERG is glueing a board full of protruding tacks under the surface of a May Lor Xiong campaign sign, when Avery LIBRELLE rides up in an even weirder looking recumbent.
LIBRELLE: Merg!
BERG: (Visibly stifling annoyance): Oh, hey, Av…
LIBRELLE: Shut up. “Trump held a rally in the same place where they held…”
BERG: “Several Democrat national conventions?”
LIBRELLE: “No, it was…”
BERG: Several nights of the most recent Billy Joel tours?
LIBRELLE: No, it was…
BERG: Several Democrat national conventions, including both of Jimmy Carter’s nominations and Bill Clinton’s 1992 coronation?
LIBRELLE: Knock it off!
BERG: Led Zeppelin had a concert there. They filmed it. I think it was called…
LIBRELLE: Don’t!
BERG: “The Triumph Of The Will Remains The Same!”
LIBRELLE: I hate you.
BERG: “The all-star 1979 ‘No Nukes’ concerts?”
LIBRELLE: “NO! It was…”
BERG: I got it! Where former GOP presidential candidate Wendell Willkie led 20,000 African Americans in June, 1943 in the largest Civil Rights rally of its era, calling for equal rights and for victory against Hitler.
Walter Hudson is a first-term representative from Albertville. He’s been in the minority his entire legislative career – so has been able to have relatively little legislative impact.
And. yet the DFL is spending a lot of effort trying to sandbag him – clipping one of his speeches out of context (maybe more on that next week, and possibly on the show this weekend)…
…scant weeks before joining the team that defenestrated the POTATUS for being to senile to campaign (but not hold the nuclear football until late January).
Shooting at steel targets – at 10 yards. That’s pretty much guaranteed to richochet.
Eye protection? Kinzinger apparently wanted to protect his hairdo.
Oh, yeah – they had a box of Tannerite on the firing line. If that ricochet had hit that instead of the reporter, it would have made a bigger headline than a boom.
Here’s hoping that reporter’s insurance company takes Kunce to court (I have little. hope he’d do it of his own volition).
So – how is that battle for blue-collar guys going?
[1] UPDATE: I’m told the title is “JAG Officer”, short for Judge Advocate General Officer, or military lawyer.
A newly released analysis of fiscal policy ranked all 50 states with Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds’ state coming in first and Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz in last.
The libertarian Cato Institute released the report, which graded states by spending, revenue and taxes. The top ten states in the rankings starting at the top are Iowa, Nebraska, West Virginia, Arkansas, South Dakota, Montana, Hawaii, Georgia, Idaho, and Vermont…
In 2019, Walz’s budget would have added ‘$2 billion more in new spending and taxes would increase by $1.3 billion to pay for it, with the rest of the money coming from an existing surplus.’ But he compromised with the legislature, and the final tax increase was about $330 million annually. Walz also pushed for higher gas taxes and higher vehicle fees to raise about $1 billion annually for transportation, but those increases were rejected.
Walz pushed for more tax hikes in 2021. He proposed adding a new individual income tax rate of 10.85 percent above the current top rate of 9.85 percent, a surtax on capital gains and dividends, and a hike to the corporate tax rate from 9.8 percent to 11.25 percent. The proposals—which would have raised about $1.6 billion annually—were rejected by the legislature…
Walz hit the middle class with HF 2887, which raised taxes and fees on vehicles and transportation. The increases included indexing the gas tax for inflation, increasing vehicle registration taxes, raising fees on deliveries, and raising sales taxes in the Twin Cities area.
SCENE: In a conference room at the MN DFL headquarters. Chair Ken Martin is sitting along one side of the table with Gretel STROMBERG and Inge “Lucky” CARROLL, the executive director and chief social media meme-buffer at “Minnesotans United for All Conservative Causes”, the state’s primary non-profit political action committee that is no way, no how connected with the DFL, you racist pig. Across the table sits Chad MANBUNFRONDSON, upper midwest outreach director for the Harris/Walz campaign.
MANBUNFRONDSON: So here’s the new ad we’re thinking to get out the vote in Minnesota.
(MARTIN, CARROLL and STROMBERG look at each other. The silence is a little awkward).
MARTIN (finally): It’s pure genius!
(CARROLL and STROMBERG applaud politely in the background)
MANBUNFRONDSON: We just figured that after seeing her husband’s performance during Covid, where treating the state like a bunch of addled infants for 19 months got him re-elected, that we literally couldn’t go broke betting on the stupidity of MInnesotans.
STROMBERG and CARROLL (simultaneously): You got that right.
MANBUNFRONDSON: So, presuming the media vetted the Governor and his wife sufficiently…
(MARTIN, CARROLL and STROMBERG look awkwardly at each other. before bursting out laughing. MANBUNFRONSON, late to the joke, joins them).
MANBUNFRONSON: (Catching is breath) Yeah, I know. No matter how often I come here, I still can’t get used to this place.
MARTIN (Summoning a butler with a clap of his hands): Let’s celebrate!
And People can vote for whoever they want to. It’s still a fairly free country.
But I’ve had a few people in my circle say they’re voting for Harris and Walz to “save democracy”.
When I read that ,I try to grasp how much one must ignore – willfully or not – to believe that Harris and Walz [2] support the American republican (small-r) system of popular, federalist government.
How do I count the ways?
1. Harris wants to abolish the Filibuster.
So what, you say? The filibuster gets in the way of “Getting things done?”
That’s the point. Most of what makes America great is that unless there is *overwhelming* agreement about something, it’s either going to get watered down, or just go away.
And that’s a good thing – a 50%+1 vote majority can’t jam everything it wants down on the other 49%. Both sides are *accountable*, and both sides *matter*.
WIthout the filibuster, the US will turn into France or Greece – with policies seesawing back and forth with changes in power.
Getting rid of the filibuster destroys a key pillar of trying to run a country where people don’t necessarily always agree with, or even like, each other.
Governor Walz, for his part, ran a snitch line, and signed into law a “thoughtime database”. There is no way for a citizen to get *into* the database or find out what’s in it.
It’s not just Harris, and it isn’t just statements from 2019:
Which is, literally, a promise to disinform the public.
If a Republican had done anything of the sort, Democrats would be screaming about the “chilling effect on dissent and democracy” that is.
*And they’d be right*.
3. Harris supports gutting the 2nd and 4th Amendments.
Since you’ll ask – the 1st and 2nd Amendments *are* litmus tests to me. How someone treats your right to speak, your freedom of conscience, to organize, and to protect your life, family, property, community and freedom, tells you a lot about how they’d treat other civil rights.
My whole life, the Supreme Court (SCOTUS) has been left-of-center or (from about 2000 to 2017) pretty much deadlocked. Democrats were fine with that – “elections have consequences”. So we conservatives got some good SCOTUS appointments – and the Democrats are going crazy:
https://kamalaharris.com/issues/
“[Harris] will also support common-sense Supreme Court reforms—like requiring Justices to comply with ethics rules that other federal judges are bound by and imposing term limits—to address the crisis of confidence facing the Supreme Court.”
And who’s going to enforce those rules and limits?
The executive branch.
The Supreme Court, which is supposed to check and balance the power of the Executive and Legislative branches, will become subordinate to the President; the executive branch will be able to yank the leash of any justice that displeases them.
If you don’t think that’s a direct attack on how “democracy” is run, I’d love to hear how.
The Electoral College (EC), along with the structure of the Senate, was part of the agreement that smaller states – Delaware, Rhode Island, Vermont – made with the bigger ones (Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, New York) to ensure that American “democracy” wouldn’t turn into the equivalent of “two foxes and a chicken voting on what’s for breakfast”.
Without the EC, the President will always be decided by California, New York, Pennsylvania, Florida, Texas and maybe Ohio. There will be no need for Presidential candidates to even show up outside those states.
And it’d violate the contract by which the smaller states agreed to share power with the Federal Government. And what happens when you violate a contract? [3]
6. And all of that is just about “protecting democracy itself”.
It doesn’t get into the many other reasons I could never support Harris or Walz.
– A foreign policy that *enables and encourages* the likes of Xi, Putin and the Mullahs. Diplomacy only works if it’s combined with the sense that there’s a nasty surprise behind it. Harris – the “last person in the room” – has been involved in more Biden administration fiascoes than any human should be allowed to; the Afghan collapse, Ukraine (Biden publicly told Putin he could invade *just a little* [4]), and the conflagration in the MIddle East (hint: saying “Israel has a right to exist, BUT they need to give Hamas and Hezb’allah a cease fire so they can re-arm, reorganize and try to exterminate Jews again later is *not* a coherent policy).
(Trump, for all his flaws, brought more progress than the Middle East has seen since 1978. Harris and Biden are benefitting, btw, from that – the fact that the Saudis, Egyptians and Jordan aren’t joining in with Iran against the Israelis is something kind of new.)
And for all the palaver about Trump “disrespecting” NATO, it served its purpose – starting NATO on the path toward becoming a serious defensive military alliance, rather than yet another bureaucratic salon.
Look, Trump is far from perfect – I didn’t vote for him in 2016, and I remain a Trump skeptic on many levels. I can’t stand his personality cult (or any personality cult in politics).
But January 6 was a riot, and even the FBI has cleared Trump of any substantial involvement. His statements about the 2020 election were way out of line…
…BUT even if Trump *was* trying to undercut democracy, our federalist system *did its job*, exactly as designed. In the grand scheme of things, nothing Trump did (or was alleged to have done) affected the handover of power, or the functioning of our institutions.
But the things Harris is proposing [5]? They WOULD change how our democracy works. Very much for the worse. They are a bigger threat to American self-government than anything Trump did, and certainly more than anything he’s *seriously(* proposed doing [6].
Joy doesn’t keep the world safe. Brat vibes don’t put food on the table. The American federalist system is stronger than mean tweets.
So I’m voting for Trump – *to protect our democracy”.
(PS – I’m a relentlessly civil guy. But responding with one of those passive-aggressive “laugh” emojis is going to get you called out).
[1] But everyone else is doing it, so sue me. Not literally, of course. It’s still a free-ish country – Walz’s “thoughtcrime” database notwithstanding.
[2] When I say “Harris” or “Walz”, I’m also including plenty of prominent Democrats who are likely to be influential in any administration they run.
[3] “Haha, Merg. That was settled in 1865!”. Well, no. It was settled in 1776.
[4] The “Just the tip” of diplomacy – and as we’ve seen this past two years, it’s worked about as well on the world stage as it did after prom.
[5] Saying “That was 2019! She’s changed!” ain’t gonna cut it. She herself says “My principles haven’t changed”. And if you’re holding things Trump said in 2006, in completely different contexts, against him, we need to have a word about this.
[6] And if you come back and say “he SAID he wants to be a dictator on day one!”, that was yet another dishonest edit. He’s going to roll back a slew of Biden executive orders, and reinstate a few of his own – all legitimate Presidential duties. Getcher shinebox.
SCENE: Mitch BERG is walking to a GOP fundraiser in one of the Twin Cities. He walks around a corner and almost slams into a distracted Avery LIBRELLE.
BERG: Er, excuse me…oh, hi, Aver…
LIBRELLE: Shut up Merg. Drumpf did a completely fake staged appearance at that McDonalds!
BERG: Huh. A politician doing a staged, fake appearance for purely political reasons?
LIBRELLE: Yes and…hey, the world is going cloudy. What’s up?
The driver got fired – but the story hasn’t quite gone away yet.
Secretary of State Simon rained down his anger…
…on the courier.
I just talked to MN Sec of State Steve Simon who didn’t hold back in his criticism of the courier who left Hennepin County ballots unattended for nearly 10 minutes in an open vehicle on Friday. Says he was “upset” that “one bonehead” put trust in our election system at risk. pic.twitter.com/jiCG0t7nP9
But it turns out, the bonehead was anyone who believed Steve Simon when he said Minnesota had the bestest, mostest sucurest election system in the universe.
This is a violation of the law that Simon is supposed to enforce:
Forget for a moment that this episode occurred on the orders of Bill Clinton’s disastrous Attorney General, to placate Fidel Castro (who is no way no how Justin Trudeau’s father).
It’s also crap; employer ID verification backed with police enforcement will do the vast majority of the deporting, as people head back south of the border to avoid trouble.
Just like they did after 2017.
(This could, one day, be a Minnesota Highway Patrolman grabbing a kid whose custodial mom wants to trans him, from his father…)