It’s July 1.
And Mark Dayton, amazingly, is still “in office”.
And that means my entry in the Dayton Retirement Pool is officially out of the running.
Best of luck to the rest of you.
It’s July 1.
And Mark Dayton, amazingly, is still “in office”.
And that means my entry in the Dayton Retirement Pool is officially out of the running.
Best of luck to the rest of you.
This is actually a post about state politics. But there’s a tangent.
Along about thirty years ago, Holly Dunn – a twangy honky-tonk girl, and one of the highlights of country-western music at a time when the genre was still suffering through the last of its “crossover” mania – had a huge, but controversial, hit with “Maybe I Mean Yes”.
It was a bouncy ditty about romantic mind games. It was also controversial, even in those much less silly times, among feminists for, according to the PC police of the era, “making rape and domestic abuse acceptable”; the teapot-tempest thereafter caused a few country stations to pull the single, making Holly Dunn one of the first casualties of modern political correctness – which is a shame, because most of your Gretchen Wilsons and Miranda Lamberts owe her a huge debt.
But this article isn’t about eighties honky-tonk music. It’s about Governor Flint-Smith.
Dayton. Governor Dayton. Sorry. I have no idea how that happened.
In a legislative session in which the Governor’s “top priority” changed from spending the surplus to, literally, “everything” as a top priority, to synchronizing traffic lights to taking farmland out of production to transportation something or another to passing a universal pre-kindergarten bill that neither the legislature nor school administrators statewide wanted (but the teachers union does) to trying to justify Rebecca Otto’s electoral existence, it should be no surprise that he’s changed “top priorities” again:
Gov. Mark Dayton on Monday said he was dropping his insistence that lawmakers change language dealing with county audits but cited three other, previously unmentioned, objections to the Legislature’s special session plans.
Just last Thursday the DFL governor said that he and the House’s “major remaining difference” had to do with the state auditor. But on Monday, he said that he and the House were still in disagreement over three other issues: funding for programs for the disabled and mentally ill, energy net metering and lower electric rates for industries in northeastern Minnesota.
Apparently, the GOP House and DFL Senate majorities are doing better at reaching agreements than Dayton figured.
Oh, yeah. If we take care of these three “top priorities”, he’s got a bunch more waiting in the wings:
“Before I can call a special session, it remains necessary for us to reach agreements,” on the three other issues, Dayton wrote. He also listed four other issues –an increase in broadband grants, funding for a new sex offender facility, rail grade crossing safety projects and clarification of language dealing with Rochester’s Destination Medical Center — that he urged be addressed.
When the Governor says “shut down”, he means maybe, and then maybe he means yes.
Senator Thompson – who will be a guest on the NARN on Saturday – pretty well nailed the Governor’s tantrum:
And Andy Aplikowski, on Facebook, made the sterling point that Governor Dayton is touring the state trying to convince Minnesotans he “cares about children”…
…with his Lieutenant Governor, Tina Flint-Smith, former executive butcherette of Planned Parenthood (aka “The Vandalia Abattoir”).
This past week has been a really, really bad one for Governor Dayton and anyone who thinks he’s ready for prime time as a governor.
First, it the promise (since delivered) of a veto of the
K-12 E-12 bill over a few hundred million in spending that a bipartisan majority in the Legislature had already turned down (in support of a program that nobody but Education Minnesota really wants).
And now? He’s accusing Republicans of “hating teachers”.
Which certainly perked up my ears, what with having a father, two grandparents and a little sister who’ve been teachers.
Oh, yeah – Sondra Erickson, also a teacher, was not amused:
Rep. Sondra Erickson, R-Princeton, who chairs the House Education Policy Committee said Dayton should apologize for the remark.
In a statement, Erickson said:
“As a public school teacher with nearly four decades in public school classrooms, I am disappointed with Governor Dayton’s disrespectful remarks. Minnesotans expect their public officials to respectfully debate the issues facing our state without resorting to personal attacks. Republicans and Democrats passed a bipartisan budget that underscored our commitment to students and teachers including significant investments in proven early learning programs. Teachers deserve nothing but great respect because of their dedication to prepare our children with knowledge and skills for the future. Closing the achievement gap requires only the highest regard for those who teach and lead our children. I respectfully request that the governor apologize for his remarks.”
Of course, he’s not going to do it. I fact, look for them to double down.
Because that’s page 1 of the Democrat messaging handbook. Question how veterans benefits are paid for? “Why do Republicans hate veterans?”.
Dispute global warming? “Why do Republicans hate science?”.
Don’t like abortion, and think identity feminism has done a lot of damage? “It’s a war on women!”.
Push back against a pork-barrel program that will at best do nothing useful for the vast majority of kids, but will plump up Education Minnesota’s and the DFL’s coffers? “Republicans hate teachers!”.
And the thing is, 40-odd percent of Minnesota voters are stupid enough to buy it.
Why would he apologize?
Here’s the good news: over the weekend, an overwhelming, bipartisan majority of Republicans and Democrats, in both the House and Senate, voted for the public safety omnibus bill as finalized by the conference committee.
How overwhelming was the majority?
Here’s how overwhelming:
That is a veto proof majority in both the House and the DFL-controlled Senate.
How important is this? This bill will:
So that’s the good news.
The Bad News – Governor
Flint- Smith Dayton has said that he will veto the bill, over the suppressor provision.
Of course, the photo above – the votes for a bipartisan, vetoproof majority passing the bill – might give Governor
Flint-Smith Dayton pause. Getting a veto overridden is embarrassing.
You know what else would give
her him pause?
We’ll talk about that at noon.
Joe Doakes from Como Park emails:
In the olden days, waitresses got paid less than minimum wage and made it up in tips. If you didn’t tip, you were stiffing her wages. The rule of thumb was 15-20% to cover her wages and the quality of her service.
Now they’ve changed the law so waitresses get minimum wage. So, why am I tipping 15-20%? Not to make up wages, you already got that. For quality service? Okay, what’s the percentage for quality service?
If Mark Dayton and the DFL already covered her wages for me, then my “quality of service” tip should be 5-10% instead of 15-20%, right? I haven’t noticed restaurants re-programming the helpful chart on their receipts. Am I missing something?
No, Joe. You’re not.
Let’s flash back:
2012: Heading for what looks like a tough mid-term, Governor
Messinger Dayton promises he’ll lower property taxes for “middle class Minnesotans”…
…many of whom seem blissfully, gullibly unaware that the state government has absolutely nothing to do with property taxes, which are levied by county commissions and school districts. Oh, the state increased “Local Government Aid” (mostly to Minneapolis and Saint Paul) – but for a majority of Minnesotans, property taxes increased, promise notwithstanding.
Flint-Smith Dayton promises to work to synchronize traffic lights throughout Minnesota.
Notwithstanding the fact that the timing of traffic lights is controlled entirely by local public works departments, and it’s not a promise Governor
Flint-Smith Dayton can deliver on. Ever.
But smart people already know this.
Which says exactly what about the DFL’s audience? And about what they think about our state’s voters?
Up until 1974, Minnesotans didn’t need a permit, or a sheriff’s permission, or a card costing $100, to exercise their Second Amendment right to carry a firearm. Minnesotans could carry anything they wanted, subject to their criminal record; they could do it anywhere they wanted to subject to their senses of etiquette.
From 1974 to 2005, Minnesotans had to beg, convince, or suck up to their local police chief to exercise their Second Amendment rights. And since 2004, Minnesotans have had to pay for the privilege of having Minnesota law-enforcement try to prove they weren’t legally entitled to exercise their Second Amendment rights.
So over the context of the past 40 years, things are moving generally in the right direction.
But there is a proposal of footage, floating around somewhere in the legislature, to adopt “Constitutional Carry” – as several other states around the union have. Constitutional Carry means that any law-abiding citizen can carry a firearm, openly or concealed, as long as they don’t have a criminal record that would deny that ride.
Not only is that exactly the way Minnesota law stood before 1974 – it is, in effect, exactly the way it is today; The law abiding jump through hoops to exercise their right to carry, and criminals carry anyway. Just as they did before 1974.
The actual record is clear and unequivocal; law-abiding citizens in Minnesota are phenomenally unlikely, statistically, to commit any kind of crime of all:
I think the proposal is a good one; Gov. Dayton will veto it, of course, but before that we will get some votes on the table before 2016.
But after 40 years of having to pay, and submit to scrutiny, to exercise our God given constitutional rights, I think we need to have a proposal with more teeth to it.
I think we need a Mandatory Carry law.
Under my law, all law-abiding citizens over the age of 21 will be required to have a firearm on their person.
Now, anyone who doesn’t want to have a firearm will be able to exercise that right – by getting a “Permit to Not Carry”. This permit can be gotten one of two ways:
I think that would be perfectly fair. Or, at least, bring a form of Justice after this past 40 years.
The DFL controlled Minnesota state senate– perhaps concerned about the optics of giving massive pay raises to government officials in the state where in the “economic recovery” is affecting mainly, well, government officials – rejected Gov. Dayton’s call for the massive pain increases yesterday.
And Gov. Dayton is…
… well, not happy about it:
“Now I know how President Obama feels. I’m confronted with two hostile bodies of the Legislature,” Dayton told reporters hours after the state Senate voted overwhelmingly to put the brakes on the big salary increases to commissioners that Dayton had ordered.
Dayton said he trusted Republican House Speaker Kurt Daudt but would no longer deal with Bakk without someone else in room.
It’s not news; Tom Bakk and Mark Dayton don’t get along. It’s hard to blame Bock; the Iron Range is drifting slowly to the right, but Dayton’s administration is a wholly owned subsidiary of big metro money.
Maybe there is some devious political maneuvering behind what seems to a political layperson like an outburst, a tantrum. It’s entirely possible; I’m just not that bright.
But I’m wondering if this, here, might not be relevant sooner than later.
I was listening to Jack Tomczak talking with AFSCME’s Javier Morillo on the lesser talk station yesterday, about the Dayton pay raises.
Morillo said, out of one corner of his mouth, that there is no way you could find people in the private sector who deal with headcounts and budgets like these administrators do, at the same pay, even with the raises.
And there may be something to that. Most people who can hold their own in the private sector and look for more out of a career than a pension (outside of law enforcement and fire, the military, teachers and a few other fields) look at government work as a purgatory of eternal frustration and career stagnation.
But out of the other side of his mouth, he said that the salaries still aren’t competitive with the private sector.
So if the salaries are not competitive, the “talent” still isn’t going to get attracted from the private sector (or, apparently, local government). So why have the raises?
It doesn’t make sense as a “talent acquisition” measure; Morillo admitted as much.
But as an expanded payoff to the political class?
There, it makes perfect sense.
When was Mark Dayton’s last alcoholic relapse?
What sort of psychotropic medications is he on? And why?
Our media here in the Twin Cities doesn’t think you, mere peasant, have a “need to know”.
But never let it be said the Twin Cities media won’t hold big government’s feet in the fire over the tough issues!
Because, boy howdy, they sure will!
UPDATE: The contest now has a prize.
The winner of this contest gets a $150 gift certificate at the St. Paul Grill. So you can eat – for a night, anyway – like the DFL plutocrats who rule you!
Gift certificate courtesy the sponsorship of…
… Well, I can’t actually say. They want to remain anonymous. I can neither confirm nor deny that it’s the Koch brothers. I can also neither confirm nor deny that is Grover Norquist.
RULES UPDATE: When the prize was nothing but bragging rights, I wasn’t going to fuss too much about duplicate entries.
However, now that there’s an actual prize, I will allow people with duplicate entries to make one change to their submission.
Now, if you’ve followed Minnesota politics this past four years, you know that Mark Dayton has been “Governor” is the same sense that Danny Bonaduce was the “bassist” for the Partridge Family. He’s been a marionette, a flapping jaw revealing the will of the special interests who installed him in office.
And his health is not at all good.
And once he cut the crap and made it official by bringing Tina Flint Smith on as his running mate (putting Yvonne something or other out to pasture), the plan’s been pretty much common knowledge: “Governor” Dayton is going to resign and turn the office over to Tina “The Butcher” Flint Smith.
The only real question is when.
And that calls for a pool.
The Pool: Pick the date that Mark Dayton resigns from office. Whoever is closest wins, and earns – I dunno, a drink from me when we have another get-together.
Closest – before or after the actual retirement, counted in calendar days – wins.
Leave your predictions in the comment section, in the form of a date and year.
Example: July 1, 2015 (that’s my prediction, BTW). I’ll make sure this thread gets saved for the long haul – not that I (obviously) think we’ll need to save it for that long…
The deadline will be the beginning of the next session.
The DFL Legislature raises business taxes. Governor Dayton scuttled away from his party.
The DFL legislature’s idea for plundering taxpayers to pay for Zygi Wilf’s real estate improvements – “E-pulltabs” – raised roughly 1/1000% as much money as it was supposed to. Governor Dayton huffed and puffed and blamed it all on other people.
The DFL raised the minimum wage, without adding a tip credit for restaurant workers who frequently make many times more than a “living wage” from tips. Governor Dayton quietly tossed the idea partly under the bus when his sons pointed out it was hurting their restaurant.
When people started talking about legalizing marijuana, Governor Dayton was for it before against it before he was for it before he was whatever he is today.
Dayton favored releasing sex offenders, before he opposed it, before…oh, hell, I don’t know.
And Dayton took great pride in MNSure before he washed his hands of it.
Oh yeah – and although the administration he largely appointed and which reports to him was busted trying to jockey MNSure’s premium rates, Governor Dayton apparently pleads complete ignorance.
It’d be great if someone in the Minnesota media would press the Governor on this – but of course, he isn’t talking with the press this week. Not that anyone in the press would ask him if he were talking to the press.
The GOP has been railing – correctly – on Dayton’s competence.
The competence of MInnesota’s press may be the bigger issue.
During last week’s gubernatorial debate in Duluth, Governor Dayton referred to the Iron Range has having been victimized by “hucksters” with hare-brained economic development schemes to try to compensate for the crash of the mining industry.
Yesterday on their show blog, Jack and Ben (who, notwithstanding working for the lesser talk station, have been on fire this past week or so) discovered something important; exactly who one of the key “hucksters” was:
The smoking gun is a January 1986 document titled “Housing and Community Development Briefs” authored by the Minnesota Department of Energy and Economic Development and several other organizations. According to the document: “The Department of Energy and Economic Development recently approved [a direct, fixed-interest rate, fixed asset new/expanding business loan].” The publication then lists several businesses that were recipients of the loans, including Lakewood Industries [the company that built the chopstick factory]. It states, “Lakewood Industries, a startup company expected to create 76 jobs in the next two years, received final approval for a $250,000 loan.”
Now, Dayton was Minnesota Department of Energy and Economic Development commissioner from 1978-79, and again from 1983-86. In other words, his fingerprints are all over the infamous Chopstick Factory.
Now, $250,000 might not seem like all that much compared to the $5 million in total financing, including $3 million from the Iron Range Resources and Rehabilitation Board (IRRB).
But the story doesn’t end there (emphasis added):
So let’s look at the IRRRB. The Director of Economic Development of the IRRRB during the chopstick factory fiasco was Mark Phillips. Mark Phillips was intimately involved in the details of the chopstick project, according to a statement he provided in a Chicago Tribune article from June 5, 1998: “They [the Japanese] wanted real white wood with no stain to it. We have a good species here, real white wood that veneers well.” And a December 8, 1986 Associate Press article shows that Mark Phillips was keenly aware of the financing the IRRRB had provided to the project.
So what happened to Mark Phillips? In 2011, Mark Dayton appointed him Commissioner of the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development.
Once a boondoggler, always a boondoggler; Phillips was a prominent supporter of public funding for both the Vikings stadium and the Saint Paul Saints ballpark in Saint Paul.
As to Governor
On “Up and At ‘Em”, on the lesser talk station this morning, Ben Kruse said (I’ll paraphrase) if you left out the parts about Governor Dayton, this past weekend’s endorsement of the incumbent governor actually reads a little like an endorsement of Jeff Johnson.
And Ben had a point:
Johnson, 47, is gubernatorial material…Voters who want a state government that’s leaner and more trusting of the marketplace to solve public problems can opt for Johnson without concern that he is unprepared, excessively doctrinaire or temperamentally ill-suited to the office….Unlike Dayton, Johnson is unfettered to Education Minnesota, the teachers’ union.
[Remember the emphasized bit. I’ll be making a return appearance]
He’s eager to pursue changes in teacher licensure and tenure rules that might strengthen the state’s teaching corps — versions of which Dayton vetoed…Johnson is also more open to changing the state’s tax code in ways that would better align Minnesota competitively with other states, by broadening the sales tax to more consumer purchases while reducing its rate.
All of that’s true.
But they went with
Governor Messinger Mark Dayton anyway.
Minnesota is back where it belongs. It has resumed its strong position among Midwestern states in employment, incomes, educational attainment and quality of life. Gov. Mark Dayton can’t take sole credit for the rebound from recession — nor does this modest leader make that claim. But the DFLer’s stewardship since 2011 has made a positive contribution to recovery, and his aims for a second term would continue that course.
That is, of course, the narrative that the Alliance for a Better Minnesota has spent millions to establish in this state.
The truth, of course, is that most of the “positive contributions” happened in the first two years of
Messinger’s Dayton’s term. Since the DFL took unfettered control of state government, unemployment has dropped mostly due to people taking crummy jobs or leaving the workforce.
But we digress.
Like An Ink-Stained Nadia Comaneci: I originally entitled this piece “Our Senile Newspaper of Record” – but I changed my mind; it takes some mental chops to do the logical gymnastics the Strib goes through to get to painting Dayton’s term as a positive and Dayton as a capable leader:
State government stability is itself a competitive asset, one Minnesotans should not want to jeopardize again.
What the hell does that even mean?
The answer: whatever the narrator wants it to mean.
For example, the Strib would have you believe that before Mark Dayton, Minnesota was a cold Bolivia, apparently:
Dayton deserves credit for the fiscal stability that has returned on his watch. His push to correct the oversized income tax cuts enacted in 1999 and 2000 was important to that change, as was the discipline to enlarge the state’s reserves and repay more than $2 billion owed to school districts.
Dayton “paid back” the shift entirely because he delayed the GOP’s attempt to “pay it back” until the DFL could claim credit.
The Special Interest Drinking Game: Now – with a reminder from Jack and Ben’s show this morning – let’s read this next graf and go back to the Strib’s muted praise for Johnson:
The state’s stronger balance sheet leads a long list of first-term accomplishments justifying Dayton’s re-election. Also there: All-day kindergarten. Beefed-up funding for preschool for needy families. Same-sex marriage. Human services funding reform, saving Minnesota taxpayers an estimated $1 billion a year. A higher minimum wage. An end to a decade of disinvestment in higher education. Support for the Rochester infrastructure that’s crucial to Mayo Clinic expansion. A renewed partnership with local governments, slowing the increase in property taxes. Alternative teacher licensure and teacher performance evaluation.
If this were a drinking game – “Special Interest Shots”, where you took a drink every time the paper mentioned a bit of DFL special interest pork – you’d be dead of alcohol poisoning now.
Making History Out Of Nothing At All: Now – Minnesota’s Obamacare exchange is a disaster. Perhaps you’ve heard. It was in all the papers – for a while, anyway.
Dayton’s credits also include extending the benefits of health insurance to more than 250,000 previously uninsured Minnesotans, by embracing the federal Affordable Care Act.
This is simply false.
92% of Minnesotans were insured before MNSure – and every single Minnesotan that was involuntarily uninsured before 2012 could have been covered through one existing program or another.
The “250,000 previously uninsured” are insured today – at exquisite cost to the taxpayer – are there mostly because the law says they have to be.
Not because Mark Dayton did such a helluvva job.
I’ll give the Strib points for consistency. While their praise for his first term was a checklist of special interest sops, their outlook for the second term is…:
The second-term agenda Dayton outlines befits him. It’s substantial but not slick, and focused on jobs. He wants state government to be an ally of Minnesota’s high-tech industries by better meeting their need for highly skilled workers, and of the health care and medical technology industries by shoring up the University of Minnesota Medical School. He wants a literacy push to boost chances that children read proficiently by grade three, and he seeks more funding for early ed.
He also wants clean energy and robust infrastructure investments, including expansion of light-rail transit, to continue.
…more of the same.
Alliance? What Alliance?: Finally? The Strib editorial team apparently did their internships writing for Fidel Castro (emphasis added):
Dayton, 67, is making his sixth and what he says will be his last bid for statewide office. After a lifetime of public service, he’s a well-known quantity who is offering Minnesota something rare — a governorship unbound by calculations about how to win the next election.
Dayton’s governorship has never been bound by anything but the fact that he is controlled, no less than a marionette, puppet or organ-grinder monkey – by the special interests that floated his candidacy and call, via the “Alliance for a Better MN”, all the shots in his office.
We expect that will look a lot like what Minnesotans saw in Dayton’s first term. If it does, this state will be well served.
If Dayton is re-elected, Minnesota will deserve what it gets.
UPDATE: Fixed the link to the Strib piece.
I watched and live-tweeted yesterday’s gubernatorial debate from Hamline University, which was telecast on Fox9.
For starters, it wasn’t the worst debate format I’ve ever seen. Fox 9’s crew of hairdos (I have long since stopped paying attention to Twin Cities anchor teams) largely stayed out of the way of the three reporters – Rachel Stassen-Berger, Tom Scheck and Bill Salisbury – who did most of the questioning. And most of the questions – the ones that didn’t get into personal lifestyle issues (do we really care if either candidate ever smoked pot?), anyway – were pretty good.
Oh, yeah – Johnson shredded Dayton. I know, I’m partisan – but I’m pretty clinical about public speaking. Johnson is cool, calm, collected, an on top of his facts. Dayton – as Johnson quipped, at one point – pretty much ran through his ex-wife’s chanting points.
The three highlights, in my book?
Number 3: The Aisle: When asked if they were capable of working across the aisle, Dayton’s response amounted to “I could – if it weren’t for that stupid opposition!”. It’s the GOP’s fault he can’t work across party lines!
Number 2: Pot Calling The Kettle A Pot: At one point, in one of his few spontaneous moments of the debate, Dayton scolded Johnson about a perceived (and false) inconsistency in his record, ending it by telling Johnson to “pick a side and stick with it”. I laughed so hard, I nearly soiled myself.
That’s Governor Dayton; the guy who’se argued both sides of medical marijuana, the minimum wage hike and tip credits, the Vikings stadium subdidy, Gift, B2B, gas and Warehouse taxes, cigarette taxes, fixing MNSure, sex-offender releases, expanded notification of mental health issues to the NICS database (the list of people who can’t legally buy guns), and even on the availability of his daily calendar.
Number 1: That Definition Of Insanity: Questioned by the panel and Johnson about the MNSure debacle, Dayton let slip that he thought the real solution was single-payer healthcare.
That’s right – when the government makes a collossal botch of centralizing most of healthcare, let’s let them centralize it all!
The one thing the DFL was able to salvage from the debate was an “oops” from Johnson; asked to define “middle class” in terms of a dollar threshold, after Dayton waffled and proved he didn’t have a clue, Johnson said “I haven’t a clue”.
Of course, there is no hard-and-fast dollar figure as to where the “middle class” begins and ends; it’s more a matter of circumstances; the middle class are those who don’t live off of investments and spare Renoirs,oroff of charity and subsidies.
Watching last night’s gubernatorial debate in Rochester, it’s easy to see why Governor
Messinger’s Dayton’s handlers didn’t want to have too many televised debates, and wanted to make sure they were only televised on outlets like C-Span and Farmington Cable Access. He was awful.
At one point, I could have sworn I heard him mumble that he lowered taxes by $2 Billion. What the flaming hootie-hoo? Someone sic Catherine Richert on that claim!
Jeff Johnson wiped the floor with Dayton. If the Johnson campaign doesn’t have comparison shots of Dayton and Johnson answers on TV and Youtube in the next week, they’re insane.
And today comes news that the Duluth News Tribune (and perhaps the entire Forum chain of papers) has endorsed Johnson.
Among Johnson’s priorities are to reduce taxes and shrink government. While that sounds like Republican boilerplate, the reality is that if Minnesota is to compete in a competitive national economy, it has to improve its tax climate and streamline its ossified regulatory systems. Johnson can’t do it alone, but as governor he can force lawmakers to talk about it.
Johnson is young, educated, experienced in public service and the private sector, and focused on issues vital to his state’s future. Minnesotans would do well to make him their next governor.
And if voters in Greater Minnesota return the MNGOP to control in Saint Paul with Jeff Johnson as Governor, we can make some progress.
(And, naturally, if the GOP keeps itself focused. Which may be the biggest battle of all.
I read yesterday’s headlines about the new, Preferred-One-Free MNSure rates, and got ready to write.
Then, I got an email from a friend who works in the Healthcare industry, which explains it much better:
The headlines on MNSure saying premiums rose only 4.5%. This reminds me of an old story.
A friend of mine was flying a helicopter in the fog in downtown St. Paul and his radio and navigation equipment failed suddenly. He knew he was in the midst of the downtown and going any direction could mean an immediate crash. He stayed put hovering for a few minutes, inching lower. When the fog lifted he was right outside the MN Dept. of Commerce. Not recognizing the building he grabbed a piece of paper and a big sharpie. He wrote in big block letters “Where am I?” and put it put it on the outside of his windshield. A commerce employee saw the helicopter’s predictament and wrote a note back and placed it in the building window. “You’re in a helicopter.”
Technically correct and absolutely meaningless.
That’s my take of this headline. The real problem is that the low cost insurer, Preferred One, dropped out. Maybe the remaining plans only increased by 4.5% but to the 60% who were on Preferred One, the real story is that their premiums are rising about 20%. Minnesotans will understand that if they take time to read the full story.
Which the DFL is counting on people not doing, naturally, as they relentlessly pound away with that “4.5%” number on ads around the state.
Recent history shows it’s not hard to fool Minnesotans.
Daytonomics – a noun, referring to economic conditions that look rosy on the surface, but worse and worse the more one examines them. See also: “Potemkin”.
The DFL is running the bulk of their state campaigns – the Legislature, the Constitutional Officers and Governor – on the notion that two years of Daytonomics have left Minnesota an economic powerhouse.
Like squatters who move into an “Architectural Digest” house, there’s still some zing in the state’s economic elevator pitch – leftovers from ten years of at least partial GOP stewardship.
But under the surface?
There are three signs that the various editorial boards are doing their level best to avoid, or at the most downplay:
Wanna see the interesting part of this last story? Look in the graph comparing the states in the Midwest. Check out the historical job numbers:
This is Mark Dayton’s economy.
Governor Dayton says “the buck stops” with him in re MNSure:
— Gov. Mark Dayton [said] that he ultimately feels responsible for the success or failure of [MNSure].
Dayton apologized for problems Minnesotans are having on the state’s health care exchange. The governor is promising to fix multiple website problems, as soon as possible.
“I apologize to those Minnesotans who have been seriously inconvenienced or are distraught by the failures of MNsure. It’s unacceptable,” Dayton said Thursday.“Did I cause? I don’t think I caused the problems at MNsure and I did everything I could to prevent them,” he said. “Ultimately the buck stops here.”
Oh, yeah – you read that right; the story came out last December.
Before MNSure’s current woes – the cratering of the code, and Preferred One’s bailing out of the whole debacle.
So – when Governor Dayton says “the buck stops here”, does he mean it like he did…:
Because none of those, nor his behavior in re MNSure, involve actually stopping any bucks.
Messinger Dayton flush his former Lieutenant Governor…
…Quick! Without looking below, name her! Can you?
I haven’t had the time to do as much in the way of digging into the DFL ad machine this cycle as in some past cycles. It’s been a crazy summer.
Fortunately, Bill Glahn is on patrol
Glahn takes apart one of the latest flight of anti-Johnson ads from the Alliance for a Better Minnesota – the attack PR firm funded by liberal plutocrats that has run toxic sleaze campaigns against every Republican to run for office in Minnesota in the past eight years or so.
ABM’s ads have been punctilious about punching up the phrase “Tea Party” in their ads, especially about Johnson, this cycle – even though Johnson is not especially identified with the Tea Party. Glahn reaches one of the same observations I do:
Apparently the pejorative “Tea Party Republican” must test particularly well with low information voters. Or, perhaps its use in the ad is a sign the Democrats are concerned about turning out their base in an off-year election.
The Democrats have spent millions this past five years, trying to turn “Tea Party” into a pejorative. If you go by what you hear in the media, it’s worked. If you go by election and polling results in red and reddish-purple states, it hasn’t. Minnesota? Well, the 2010 gubernatorial election showed Minnesota has 8,000 more low-information voters (along with Duplicate-Americans, Fictional-Americans and Deceased-Americans) than smart ones. It might be a winning strategy.
It might also show that that’s the best they can do; sputtering “Tea Partier” may be the “lowest blow” they think they can come up with.
Anyway – the ad. Like everything ABM puts out, it’s got an assortment of outright lies, and factoids stretched so far out of context as to be devoid of truth:
Ms. Livermore [a “classroom teacher”] makes the dubious claim that Johnson “cut education by over $500 million” back in 2003, and then gave that money to corporations in 2005. Keep in mind that a similar ABM ad was judged “Misleading” by Minnesota Public Radio (of all places) for making those exact same claims. [The bill Johnson voted for in 2003 actually increased (rather than cut) public school spending.]
As always with ABM, though, there’s a level of stuff they don’t tell the voter (emphasis added):
No, the real lie in the ad comes from the “appeal to authority” of having an ordinary “classroom teacher” attack Johnson’s education policy. According to her LinkedIn profile, Ms. Livermore served on the governing board of the teachers’ union Education Minnesota from 2004 to 2007. [By the way, she spells the word “education” incorrectly on her profile.]
Although her service to the state teachers’ union may have given her some familiarity with decade-ago state legislation, it doesn’t exactly qualify her as a garden-variety “classroom teacher.” “Former union official attacks Republican,” just doesn’t have the same ring. Funny thing, the viewer is never informed of Livermore’s connection to the union, who happens to be the largest donor to Democrat campaigns in the state.
And to be fair to ABM, why should the viewer be informed of this? The campaign isn’t about informing voters. It’s about framing the opposition, just like Saul Alinksky taught them to.
Just keep repeating it to yourself, DFLers; the Dayton economy is awesome!
The Dayton economy is awesome!
The Dayton economy is awesome!
Housing starts are off 15 percent in August (the full story appeared on MPR last night – but naturally isn’t available online today):
Confidence in the local homebuilding market took a hit in August, as permits for new single-family houses declined 15 percent from a year ago and permits for new multifamily units were down 78 percent.
The latest poll numbers must be scaring the DFL; the Strib has officially switched into full-time shill mode.
In a paper full of “reporters” whose prime directive seems to be “fawn on the DFL”, Ricardo Lopez seems to be aiming for Columnist’s Row with yesterday’s paeon to the wonders of the Minnesota economy:
With business on the upswing and a state unemployment rate that’s among the lowest in the nation, Republicans lack a key issue voters often gravitate to during election season.
Four years ago, when the unemployment rate topped 7 percent and the state faced a projected $6.2 billion deficit, then-gubernatorial candidates Republican Tom Emmer and DFLer Mark Dayton presented voters with starkly different plans to stem the hemorrhaging of jobs and balance the state budget.
Since Dayton took office, the economic picture has brightened considerably. Minnesota employers have added more than 150,000 jobs, helping the state recover all the jobs lost during the recession. The real estate market has rebounded, and state finances are also strong. The most recent report available showed a projected state budget surplus of more than $1.2 billion, generated in part by the higher tax rates Dayton pushed through in 2013.
“There’s no question it would be easier for me as a challenger if everything appeared to be in shambles, that’s clear. But it’s not.” said Jeff Johnson, the Republican nominee hoping to unseat Dayton this fall. “I actually rise to that challenge of sharing a message that aspires to something much better than we have right now.”
Except that as we’ve pointed out, the economy is only “good” when you cherrypick the numbers pretty carefully.
But it’s the cherrypicking, not checking and balancing, that the people of Minnesota are going to get from the media.
Expect a “Minnesota Poll” showing Dayton 80 points ahead sometime soon, here.
Minnesota lost 4,200 jobs in July, and is adding them at an anemic pace year-to-date:
State officials said Thursday that Minnesota employers shed a seasonally adjusted 4,200 jobs in July. Meanwhile, they also revised June’s numbers downward by 3,600 jobs.
That means that, year-to-date, Minnesota has added a meager 2,900 jobs, or about 400 per month, on an adjusted basis.
During July, the education and health services sector lost 5,300 jobs. Information shed 1,000; construction, 700; financial activities, 200; and government, 100.
The sectors that added jobs: trade, transportation, and utilities (up 1,600); manufacturing (700); leisure and hospitality (600); and other services (200). Logging and mining, and professional and business services held steady.
Look for the Alliance for a Better Minnesota’s lie machine to fabricate a lot of phony economic happytalk in the next ten weeks; as we discussed earlier, they’re off to a running start.
No – a lot.