Da Shape Of Things Ta Come

By Mitch Berg

In his inaugural budget this past Tuesday, Mark Dayton declared it our duty to pay any price, to bear any burden…

…to help government avoid any form of discomfort whatsoever.

We conservatives have been warning of the inevitable ends of this philosophy for years – decades, really.

But it’s not remotely hypothetical.  We can see the wages of putting a profligate, unresponsive state’s wants ahead of everything else.  It’s two states to the east – in Chicago.

Chicago – a high-tax, high-“service” city – is shrinking.  Fast:

After peaking at 3.62 million people in 1950, Chicago underwent a half century of decline that ended only when the 1990s boom years produced a small gain in the 2000 count. At that time, the city loudly celebrated its comeback.

But the recent recession accelerated a migration both to the metropolitan area’s farthest suburbs and to the Southern U.S. Chicago nonetheless is expected to remain the nation’s third-largest city, behind New York and Los Angeles and just ahead of Houston, for which final census numbers aren’t in yet.

The only answer, obviously, is racism:

The exodus took a big chunk out of the city’s black population in particular, shrinking it to 887,608 from 1,065,009, according to William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution think tank in Washington.

“The black decline is really powering the city loss,” Mr. Frey said, calling it “part of the great reverse migration to the South.”

Blacks remain the most-populous race in Chicago, Mr. Frey said, while the number of whites fell during the decade by about 52,000 to just under 855,000 and Hispanics’ ranks rose by about 25,000 to just below 780,000.

The population of Cook County, which is dominated by the city of Chicago, fell 3.4% during the decade. But it remained by far the state’s most populous county, with about 5.2 million people.

And yes, there is a conservative angle to it:

The explosive growth of suburbs far outside Chicago produced huge gains in neighboring counties. Kane County grew by 27.5%, Will County by nearly 35% and Lake County by 9.2%, while DuPage grew a more modest 1.4%.

This population shift to traditionally conservative counties could alter the balance of power in both the state house and the Illinois congressional delegation.

The influx of residents to outlying areas could translate into additional Republican seats, though the arrival there of Chicagoans—particularly minorities—could make those regions more politically diverse. For instance, said University of New Hampshire demographer Kenneth Johnson, “DuPage County could become less Republican.” Mr. Johnson said his analysis of census data showed that metropolitan Chicago grew 4% to 9,683,000 people.

Overall, the population of Illinois grew slightly, to 12.8 million from 12.4 million. Among its fast-growing cities, Aurora expanded by 38.4%, Naperville by 10.5% and Joliet by 38.8%. In something of a surprise, Rockford—currently beset by double-digit unemployment—actually grew by 1.8%. The growth of the industrial city, which was ravaged by the early 1980s recession, may reflect the city’s efforts since then to diversify its manufacturing-based economy.

So let’s break this down:

Conservatism wins.  Statism loses.

(Or at least conservatism wins the parts that aren’t going to decamp to Wisconsin)

7 Responses to “Da Shape Of Things Ta Come”

  1. KathyC Says:

    So, let me get this straight. People are deserting the failed city for the ‘burbs and this might make the ‘burbs more “politically diverse”. In other words, they’ll continue to vote lefty and ruin their new locations just as they ruined their previous location? Oh, good. That should be great.

  2. KathyC Says:

    One additional thought…shouldn’t Governor Dayton be coming out in strong, vocal support of his counterpart in Wisconsin who, after all, is only asking a particular group to help in this time of economic crisis and pay their “fair share”?

  3. nate Says:

    To what degree has the Black population fled Chicago for Minneapolis?

    To what degree has Minnesota’s richer welfare benefits caused this flight?

    To what degree will high-speed rail enhance both cities’ problem?

  4. Mr. D Says:

    Chicago tore down a lot of their big public housing projects in the last decade and the people who lived in those projects ended up a variety of places, but a large portion are now in the south suburbs of Chicago in the Harvey/Calumet City area. I’m sure some folks came here, but I don’t think there are that many. How many former Chicagoans are collecting benefits from the state of Minnesota is a separate and interesting question.

  5. Night Writer Says:

    Let’s not forget the population decline resulting from killing each other, and the migratory ripple effects.

    I don’t know, so I’ll ask: what are the gun control laws of Aurora, Joliet and Naperville?

  6. bubbasan Says:

    I actually heard that the great migration of blacks northward has reversed–I wouldn’t be surprised if tens of thousands had actually moved down to Alabama/Arkansas and such.

    Can’t blame them for leaving the cesspool that is Illinois. Now if only we could persuade them to stop voting for the cesspool managers from there….

  7. Bill C Says:

    KathyC: EXACTLY!

    nate: they’re only here 1 day a month anyway.

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