My predication that Michele Bachmann would win the Sixth District race by ten points is sounding better and better as we go:
Today, it’s Bachman 49%, DFL State Senator Tarryl Clark 40%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 2 months ago, little has changed: each candidate is up 1 point.
If my theory is correct – if none of the polls’ likely voter models properly account for Republican turnout and enthusiasm – then ten might be conservative. But I’m not going to get irrationally exuberant.
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