Rose Bloom Off

The NY20 special election is nearly a dead heat:

The race in the 20th Congressional district between Republican Jim Tedisco and Democrat Scott Murphy is too close to call.

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With 100 percent precincts reporting, Murphy leads Tedisco by only 59 votes, 77,344 to 77,285.

With nearly 6,000 absentee ballots that will essentially decide the race as of Monday, the election will not be decided at least until April 13.

Many regard the race – in which Tedisco, a GOP challenger, seeks to flip the seat formerly held by the rep who got promoted to Senator to replace now-Secretary-of-State Hillary Clinton – as a referendum on President Obama.  I don’t see it quite that way; we’re barely two months into Obama’s epoch of joy term. The real referendum is coming in about 19 months.

Still, it’d be nice to flip a seat so early in the reign of enlightenment Obama’s term.

4 thoughts on “Rose Bloom Off

  1. “epoch of joy”
    “reign of enlightenment”

    Where all things bad are Bush, and all things good are pure Obama. *snicker*

  2. Whatevs. That’s Jerry Solomon’s old seat – as solid a Republican district as they come in New York state. Gillibrand took it away from John Sweeney (a veteran of the Brooks Brothers riot nicknamed “Congressman Kickass” by the former Fratboy in Chief), after it became clear Sweeney was a drunk and that the cops had to respond to his house to break up a fight with his wife.

    Tedisco is the Republican’s leader in the Assembly, where he’s represented his district since 1982. His opponent is a businessman who was largely unknown before he got the Democratic nomination. The fact that he’s not getting blown out shows how far the Republicans have slipped. If the absentee ballots come in for Tedisco, I’m sure you far-right kooks will grasp at that straw as evidence you’re winning the “Hoover was right!” argument. But you’d be wrong.

    Oddly the Democrat, Scott Murphy, has kids who should meet with the first family of Wasila, AK: Simone, Lux and Duke.

  3. That’s Jerry Solomon’s old seat – as solid a Republican district as they come in New York state.

    That’s part of the point. We’ve had to elections where you have the likes of Tim Walz winning solid GOP districts like the MN01 and, so you say, NY20. The tide’s gonna turn, eventually. The question will be “when”? In eight years, as the Dems’ post-Watergate surge did? Or in 20, as Reagan’s did?

    I’m shooting for “Two”, but then that’s my gig.

  4. MN01 isn’t all that solid Penny held it prior to Gutnecht and now Walz has carried it twice.

    It may flip back in 2010 if Walz is expected to be a rubberstamp over the next two years.

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