6 Responses to “Handicapping The House”

1. Mr. D Says:
   October 24th, 2012 at 7:51 am

   I think you’re right on Russ Bertsch’s race in 42A — he almost won last time in the old 50B and the new district is friendlier territory. Russ an excellent candidate and a really good guy, too. Dale Helm in 41A has a shot, I think. In my district (41B) the GOP candidate (Laura Palmer) is going to end up losing badly because of the 3rd party candidate in the race, Tim Utz, who ran as a Republican last time in the old 50A and became disenchanted with the party afterwards. It’s too bad, because Palmer deserves better.

2. walter hanson Says:
   October 24th, 2012 at 8:03 am

   Mitch it would have been nice if you wrote one sentence in the article the predicted outcome just to have some idea what it was. I tried to do a rough count and got roughly 54 seats lean or safe DFL, 56 seats lean or safe GOP, and 22 toss ups (I lost track of two seats on count sheet so lets say 24)

   Could be a long night.

   Correct me if I’m wrong the eight congressional district (which includes the iron range) is like districts 1-7. The fact that I’m seeing any Repubican there is a sign long term for us to keep control of the house since those were seats the DFL used to add up with their Minneapolis and Saint Paul seats.

   Walter Hanson
   Minneapolis, MN

3. Mitch Berg Says:
   October 24th, 2012 at 9:28 am

   D: I’m feeling good about a lot of races in CD4.

   Walter: The prediction is coming up on Friday.

4. Kevin Says:
   October 25th, 2012 at 1:09 pm

   FYI, the predictions for 57A and 57B are FAR too conservative. The DFL candidate Wilfarht for 57B isn’t even actively contesting the seat, he’s been on a state-wide gay marriage tour. When he can be bothered with 57B, his default response is “well I was asked to run”. This is AT LEAST lean GOP.

   And as far as 57A, that’s a pretty solid GOP district. The DFL opponents fundraising has been anemic, she has no lawns signs up, and near as we can tell has done no door knocking. There has been no literature mailed by her or on her behalf. You know, all the stuff you do if you want to win….especially as a challenger. This is solid GOP.

5. gshipsides Says:
   October 25th, 2012 at 5:16 pm

   Is there a reason for thinking that Sarah Anderson’s race is a toss up? 44A seems like a fairly republican district that only got more red after redistricting (old number 43A). Also, Sarah seems likable.

6. Mitch Berg Says:
   October 26th, 2012 at 9:14 am

   G,

   No, there is not. As I noted, I ran with Petrangelo’s ratings unless I had a reason that jumped out at me not to. While I think Sarah is going to smother her opponent, for whatever reason I didn’t change my prediction in that race. See above (in a moment or two)

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