Usual disclaimers about “the only poll that counts is on November 3 [1] inserted here.
But pessimist that I am, I really didn’t see this coming
KSTP/SURVEYUSA: Tina Smith 43%; Jason Lewis 42%; 12% undecided; 3% people other. Confidence Interval +/- 5%. Smith had 11-point lead in September and 7-point lead earlier this month. pic.twitter.com/mX91q0MI6X
— Tom Hauser (@thauserkstp) October 21, 2020
Fluke?
Polls finding more-likely voters, ones who’ve actually been paying attention?
We’ll see.
I’ve heard more than a few fellow D-list pundits exclaim disbelief at “12% undecided”. I’m going to chalk that up to some misdirected Pauline Kael syndrome, from people who “write”/tweet about politics constantly, thinking everyone is the same as they are. Smith has tried hard to follow A-Klo’s model of being innocuous and invisible. We’ll see if it works.
Lewis beating the Butcher Of Vandalia would be an early Christmas present.
[1] And, let’s be honest, as we saw in 2008 and 2010, it still may not count, really, but let’s try not to go completely down the rabbit hole.
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