Shot in the Dark

100-Day Free Fall

The MSM are abuzz with their assessments of Brack O’Bama’s first one hundred days and as my Blog Boss so aptly pointed out, they are missing the real story here.

Ever notice how you’re not seeing as much public opinion polling about the President these days?  Especially in the MSM?

There’s a reason for that:

According to Gallup’s April survey, Americans have a lower approval of Mr. Obama at this point than all but one president since Gallup began tracking this in 1969. The only new president less popular was Bill Clinton, who got off to a notoriously bad start after trying to force homosexuals on the military and a federal raid in Waco, Texas, that killed 86. Mr. Obama’s current approval rating of 56 percent is only one tick higher than the 55-percent approval Mr. Clinton had during those crises.

Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Poll tells a very different story from what the Obama Broadcasting Network would have you believe.

Jimmy II is in trouble.

Polling among those that “Strongly Approve” of the President thus far remains relatively steady ranging from 44% at Inauguration to 35% as of today.

That’s not surprising. Liberals don’t know what’s hit them yet….the broken campaign promises, the rapid erosion of what is left of our nation’s financial resources, the vast expansion of The Entitlement Society, the socialization nationalization of everything within arm’s reach…they still have the “Change Has Come” commemorative plates on their mantles and are still being instructed to harbor anger for (i.e. blame) the Bush Administration for all ills domestic, foreign and individual.

The real movement underlying the erosion of Che Obama’s approval ratings is among those who “Strongly Disapprove”; doubling from an Inauguration Day low of 16% to 32% as of today. It’s only a matter of time before one spills into the other as America wakes to the leftist agenda of our President and his thugs.

Rasmussen’s daily poll tracks the differential between the “Strongly Disapprove” and the “Strongly Approve” results.

Does this movement translate into Conservatives growing some cojones or is it a groundswell of both parties’ constituents realizing the error of their choice last November? Most likely a little of both.

In any case, it would appear the pendulum is swinging back to reality.

And fast.

Change® is coming.


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36 responses to “100-Day Free Fall”

  1. Zack Avatar
    Zack

    Mitch, this is the second time you’ve put up a post that cherry picks poll results to drive a conclusion that you wish would actually happen. Look at this:

    http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/jobapproval-obama.php

    Pollster aggregates all polling data, not just a couple of polls. What does it show? Obama’s approval rating has been remarkably stable since inauguration day – hovering somewhere in between 60 and 65%. And by the way, its actually quite stunning that his approval remains so high in light of the poor economy. That is not the norm.

  2. angryclown Avatar
    angryclown

    True, Zack. The wingnuts have chosen self-delusion and treasonous propaganda over a more constructive strategy to get them through this hard time. A popular president, large Democratic majorities in Congress – this is what a backlash looks like, you kooks. You don’t get to fail as often as you did over the last eight years without paying a high price.

    Reality, like Mrs. Shiftee, is a beeyotch.

  3. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    Ah! I remember what the backlash of ’94 was like! Democrats booted out of control of congress & kept out — until republicans started acting like democrats.

  4. Mr. D Avatar

    Zack,

    Just an FYI — this is Roosh’s post, not Mitch. Personally, I don’t worry about whether Obama’s approval rating is 50%, 60% or 3000% right now. In a year we’ll know a lot more about this administration and in 18 months we’ll have the first opportunity to render judgment. If Obama’s approval rating is between 60-65% in October 2010, then we’ll know.

  5. Zack Avatar
    Zack

    Mr. D, you are right on both points. Apologies to Mitch and Roosh.

  6. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    In a year we’ll know a lot more about this administration and in 18 months we’ll have the first opportunity to render judgment.
    And I suspect that judgement will be harsh.

  7. Master of None Avatar

    Zack, before you get snippy about cherry picking data, do you think you could do a little editing at MNPublius? Your co-blogger Jeff Rosenberg used numbers out of a state report as justification for tax hikes, even though the report contained a full page disclaimer that the numbers he cited were not reliable.

    Lefty stalwart Steve Perry even referred to those numbers as “junk”.

    http://jackofalltradesblog.com/2009/03/16/tax-numbers-are-junk/

  8. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    100 Days is too short to tell much of anything. So far, I give Obama’s admin the highest points to date on his handling of the pirate / hostage mini crisis. Every president’s polls have trended down post-inauguration; what will be telling is how steep a downward turn there is, and where it bottoms out; mid-2010 ought to be about right for a meaningful evaluation of opinion.

    More discouraging is that I don’t see any progress from the Republican side of the equation. I just heard a moment ago on the news as I was reading this blog that it was our Republican governor that sent the special state plane with one – ONE – swine flu sample to the CDC. This from the man who has been making so much hay out of spending reductions. Sigh, not the measured response to a very slight pandemic risk that I would have preferred, given our state has a larger supply of flu meds than our surrounding states.

    An interesting news segment on our CBS local station this morning, on the topic of municipal ownership of golf courses that are a money pit for local government. Not the sort of thing I would think is the proper business of government, compared to other infrastructure. Should be interesting to see if we will have a rash of towns selling off golf courses in the next year.

    I wonder how the politics divide up between Republicans and Democrats among golfers…

  9. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    So far, I give Obama’s admin the highest points to date on his handling of the pirate / hostage mini crisis.
    Just curious, how did you rate Bush on the Chinese/American spy plane crisis?

    As for Pawlenty sending the sample, he would have been vilified by the local media had he not made some symbolic gesture. He seldom gets pictured with a Presidential halo, after all.

    What is the difference between a municipal golf course and a city park? I suspect the golf course gets much more use, and actually brings a few bucks in. The city park is a 100% money pit.
    R 80% – D 20% but thats a swag.

  10. angryclown Avatar
    angryclown

    A city park benefits everybody. A municipal golf course benefits upper middle-class white people pursuing the world’s most tedious sport at the expense of the natural environment. Naturally, Republicans go for the golf course.

  11. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    Kermit says:

    As for Pawlenty sending the sample, he would have been vilified by the local media had he not made some symbolic gesture. He seldom gets pictured with a Presidential halo, after all.”

    My impression is that the whole pandemic issue is not a big deal here in MN. I don’t think Pawlenty would have been vilified at all had he simply sent the sample by a rapid commercial carrier, so long as it was sent expeditiously. He missed an oppotunity for putting action to words – and he missed an opportunity to point out that he was doing that, in the media.

    “What is the difference between a municipal golf course and a city park? I suspect the golf course gets much more use, and actually brings a few bucks in. The city park is a 100% money pit.
    R 80% – D 20% but thats a swag. ”

    Interesting point Kermit; I don’t know about other locations, but the gist of the news segment seemed to indicate that the golf courses were the largest loss item in the municipal budgets. Parks were not compared, but as they are multi-pupose, many are used year round instead of just seasonlly, and they are typically used by a broader age spectrum than golf courses, I’m not sure if that is a good comparison or not.

    AC, I know quite a few black people who play golf. It’s not like Tiger Woods is the exception. What you say about upper middle class white people is not as true as it once was. I know I came to hate the game after being stuck caddying as a kid for my parents. Not a great time – haul heavy bags, and be very very quiet. Walk a little ways, stop. Walk a little further. Stop. Yawn.

  12. Mitch Berg Avatar
    Mitch Berg

    golf course benefits upper middle-class white people

    Like Tiger Woods, Ice Cube and Charles Barkley?

  13. Troy Avatar

    Dog Gone said:

    “I just heard a moment ago on the news as I was reading this blog that it was our Republican governor that sent the special state plane with one – ONE – swine flu sample to the CDC.”

    I would be very surprised if our Republican governor made the call all on his own.

  14. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    Dog, I have been driving by city parks for 40 years, and they are mostly empty. The B-Ball courts get some use, and the playgrounds get some use, but I think they are mainly a selling point for indivdual cities. Parks don’t seem to have translated well into the 21st century.
    Unless you live in a concrete Hell like Clownie.

  15. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    Troy says:
    “I would be very surprised if our Republican governor made the call all on his own. ”

    On the news it was Pawlenty himself making the claim that it was his decision. This was not an instance of someone else ‘blaming’ him.

    Kermit, I prefer to live out in a more rural area, but for a fair comparison, I think you have to include all municipal parks. A lot of small town parks see a lot of use, as do a number of the suburban parks, where I have walked dogs at all hours of the day and night. Check out various municipal and city wesites; most have a pretty big list of activities. Ditto some of the community ed pamphlets.

  16. angryclown Avatar
    angryclown

    If only you knew exactly where Angryclown lives, Kermite. But he doesn’t want any of you kooks visiting Stately Klown Manor, so that will have to remain a mystery. Suffice to say New York has huge parks, at some of which are correctly reputed to be among the wonders of the modern world.

    Parks don’t work in the flyovers because your cities don’t work. People in the middle of the country want nothing more than a quarter acre lot near the Wal-Mart. So you’re in your cars at 5:00:49 p.m. every day to race home to your empty lives and shoddily constructed homes. More’s the pity.

  17. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    I have visited some of the NYC parks while in Manhattan for Westminster. In fact, I was surprised how safe the streets were even in the wee hours of the morning, albeit while out walking a pair of pretty heavy duty four-legged body guards. NYC parks ARE gorgeous.

    But AC, I take issue with you that parks don’t work out here in flyover land. You’d be surprised at the amount of community involvement there is, especially the use of parks in small towns. The tradition of public space is a very old, very important one for a sense of community. Not everyone lives in isolated anonymity. Parks are used for private events like family reunions, more public events like church picnics; they are used by civic groups, by 4-H kids, boy scouts and girl scouts, community ed, fund raiser walks for worthy causes, more things than I could possibly list here.

  18. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    People in the middle of the country want nothing more than a quarter acre lot near the Wal-Mart. So you’re in your cars at 5:00:49 p.m. every day to race home to your empty lives and shoddily constructed homes.

    Why does Angry Clown hate America?

  19. jimf Avatar
    jimf

    Bozo- “Golf courses… upper middle class whites.” So would “parks” then be lower middle class blacks playing basketball and perverts hiding behind bushes? Who cares. Another bad day for Bozo.

  20. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    The amazing thing is that Angry Clown thinks that ‘upper middle class whites’ get their game on down at the muni.
    I bet he also thinks that golf clubs are run by a retireds dentist who look like Ted Baxter & have tiny yachts named ‘Incisor’.

  21. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    Clownie wistfully remarked “If only you knew exactly where Angryclown lives, Kermite”, which I find really amusing. I’ve been to Hampton, Norfolk and Newport News. That’s about as far north as I want to go.
    Well, I’ve been to Boston too, but I do have standards that require civilization. New Jersey falls woefully short.

  22. angryclown Avatar
    angryclown

    Well, New Jersey does have Princeton, which is better than any of the educational institutions in the Midwest. But you do have to drive to class in a car with a New Jersey license plate. And Jersey is on your side of the Hudson, which makes it automatically suspect. Angryclown’s not a big fan. He prefers to live on an island off the coast of America. Angryclown’s family has lived in the Empire State since 1660, Kerm. No good reason to move anywhere else, no offense to your “pioneer” ancestors. Of course your they were likely running out on debts back East or hoping to found some crazy religious cult.

  23. BradC Avatar

    People in the middle of the country want nothing more than a quarter acre lot near the Wal-Mart. So you’re in your cars at 5:00:49 p.m. every day to race home to your empty lives and shoddily constructed homes.

    So paying $5,000 per month for some roach-infested dump in Jersey is the way to go, eh?

  24. jimf Avatar
    jimf

    “Crazy religious cult”. You mean like global warming, right?

  25. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    Angryclown’s family has lived in the Empire State since 1660, Kerm.
    Like Angry Clown knows who his father was.

  26. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    Also it wasn’t a state of any in 1660. Sheesh.

  27. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    Well, New Jersey does have Princeton, which is better than any of the educational institutions in the Midwest.
    Will be sending an angryclownish letter to Notre Dame in the morning.

  28. Mitch Berg Avatar
    Mitch Berg

    Angryclown’s family has lived in the Empire State since 1660, Kerm.

    Wow. Tough parole conditions, huh?

  29. Mitch Berg Avatar
    Mitch Berg

    Zack,

    Mitch, this is the second time you’ve put up a post that cherry picks poll results to drive a conclusion that you wish would actually happen.

    This is actually Johnny Roosh’s post.

    But this isn’t “Cherrypicking”; this is taking the results of a widely-respected poll over time.

    Nobody who cites the Minnesota Poll uncritically should complain about cherrypicking.

  30. Troy Avatar

    Dog Gone said:

    “On the news it was Pawlenty himself making the claim that it was his decision. This was not an instance of someone else ‘blaming’ him.”

    Don’t let me get in the way of a politician taking credit, Dog Gone, but again, I’d be surprised if he whipped this up all by himself.

  31. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    Troy Says:

    May 4th, 2009 at 8:06 am
    Dog Gone said:

    “On the news it was Pawlenty himself making the claim that it was his decision. This was not an instance of someone else ‘blaming’ him.”

    Don’t let me get in the way of a politician taking credit, Dog Gone, but again, I’d be surprised if he whipped this up all by himself.

    I take your point Troy, that Pawlenty no doubt consulted with his staff, the MN Dept of Health, etc. But I think my point remains that he claims the authority to authorize the flight, and HE wants credit for doing so. He’s the gov, so the buck stops at his desk. It is contradictions like this between what is said and what is done which raise skepticism about political statements on the topic of reducing spending. You don’t seem to disagree that there is a gap between the talk and the walk here. Or flight.

  32. Troy Avatar

    I looked around and found this:

    “Pawlenty said the schools would reopen quickly if the CDC test is negative, but a confirmation of swine flu would keep them closed for as long as a week. He said he ordered the sample flown to the CDC on the state plane to make sure it arrived for early consideration Wednesday.”

    http://wcco.com/health/minnesota.swine.flu.2.997889.html

    It may have cost less than keep a couple schools closed waiting on the outcome of the test, but I don’t know. *shrug*

  33. angryclown Avatar
    angryclown

    Isn’t it too bad there’s not some private-sector company that will guarantee to fly packages and deliver them overnight?

  34. Troy Avatar

    I imagine they could have handled the whole thing for a lot less money, angryclown, I just don’t know if they would have. I could probably find out if you really want to know, but I don’t think you do. 🙂

  35. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    Troy Says:

    May 4th, 2009 at 4:41 pm
    I looked around and found this:

    “Pawlenty said the schools would reopen quickly if the CDC test is negative, but a confirmation of swine flu would keep them closed for as long as a week. He said he ordered the sample flown to the CDC on the state plane to make sure it arrived for early consideration Wednesday.”

    Ummm – this doesn’t make sense. I’m pretty sure the decisions about when to reopen the schools is not up to Pawlenty. At the time that the sample was flown down to the CDC, the incubation period of swine flu was not yet known – it is still more of a guess at best, so how could Pawlenty have used that for a reason t the time the plane was sent?

    By this reasoning, is Pawlenty going to fly every sample of possible Swine flu to the CDC by private plane? We’ve had 2 possibles that turned out to be plain old regular flu, and are still waiting on a couple more that might be H2N1.. At the rate that the flu is doubling, no way can every sample that will need to get to Atlanta go by the state plane. Still not a good explanation for skipping Fed Ex, UPS, or something similar.

    Pawlenty has been a pretty decent governor, this just wasn’t one of his better decisions. I’d be a lot happier if he just admitted he over-reacted in sending the state plane. WHY do we have a state plane anyway? What do we need it for that commercial aviation doesn’t serve?

  36. K-Rod Avatar
    K-Rod

    “upper middle-class white people “ – Racist AssClown

    ASSCLOWN SHUNS SELF FOR BEING A RASCIST PIG

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