The Minnesota Poll shows The Obamessiah ahead by double digits.
The poll, conducted Thursday and Friday, found that Obama is supported by 52 percent of likely voters, while 41 percent are backing McCain. The results show that while McCain has cut into Obama’s 18-point lead from two weeks ago, it’s not enough to move Minnesota back into the toss-up column, as it was immediately after the Republican National Convention was held in St. Paul in early September.
Experience says when the Minnesota Poll shows a huge DFL lead alone among polls, it most likely means it’s pretty close to the margin of error, DFLers are scared, and the MNPoll is doing it’s best to coax Republicans into staying home.
Sort of like they’re doing nationwide.
Don’t believe the hype, Republicans. It’s gonna be a tough election – but the media and Democrats (pardon the redundancy) want you to believe it’s hopeless.
If one belives the polls, it does seem statistically odd that McCain is gaining ground nationally (having made up a significant amount of ground in both Gallup and Rassussen’s daily tracking polls in the last couple of weeks), but there are no individual states where he is gaining ground.
One would think that the gains would come from somewhere.
It leads me to believe that some of the state polls aren’t all that accurate, and not just North Dakota and Minnesota.
I am not willing to concede that this poll is accurate, it’s nearly always been an outlier even when the Strib ran it itself. But really, Obama’s lead is cut from 18 to 11 and that’s still reported as “Obama has double digit lead over McCain.” The headline implies stasis and poll is reporting anything but.
Read Zombie’s post on polling. Very well thought.