People Ask Me…
By Mitch Berg
“…what about those polls that are showing Obama is tied or leading Mac again?”
I respond “Well, yeah – the convention bounce is over, the media’s slime campaign against Palin is taking its pound of flesh, and – as with most media polls – they oversample Democrats anyway”.
As I said last week, the bounce didn’t change the fact that Mac is the underdog. It’s going to be a knock-down, drag-out race – which I, a political junkie, love. And let’s face it – a month ago, I doubt many people thought it was going to be close, in the end. And make no mistake about it – for all the caterwauling that the media hypocritically plays up about America hating it, America loves it too.
It’s time to win this campaign on what matters; the issues, sure, and on the blocking and tackling of running a good campaign.
September 18th, 2008 at 9:01 am
I’m thinking that this campaign is going to come down to Caro’s Law of Least Tilt. (Roughly: in a poker game, all other things being more or less equal, the player who panics least wins.)
I see a fair amount of tilt on both sides; from my (not unbiased) POV, more of it is coming from the Obamamaniacs.
This morning’s http://electoral-vote.com has McCain at 274; http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ has him at 280. But there’s still plenty of time for either side to screw up, or for other factors to dominate.