The latest Survey USA poll shows Obama’s lead in Minnesota has been cut in half since the last one:
In the election for President of the United States, three months till voting begins, Barack Obama captures the North Star State’s 10 electoral votes, defeating Mitt Romney 46 percent to 40 percent, according to a SurveyUSA poll for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis / St. Paul.
Libs will no doubt chime in “KSTP is teh Rpeublican Station!” – Tom Hauser made an effort to be balanced during the 2010 cycle, and “balance” is apparently “Republican” – but the Survey USA poll has trended ever-so-slightly more Democrat than reality has turned out, at least in the past couple of cycles.
More on that below.
Here’s the interesting part:
Romney and Obama are effectively even among male voters. All of Obama’s advantage comes from female voters, where Obama leads by 14 points. Romney edges Obama among Minnesota’s Independents, but not by enough to offset Obama’s 2:1 advantage among Minnesota’s moderates.
Further proof that “moderates” just don’t think that hard about things that really matter – like the future of this nation.
This part was one of the real shockers:
Romney leads in Northeastern Minnesota, but Obama leads in the rest of the state.
Whoah. The conventional wisdom says “Northeastern” Minnesota is a traditional DFL stronghold. The economy must be finally sinking in?
In an election for U.S. Senator from Minnesota today, incumbent DFL candidate Amy Klobuchar soundly defeats Republican challenger Kurt Bills, 55 percent to 31 percent. Klobuchar leads among men and women, young and old, rich and poor, and in all regions of the state.
To be fair, that shows Bills up a couple and Klobuchar down a bit from earlier polls. Hopefully all that Ron Paul fundraising machinery will be swinging into action here to support Bills.
Any ol’ time now.
And now we get to the point of the poll that is like the long string of disclaimers at the end of a TV drug ad. Like the ads, this is the part that really matters: the poll sampling was 38% Democrat, 32% Republican, 28% “independent”. The Democrats are oversampled – and even so, Romney is up 4 points among “independents”.