A Windy Minneapolis And A Warm Saint Paul
By Mitch Berg
The Great Plains – from North Dakota through Texas – are becoming an economic hotbed, especially given the lousy general economy:
On a drizzly, warm June night, the bars, galleries, and restaurants along Broadway are packed with young revelers. Traffic moves slowly, as drivers look for parking. The bar at the Donaldson, a boutique hotel, is so packed with stylish patrons that I can’t get a drink. My friend, a local, and I head over to Monte’s, a trendy Italian place down the street. We watch a group of attractive 30-something blondes share a table and gossip. They look like the cast of the latest Housewives series.
It might sound like an evening in the Big Apple, but this Broadway runs through downtown Fargo, N.D. A decade ago, this same street was just another unremarkable central district in a Midwestern town: bland restaurants, adequate hotels, no decent coffee. After the local stores closed for the day, the street was mostly populated by a few hard-drinking louts.
Now, that’s the downtown Fargo I remember!
Throughout the good times and, more important, the bad of this new millennium, the cities of the plains—from Dallas in the south through Omaha, Des Moines, and north to Fargo—have enjoyed strong job growth and in-migration from the rest of the country. North Dakota boasts the nation’s lowest unemployment rate—3.6 percent in May, compared with the national average of 9.7—with South Dakota and Nebraska right behind it.
What do these states have in common? Besides energy, I mean?
Good, conservative government (except possibly Nebraska). North Dakota’s Republican-controlled legislature meets every other year, and hasn’t gotten a pay raise since the 1890’s; they get $5 a day (although the per diems do make it possible for people to actually do the job).
The trend has been particularly strong in urban areas. Based on employment growth over the last decade, the North Dakota cities of Bismarck and Fargo rank in the top 10 of nearly 400 metropolitan areas, according to data analyzed by economist Michael Shires for Forbes and NewGeography.com. Much of that growth has come in high-wage jobs. In Bismarck, the number of high-paying energy jobs has increased by 23 percent since 2003, while jobs in professional and business services have shot up 40 percent.
That’s not bad for a region best known by East Coast pundits for the movie Fargo.
It’s not all farming and oil, as anyone who’s been through Fargo knows:
Nowhere is this potential clearer than in Fargo, which is emerging as a high-tech hub. Doug Burgum, from nearby Arthur, N.D., founded Great Plains Software in the mid-1980s. Burgum says he saw potential in the engineering grads pumped out by North Dakota State University, many of whom worked in Fargo’s large and expanding specialty-farm-equipment industry. “My business strategy is to be close to the source of supply,” says Burgum. “North Dakota gave us access to the raw material of college students.”
Microsoft bought Great Plains for a reported $1.1 billion in 2001, establishing Fargo as the headquarters for its business-systems division, which now employs more than 1,000 workers. The tech boom … has spawned both startups and spin-offs in everything from information technology to biomedicine. Science and engineering employment statewide has grown by 31 percent since 2002, the highest rate of any state.
Now, when you bring up the relative prosperity of the conservative plains compared to DFL-plagued Minnesota, the inevitable counterwhinge is “yeah, well…it’s all because of oil!”
And it’s true – there is oil:
But the biggest play by far is in energy, including coal, natural gas, and oil, which exist in prodigious quantities from Texas to the Canadian border. Besides the vast reserves of oil that have made it the country’s fourth-largest producer, North Dakota possesses significant deposits of natural gas and coal, as well as huge potential for wind power and biofuels…The energy boom has placed states like the Dakotas and Texas in an enviable fiscal situation. Oil and gas revenues are filling up their coffers, allowing them to eschew the painful cutbacks affecting most coastal states. North Dakota has a $500 million surplus, and next year the cash gusher could rise to more than $1 billion, estimates Dragseth. That could go a long way in a state with barely 600,000 people.
Next time some irritating lefty pundit yaps that the Twin Cities will become a “cold Omaha” if we don’t jack up taxes, tell ’em “bring it on”.





July 7th, 2010 at 11:20 am
A lot of it is energy driven, but Willston and Fargo have housing shortages.
July 7th, 2010 at 12:22 pm
Fargo is building housing as fast as they can; there are new developments marching south and west, and acres of enormous apartment complexes. The vacancy rate in West Fargo is about 2.5%. It’s over 6 percent in Moorhead, across the river, but the Minnesota side of the metro area is still moribund compared to West Fargo.
Odd how that works.
July 7th, 2010 at 12:22 pm
Fargo is building housing as fast as they can; there are new developments marching south and west, and acres of enormous apartment complexes. The vacancy rate in West Fargo is about 2.5%. It’s over 6 percent in Moorhead, across the river, but the Minnesota side of the metro area is still moribund compared to West Fargo.
Odd how that works.
July 7th, 2010 at 12:23 pm
Double post: odd how *that* works, too.
July 7th, 2010 at 12:57 pm
Happens to me all the time.
July 7th, 2010 at 1:09 pm
And I meant to say “Williston and Minot”, but Fargo applies here also (to housing shortages).
For kicks I went to the Williston and Minot newspapers online and did a quick search on the subject. Interesting……try to get a motel room in Williston. And the 2009 population estimate vs what city folks think the 2010 census actual will be……we are looking at several thousand people increase.
July 7th, 2010 at 3:22 pm
Several buddies of mine just got back last week from a cross country motorcycle tour. As they were traveling home through eastern Montana and North Dakota they found they couldn’t find a vacancy at motel or bed & breakfast anywhere. Oil and construction workers have everthing tied up. Pretty much every type of businesses in the area is booming.
July 7th, 2010 at 6:16 pm
They will do well to note the message that could be seen on Colorado bumper stickers in the late 1980’s: “Dear God, please give us one more oil boom. We promise not to piss it away this time”.
July 9th, 2010 at 12:17 am
I thought South Dakota was the tax free Shangri-La everyone would be moving to.
July 9th, 2010 at 1:29 am
Read the article. They’re both doing pretty well.
North Dakota happens to be better.
April 1st, 2011 at 11:03 am
[…] It’s kind of funny, really, since Omaha is thriving these days. […]