Place Yer Bets

Arizona: Kari Lake, the Republican candidate for governor, is a star. She was a television news personality for many years in the Phoenix market and she has outstanding communication skills. She also has an incredibly ineffective opponent, Katie Hobbs, who refused to debate and tried to hide from Lake. It didn’t work. Lake will win easily. Will her popularity be sufficient to pull the Republican challenger for Senate, Blake Masters, over the top in his race against incumbent Democrat Mark “Astronaut Boy” Kelly? I am guessing yes.

Pennsylvania: The senate race in Pennsylvania has been getting nonstop coverage. The seat is open because the incumbent Republican, Pat Toomey, is retiring. The two candidates are Democrat John Fetterman, a hulking slacker with a penchant for wearing Carhartt hoodies, against Republican Mehmet Oz, a celebrity doctor best known for years of appearances on Oprah Winfrey. Fetterman is an absurd candidate in any event, a fake tough guy who ran a decrepit Pittsburgh suburb into the ground. More importantly, he also had a major stroke earlier in the year and it’s evident he has a difficult time understanding or communicating without a wall of teleprompters. Oz seemed like a bit of dilettante, but he’s taken the campaign seriously and has made significant inroads by (a) understanding the issues and (b) not being brain damaged. As has been well established, the Democrats are well versed in running campaigns for people who are enfeebled, but selling Fetterman has been difficult. The question is whether Fetterman’s obvious defects are enough to sell a sufficient portion of the electorate to pull the lever for Oz, especially since any Republican in Pennsylvania has to overcome the historically dubious voting patterns in Philadelphia.  My guess is Oz squeaks by.

Georgia: Two races here — a rematch in the governor’s race between incumbent Brian Kemp and celebrity challenger Stacey Abrams, who spent the last four years proclaiming she had the election stolen from her. By tomorrow, she won’t be able to make that claim, as Kemp is cruising to victory. Meanwhile, in the senate race incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock is battling former Georgia Bulldog (and Minnesota Viking) Herschel Walker, who has managed to overcome a lot of ridicule to potentially take the lead. Kemp could pull Walker over the top; if not, it’s likely the race will go to a runoff in December, which Walker would likely win.

Bottom line: the DFL remains too powerful to lose here in Minnesota, but elsewhere it’s going to be a tough night for Democrats. Those are my predictions. I also think the House will go about 237-198 for the Republicans, while the Senate will be 53-47. And then the fun begins. Place your predictions in the comments!

 

24 thoughts on “Place Yer Bets

  1. I gotta place a sawbuck on Hakim X getting his ass handed to him…that’s the only one I feel confident about.

    I also predict that if Hakim does indeed lose, he will place the blame on A) being a black man, and B) being a Muslim.

    Anyone in on this?

  2. Mitch, you are underestimating the libturd ability to steal on the national level. Since the game is rigged, I’m not betting.

  3. For the record, jpa, I wrote this, not Mitch. And you may be right, especially in Pennsylvania, but the Donks have done such a terrible job that the usual shenanigans won’t be enough to carry the day in most races.

  4. Governor- Walz wins, but by a narrowed margin than people expect
    Attorney General- Schultz wins by a wider margin than people expect
    Secretary of State- Simon wins- won’t even be close
    Auditor- this is a tough one- I haven’t heard a lot of everyday people (those who aren’t like us who follow races or pay that much attention beyond the major races) talking about auditor and neither Blaha or Wilson have much name recognition among that group (when I’ve been talking to people). That might mean a win for Wilson, but I’m guessing people who don’t pay attention tend to vote incumbent, so I predict Blaha

  5. tl;dr version – there are lots of local elections here in MN that matter like school boards, city council, county, so vote. The process of taking back control from the demo-commies starts there.

    Long version – I don’t think the predictions I’ve seen here are all that far off and so, pretty depressing with regards to MN. However! Republicans, conservatives, the non-left, whatever kinda did this to themselves by not paying attention and believing that the post-Reagan Republican party would look out for them instead of themselves. The demo-commies were allowed to infest everything and everywhere with little or no pushback except in the comments of blogs and grumblings with friends.

    There are, however, lots of local elections that are far less likely to be corrupted and, this time around have non-left candidates that want to make a difference. If the extent of your efforts to change things politically is mostly just complaining, the least you can do is vote for these locals. These local elections are the minor leagues of politics and tomorrow’s rep or senator or even president starts here.

  6. Patriots™! If “our guys” win will they:

    A- Pass the “Border Security Act”, & appropriations.
    B- Put MTG on the House Judicial committee.
    C- Begin inquiries into FBI abuses.
    D- “What’s a border?”
    E- MTG gets a new personal secretary and a nice office at the end of the hall.
    F- Order the FBI to investigate White Supremacists, Kyri Irving and Ye.
    G- Send out Urgent requests for campaign donations.

  7. jdm, people (*coff* me *coff*) have been publicly warning us about the degenerates for 20 years. Nobody gave 2 shits. This is how it went down:

    A guy: “The schools are teaching children degenerate sex is good. Putting condoms in middle schools is just the beginning.”
    The machine: HOMOPHOBE! BIGOT! AAAAAArgh!
    “Patriots: “ooo, that guy is really taking a beating…..let’s have a beer”

    A guy: “Leftist pandering to blacks will undermine our government, law enforcement and judicial system.”
    The machine: RAAAAACIST! WHITE SUPREMACIST!!!!
    Patriots: “ooo, that guy is really taking a beating….let’s have a beer”

    There are a couple guys out there saying the truth today. They’re being attacked, and the machine is working to strip everything they have from them.

    Who is it? Who is the machine? Think about it while you have a beer…it will come to you…

  8. And here we go… again…

    It seems we have the same scenario as the Presidential Elections! Multiple videos that we received this morning show long lines in Anthem, Arizona with poll workers explaining that the Maricopa County machines are not working. Instead of tabulating their ballot directly, voters are being told to put their ballot into a box under the tabulator so that their ballot may be tabulated at a later time downtown. Voters are told to just drop their ballot into the open door seen below.

  9. And again…

    A pair of conservative Georgia poll workers were removed from their Fulton County polling location in what one is calling a “felony violation” of their rights. Laura Kronen said she and her teenage son both signed up months ago to be election day volunteers and went through all of the training programs, only to be turned away under conspicuous and possibly illegal actions on the part of election officials shortly after they had arrived in the early hours Tuesday morning to prepare for a day of poll watching.

  10. and again…

    The polls all say the same thing: Republicans will reclaim the House and Senate. (snip) most alarming, the political operatives know this. (snip) their political operatives have undoubtedly been told by their moneybags masters: “Well, we’ll just have to win, then,” to use the words of Bill Clinton (snip) That’s why delayed election counts ought to be looked at very, very closely by Republican observers. That’s the last arrow in the Democrats’ quiver. Delayed election counts have already been promised by whoever it is who gives orders to social media

  11. Mr. D,

    I’m with you on the “pulled football” analogy 100%.

    But the numbers have been so uniformly bad for Ellison, I am allowing myself the faintest bit of optimism.

    As to Jensen? Conventional wisdom is, the top of the ticket carries the Auditor, SOS and AG. If Jensen gets over the line, the opposite will have been true.

    Fingers, as always, crossed.

  12. And the fact that Craig started running ads in March, and had to finish with a fairly scabrous “stolen valor” ad, tells me her internal polls weren’t giving them nearly as much confidence as she wanted.

  13. Mr D Interactive | What are the vibes like where you live? And what about them makes them bad for Democrats?

  14. Here’s Mike Lindell, on his private jet. Here’s rAT, drunk again.

    Lindell is passionate, and he’s putting his money where is mouth is.

    rAT is a drunken confirmed serial liar, and he’s putting gin and tonic where his mouth is.

    Who’s playing the banjo here?

  15. Your comment is awaiting moderation. This is a preview; your comment will be visible after it has been approved.

    Thank yew very much.

  16. Mr D Interactive | What are the vibes like where you live? And what about them makes them bad for Democrats?

    Like MBerg, I live in RamCo, but a different area. The DFL has little to worry about here.

  17. “The DFL has little to worry about here.”

    Can’t imagine waking up I’m such a place…ever again.

  18. Damn. The comment I made before 3:09 was in moderation. Then it disappeared completely.

    Guess the mod bots weren’t taking any chances on election day.

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