Shot in the Dark

Tag: polling

  • The DFL Morale-Builder, 2010 Edition

    With the news that Tom Emmer has pulled to a tiny, inside-the-margin-of-error lead in the latest Rasmussen poll, I’ve joked that it’s about time for a Star/Tribune “Minnesota Poll” showing Mark Dayton leading by an improbably huge margin. And sure enough, here it is.  It shows Dayton leading Emmer 39-30, with Horner eating up 18…

  • Chanting Points Memo: Polls Apart

    While Pauline Kael, the doyenne of American film critics, passed away years ago, her syndrome is alive and well here in Minnesota. Yesterday’s MPR/Humphrey Institute poll, which showed Mark Dayton and Tom Emmer in a dead heat, drew a chorus of “bad methodology!” from the local leftysphere; none of their friends, after all, voted for…

  • MPR Poll: My Take

    It’s just an MPR poll. But we’re just about two months from the election – so we’re getting to the point that a well-done poll is getting to be worth something. The poll – which focuses on likely voters, whom conventional wisdom says tend to break for the GOP – shows that the money Dayton’s…

  • Attention, Christians: Strib Is Loading Lions Into Chute

    There’s going to be a new “Minnesota” Poll tomorrow in the Strib. Here are my fearless predictions; I predict a couple of things: Despite the fact that actual, reputable polls show Tom Emmer inside the margin of error  (despite having been outspent by a 16:1 margin so far in this campaign), the “Minnesota” Poll will…

  • Faint Praise

    Normally, this might be considered good news: Minnesotans are feeling slightly better about the economy and their finances. But many are still feeling the effects of the recession in their day-to-day lives, according to a Star Tribune Minnesota Poll. But of course, this is the Strib’s Minnesota Poll. So there really are only two questions: How wrong…

  • Minnesota Poll: Most want Coleman to call it quits

    If you ignored the first two words of the following headline… Minnesota Poll: Most want Coleman to call it quits …then it’d seem almost as damning as  the story’s lede Nearly two-thirds of Minnesotans surveyed think Norm Coleman should concede the U.S. Senate race to Al Franken, but just as many believe the voting system…

  • Reasons To Pick Coleman By Four

    #1:  Because the Minnesota Poll says Franken’s up by four. A new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll shows DFLer Al Franken clinging to a slim lead over Republican Sen. Norm Coleman among likely voters, 42 percent to 38 percent. That’s within the poll’s 4.1 percentage point margin of sampling error. The Minnesota Poll seems to spot…

  • Like The Minnesota Poll, Only Nationwide

    The AP calls the race even: The poll, which found Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent, supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain’s “Joe the plumber” analogy struck a…

  • Good News For Mac

    The Minnesota Poll shows The Obamessiah ahead by double digits. The poll, conducted Thursday and Friday, found that Obama is supported by 52 percent of likely voters, while 41 percent are backing McCain. The results show that while McCain has cut into Obama’s 18-point lead from two weeks ago, it’s not enough to move Minnesota…

  • Polled

    2006 was a bit of a holiday from the upper midwest center-right blogosphere’s traditional shredding and hooting at the “Minnesota Poll”, the Star-Tribune’s biennial exercise in DFL promotion.  Things generally went to far to the DFL’s favor (we only salvaged the Governor and Lieutenant Governor’s offices in the worst anti-GOP bloodbath since Watergate) that the…