The Piglet isn’t running for Senate:
That leaves the field with:
- Lt. Governor Flanagan, the one-time extremist who has drifted toward the center-left, at least as compared to
- Ilhan Omar and
- Leigh Finke.
- Al Franken is also riumored to be thinking about wanting to go back to DC.
- Angie Crag, who just keeps barely portraying herself as “moderate” in defending her always vulnerable House seat.
The DFL’s big advantage is their chair has far more power to shape the election field than the GOP chair does. I suspect the wrangling before, during and after the DFL convention will reflect the wishes of whomever is the MNDFL’s sitting char. If it were still Ken Martin, I’d suspect a lot of push behind Rep. Craig – I can’t see that the other three contenders aren’t going to have problems outside 494/694. Franken’s a wild card – but he’s also 73.
There are mainstream (i.e. less overtly Maoist) DFLers who say they think Craig may have an inside shot. Which would open up CD2, which has been vulnerable ever since Jason Lewis left the seat – provided the CD2 GOP can coalesce around a viable candidate, rather
As to Walz running for a third term? That’s gotta be a big lift – but with seemingly every other contender for statewide office in the ring for Senate, it’s hard to see who in the DFL would oppose him, as the field looks now – or which of them would do better in a Governor race.
The wildest card of all, of course, would be vintage DFL: Senator Smith resigns early, Walz appoints either himself or whichever candidate has the current favor of the DFL (himself or Craig, I’d suspect), potentially leaving that choice and Lt. Gov. Flanagan as incumbents next year.
At any rate – the opportunity is there for the MNGOP, if they can tame the circuilar firing squad for one lousy cycle.
And the size of that “if” seems to defy physics.
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