Turning The Third Purple: The Flop

One of the state legislative races the DFL’s been hitting hardest this cycle has been 32B, in Hennepin County. It’s Kurt Zellers’ seat.  Zellers is the House Minority Leader – one of the MNGOP’s pack of young conservatives, Brod and Emmer and Seifert and the others that have made such an impact at the State House this past couple of sessions.

So getting Zellers’ head on a plaque would be a huge spiff for the DFL in what is likely to be a trying year.  They’ve been pouring money and time into Katie Rodriguez‘ campaign.  More than that, they’ve been pouring prestige into it; last week at a fundraiser in the district, Margaret Anderson-Kelliher proclaimed Rodriguez had the district tagged, bagged and on the slab.

If true, this would be huge, akin to the GOP knocking off Dean Johnson a few years back.

If true.

But according to a poll last week from the Tarrance Group of 250 likely voters in 32B, it’s just not true (emphases added):

The survey, conducted October 3-4, found Zellers leading his DFL-endorsed opponent by 24 points, 57-33, replicating a lead he displayed in a poll conducted in August. Zellers also shows a sizable advantage over his opponent among independent voters, leading by more than four-to-one.

Kelliher’s got some ‘splaining to do.

This little portion of the Third District seems to be getting redder and redder as we go along.

But wait – there’s more.  Tune in right after noon.

15 thoughts on “Turning The Third Purple: The Flop

  1. Pingback: Shot in the Dark » Blog Archive » Turning The Third Purple: The Emmer Surge?

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  3. If Zellers is ahead, why is he wasting his money on two polls? Based on the numbers and the source, this poll is a BIG JOKE. Word on the street is that the Republican Party is disappointed in Zellers’ performance and is worried that he is going to lose by a large margin.

  4. If Zellers is ahead, why is he wasting his money on two polls?

    To see if he is or is not wasting his money.

    Based on the numbers and the source, this poll is a BIG JOKE.

    Um, huh? What numbers? What source? Tarrence is a respected pollster. What is supposedly wrong with the numbers?

    You don’t know, do you?

    Word on the street is that the Republican Party is disappointed in Zellers’ performance and is worried that he is going to lose by a large margin

    Oh, really? What “street” is that?

    Specifics, please.

    Cuz if you don’t have specifics to support this claim, you are just an anonymous crank in a comment section.

  5. You seem to be awfully familiar with Zeller’s fundament, Disco. Your business, I suppose.

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  7. Mitch, Night Writer…the street is Main Street, Maple Grove, MN, USA! The poll is a joke. The sample size is too small to be credible. The questions for the poll were probably misleading. Oh, that’s right, you forgot to include the questions in the phony memo. Show the total results and then we can have real conversation.

  8. MG-OsseoChampion said:

    “The questions for the poll were probably misleading”

    So you’re admitting that you don’t know, and you’re now telling us what you want to believe. Great. Thanks much.

  9. Pingback: Shot in the Dark » Blog Archive » How The Hell Does Emmer Win This Thing, Part II

  10. Pingback: Shot in the Dark » Blog Archive » The Real Contest

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