Chanting Points Memo: Ancient History

Sign number 30 that the DFL is so scared of Tom Emmer that they don’t even bother washing their underwear anymore; they’re bringing up “the DUI issue again”.

It popped up last spring during the endorsing convention – and, rumor has it, one of the big PACs is going to run a big ad buy on the “subject”.

I saw the ad just now. I’m not going to link to it – Alida Messinger can pay me a couple thousand dollars.  If you want to see it, it’s out there.

But it’s an incredibly gutless, misleading ad.

It’s Ancient History: Emmer had two DUIs – 19 and 29 years ago.    He paid his debt to society about the time Bill Clinton was being elected to office.

Facts are Pesky Things: The laws he proposed – in the 2006 session, decades after his episodes – would have treated drunk drivers as innocent until proven guilty and allowed them some rights back after ten years of good behavior!  That is all!

The ad itself – a woman talking about her son, killed by a drunk driver who, I’m told, wasn’t Tom Emmer – is the most shameless bit of fact-free, context-raping emotional manipulation I’ve seen on the TV yet.

Apparently all of Alida Messinger’s money can’t buy a sense of shame.

Chanting Points Memo: Buying Minnesota With Daddy’s Money

So far in this campaign, as the DFL hammers its way toward its primary next month, most of the attacks against Tom Emmer have come from a shadowy group, “Alliance for a Better Minnesota”.

I’ve busted them repeatedly stretching the truth and/or lying; Channel Five followed suit earlier this week.

But who are these people?  And where did they get the money to run all these slick (if utterly truth-free) ads, and all these posh (but amateurishly-designed) websites?

Because they run through a lot of money!

2006 Campaign – We first heard of “Alliance For A Better Minnesota” (A4aBM) during the 2006 campaign.  During that outing, A4aBM spent $2,545,162 – about $2.3 million of it in ads against Governor Tim Pawlenty.

Where did that money come from?

Their donor list is as follows:

  • CWA COPE $5,000
  • MAPE $5,000
  • Midwest Values PAC (Franken) $5,000
  • MN AFL-CIO $5,000
  • United Food Comml Workers $7,500
  • Ma Mah Wi No Min Fund1 (Mille Lacs Tribe) $7,000

Unions and Native American gambling interests so far; no big surprises.

  • Tom Kayser (MN) $7,500  [One of Mike Ciresi’s cronies]
  • Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux $15,000
  • MN Nurses $15,000
  • United Steelworkers $22,000
  • Afscme Council 5 – $25,000
  • Lks and Plains Carpenters $25,000
  • IBEW MN State Council $25,000
  • Intl Union of Operating Engineers $25,000
  • America Votes MN $30,040 [aka “ACORN 2.0“]
  • Coalition for Progress $50,000 (Mich)
  • Laborers Dist Cncl $60,000
  • Pat Stryker (CO) $100,000
  • SEIU MN State Cncl $100,000
  • Educ. MN $135,000
  • Tim Gill (CO) $300,000
  • Alida Messinger (NY) $746,000
  • Win Minnesota $778,500;

So – out of two and a half million dollars spent, about 20% – about $449,000 – came from those whom I thought were the most likely suspects, the unions.

And nearly 2/3 came from two sources – “Alida Messinger”, and a group called “Win Minnesota”.

We’ll come back to both of them.

2010 Campaign So Far – To date in the gubernatorial campaign, A4aBM has raised $93,386 (as of this past Tuesday).  They’d spent $72,383 of it as of Tuesday (on ads that were, as we ascertained earlier this week, wall to wall bullcrap).   Of that $93,386, 79.636 of it came from the “Win Minnesota PAC”.

So that’s two election cycles in a row (so far) where “Win Minnesota” has been the leading funder of scabrous hit pieces against Republican candidates.

Win Minnesota?  Seems pretty innocuous, doesn’t it?

Who is “Win Minnesota”, And Who Funds Them? – Here’s the list of major contributors to “Win Minnesota” during the 2006 campaign.  I’ll be adding the emphasis for reasons that’ll become fairly obvious:

  • Anne Bartley (San Fran) $25,000 [Linked via the Rockefeller foundation to Alida Messinger – whose maiden name was “Rockefeller” and who…well, we’ll get back to that.  She’s also linked to Hillary Clinton’s “Women’s Leadership Council” and former Clinton administration figure]
  • Shayna Berkowitz (Mpls) $100,000; ]
  • John Cowles (Mpls) $20,000; [Why yes, the former Strib publisher!  But don’t you dare say the Strib is biased!]
  • Andrew Dayton (Mpls) $1,000;
  • David Dayton (Mpls) $5,000;
  • Eric Dayton (Mpls) $1,000;
  • Mark Dayton (Mpls) $25,000;
  • Mary Lee Dayon (Mpls) $100,000;
  • Vanessa Dayton $1,000;
  • Sandra Ferry (NY) $50,000; [Yet another Rockefeller – sister of Alida Messinger]
  • Barbara Forster (Mpls) $25,000; [generic liberal with deep pockets]
  • Roger Hale (Mpls) $100,000; [Former Daytons’ executive]
  • John Harris (PA)$20,000;
  • Myron Kunin $5,000; [Hair care tycoon]
  • Kim Lund (Mpls) $25,000
  • Darlene Luther 47A Committee $10,000 ;
  • alida Messinger (NY) $165,000;
  • Midwest Values PAC (Franken) $20,000;
  • Linda Pritzker (TX) $30,000; [Scionette of the Hyatt fortune, big-time liberal with deep pockets; major donor to MoveOn.org]
  • Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux $10,000;
  • Tina Smith (Mpls) $10,000;
  • Linde Uihlein (WI)$100,000; [Schlitz heiress, long-time political plutocrat]
  • Julie Zelle (MN) $5,000

That was a lot of Daytons, and people linked with the Daytons…wasn’t it?

So how about this year?

So far in 2010, “Win Minnesota” lists the following donors to “Win Minnesota”‘s current warchest (currently worth $1,173,500), again with emphasis added by me:

  • Andrew Dayton $1,000
  • David Dayton $50,000
  • John cowles $25,000 [Remember him from 2006?]
  • MaryLee Dayton $250,000
  • Emily Tuttle (MN) $5,000
  • Ronald Sternal (MN) $5,000
  • Alida Messinger (NY) $500,000
  • James Deal (MN) $50,000
  • Roger Hale (MN) $10,000 [Remember him from above?]
  • Barbara forster (MN) $25,000
  • Democratic Governors Association $250,000;

So of the $1.1 and change million warchest, $851,000 came from Daytons, and Alida Messinger.

But wait!  There is another fund registered with the state, with a different account number but with the same email and street addresses, that has $850,000 socked away but has spent no money.

And where did that $850,000 come from?

  • Alida Messinger (Mpls) $50,000
  • Win Minnesota $50,000
  • Education MN $250,000
  • Laborers District Council $100,000
  • MAPE $50,000
  • IBEW MN State Council $50,000
  • MN Nurses Assc $50,000
  • Local 49 Engineers $25,000
  • Vance Opperman $50,000
  • Afscme Council 5 $50,000
  • MN AFL-CIO $25,000
  • SEIU MN State Council $50,000
  • AFSCME (Wash DC) $50,000;

And who is this Alida Messinger who has contributed so mightily – over $1.46 million over the past four years! – to the cause of disinforming Minnesotans about Republicans?  Other than the youngest daughter of John D. Rockefeller III?

The ex-wife of candidate Mark Dayton.

So “Alliance for a Better Minnesota” is essentially a front for a group of unions and, to the tune of millions over the past four years, Mark Dayton’s family, friends and ex-wife.

They are paying millions of dollars to advertise – and hiding it from casual view behind two layers of astroturf.

Mark Dayton is trying to buy the election, but he’s taking great pains to make sure you don’t know about it.

Chanting Points Memo: Cue Captain Renault

There’s still a month until the primaries.  Tom Emmer’s been crisscrossing Minnesota, doing what he does best – meeting people.  In his bio with Bill Salisbury in the PiPress, he estimates he’s met 100,000 Minnesotans.  I’d imagine that translates to 80,000 votes.

And the DFL still has a solid month before they have their coronation for Mark Dayton.  They are mired in an epic passion deficit, and (this has to be the most depressing part of all for the DFL rank and file) at the end of it all they have a Mark Dayton candidacy to look forward to.

And so the DFL has their minions pecking away at Emmer, trying to make electoral mountains out of molehills (which explains the heavily-contrived furor over Emmer’s off-handed remarks about wages for tipped workers); without Tom Emmer to kick around, all Dayton, Margaret Anderson-Kelliher, Matt Entenza and Tom Horner (remember him?) have for material is each other.

A few weeks ago, we talked about (and conclusively shredded) the DFL’s other contrived controversy – the Dems’ harping on Emmer to release his plan for fixing the deficit (before they do it themselves, naturally).

And like an old pair of birkenstocks, it’s baaack.  Mark Dayton wants Emmer to cough up his plan.

Dave Mindeman at mnpACT shocks the world with a candid admission:

I have to say that I am with Mark Dayton on this one.

Someone check the space-time continuum.

The 2010 election for governor is too important to not start laying the cards on the table. We should be demanding some detailed options for balancing the next budget.

Demand away!

But Emmer, being the underdog in this race, is smart enough to know that he gets one shot at getting through to the mass of Minnesota voters.  It”ll be after the reality of a Mark Dayton candidacy has sunk in.  It’ll be when people outside the wonk class start thinking about this election.

Dayton’s tax plan is certainly open to criticism. That’s fair. But to me, the criticism is never going to ring true unless alternatives are put out to the public.

The problem is that nobody cares if Emmer’s plan “rings true” right now, because it’ll be released to a roomful of pundits and party hacks.

No – coughing up details right now is what those who are running behind do.  Entenza – stuck in third and on electoral life support – came up with some “details” a few weeks ago – something about green jobs and unicorns.  It seems not to have lit his campaign on fire.

And in perhaps the best symptom yet that the DFL endorsement remains the kiss of death, Kelliher is dipping a toe in:

Margaret Anderson Kelliher is getting closer to some specifics. She laid out an outline in a presser today:

“As Governor I will make those earning more than $250,000 to pay their fair share. I will demand an end to sweetheart deals that shelter tax dollars overseas, and close foreign corporate tax loopholes. “As Governor I will fight waste, fraud and abuse against state government. I will make necessary budget reductions while protecting students from cuts in the classroom, senior citizens in nursing homes, and basic essential services for Minnesota’s most vulnerable. “And as Governor I will use temporary budget tools to transition our state to long-term economic stability.

(Bonus question:  Find any item in that list that pertains to anything but the government and its institutions.  Jobs?  Tax Burden?  Regulation?  Stick a fork in it, Kelliher.  It’s over).

Emmer is doing what  he needs to do to have any hope of prevailing against the voters that matter – the ones that don’ t write for newspapers or blogs – against a full-court DFL and media press in less than four months.

The demand for “details”, today as a month ago, has nothing to do with informing the public, and everything  to do with tactics in a race where the DFL knows it’s going to need a lot of public relations hocus pocus to cover a deadly drought of ideas.

Chanting Points Memo: The Alliance For A Deceitful, Sloppy, Not Very Bright Minnesota

The “Alliance For A Better Minnesota” – an astroturf group sponsored by a consortium of DFL-linked pressure groups – has been behind much of the smear-mongering against Tom Emmer so far this campaign. They’ve occupied themselves with a klutzy false-flag website, a couple of twitter accounts (one of baldfaced propaganda, and one, “StuffEmmerSays”, that tried to mock Emmer statements but actually made him sound like Ronald Reagan to the point I spent the last month mocking it as a pro-GOP site; it seems to have worked, and the account seems to have demised).

And if that’s the best the DFL can do, this election’s not going to be nearly as hard as I’d worried.

“A4aBM” ran the first anti-Emmer ad of the campaign this week; and the Republican Twitterverse has been redounding with bits and pieces of the information A4aBM got wrong.

Long story short; the ad is warm runny bulls**t.

Claim #1: Audio: “Tom Emmer sided with Governor Pawlenty and opposed a plan that would force corporations and CEOs to pay their fair share of taxes”  ABMBackup: “On May 18, 2009, Emmer voted against the second attempt at a DFL- written FY2010-2011 revenue bill…

Sounds pretty gnarly, huh?

The Truth: Tom Emmer did not cast a vote on this roll call.

Oh, my.  You mean, A4aBM got a fact wrong?

Well, the ad is 0-1 so far.

Claim #2: Audio: “They cut funding for education” ABM Backup: “On April 18, 2007, Emmer voted against HF 6, the K-12 funding bill, which passed the House with a huge bipartisan majority of 119-13. On May 8, 2007, Emmer again voted against the bill as it was re-passed on a similar 119-14 vote…

Voted against it twice?  Emphasis added:

The Truth: After April 18, 2007, there were no additional votes taken on this bill that year.  During the 2008 session, this bill was used as a “vehicle” and a delete-all amendment was added completely changing the bill.  The vote they reference on May 8, 2007 was actually a vote on May 8, 2008 and it wasn’t a vote on the bill but, rather, a procedural vote on whether the bill should be taken from the table.  Emmer voted against taking the bill from the table.

You’re trying to say A4aBM lied about the real intent of voting on a picayune procedural technicality in the life of a background-noise bill to try to smear Tom Emmer?  Say it isn’t so!

0-2 so far.

Claim #3: Audio: “[Tom Emmer and Tim Pawlenty] cut funding for education.”

The Truth: There is nothing in the bill cited that included a cut to education.  In addition, KSTP’s Tom Hauser recently had this to say about the claim that Governor Pawlenty cut education funding: “As for Pawlenty cutting education funding, that’s not true.  According to the education department, per pupil funding has gone up since 2004.”

0-3 – well, more like 0-4, really.

Claim #4: Audio: “[Emmer voted to cut] job training.”

The Truth: Nowhere in ABM’s backup is there any support for this claim.  “Training” is mentioned only once in the legislation, and that is in reference to home ownership education.  This bill had nothing to do with job training.

Zero for five.

Claim #5: Audio: “[Emmer and Pawlenty cut] job training and health care”.  On screen: “Source: Minnesota House Journal, 4/25/2005”

The Truth: According to the Minnesota House of Representatives Journal, the House was not in session on 4/25/2005, meaning there could be no Journal of the House for that day.  The Alliance’s citation, therefore, does not even exist.

So the lesson for today is, whenever “Alliance For A Better Minnesota” speaks, distrust and then verity.

Because the DFL asssumes that you, the people, are too stupid to know any better.

Chanting Points Memo: The Case Of The Landscaper Who “Got Dirt”

During the 2006 election, the Star/Tribune ran a story about Alan Fine, the GOP candidate for the Minnesota house against then-candidate, now-representative Keith Ellison.

The piece, with a byline from reporters Rochelle Olson and Paul McEnroe, but which reportedly included a lot of reporting from Erik Black, dropped right before the election, and covered a 12-year-old domestic violence case in which Fine was arrested after a reported altercation with his then-wife.

I looked at the story and thought, for a variety of reasons, that it stank to high heaven.  Scott Johnson at Powerline , being a lawyer, was able to put fact, or lack of it, to the   Strib’s “coverage”; the Strib piece omitted the facts that there was no physical evidence of abuse, no charges were ever filed, the arrest was expunged from Fine’s record, that Fine had eventually won custody of their minor child (a rarity in contested divorces in Minnesota), and Fine’s ex-wife later went on to get arrested for…domestic abuse.

I asked the Strib why all these facts got left out of Olson and McEnroe’s story.

“It was an editorial decision; there wasn’t enough room”, went the response.   But that was dodgy; in an exercise in which I left out some of the puffery and marginalia from Olson and McEnroe’s original story, I got in all the facts with plenty of room to spare (in terms of word count and column-inches).

So you may ask; why did the Strib run an incomplete story that related an inaccurate story that served only to slander a Republican candidate against the candidate that the DFL and Star/Tribune both endorsed?

Do I need to start over, or what?

———-

The problem is, if last week is any indication, the regional media is getting worse – even more selective in its relation of fact, bespeaking an even more bald-faced desire to get Democrats elected.

Last week, the Strib’s Pat Doyle ran a piece purporting to report on some of Tom Emmer’s legal wranging.  I covered it at the time,  calling it a “dog bites man” story of a lawyer…practicing law, and dealing with some of the collateral stresses that come with practicing small-town law; an embezzling office manager, a complaint from a former client, some other issues.  Even on a “Dog Bites Man” level, the story was thin, runny gruel.

The single story of the four that seemed to perhaps hold water was the tale of the landscaper that, to read Doyle’s account, lost a lawsuit against Emmer and his wife Jacquie.

Now, if you take Doyle’s account at face value, Emmer looks like a parsimonious weasel who wriggled out of a bill on a technicality:

In small claims court, District Judge Kathleen Mottl awarded Poppler his entire claim. She added that Emmer’s “request for reimbursement of ‘attorney’s fees’ is wholly inappropriate, as he represented himself.”

Emmer took his appeal to District Court, where his lawyer argued that he wasn’t responsible for the landscaping bill because his wife had initiated and modified the job.

Earlier, Mottl had disagreed with that notion. “She essentially did so as her husband’s agent,” she wrote.

But District Judge Dale Mossey ruled that Emmer was not responsible for his wife’s actions. Poppler said Jacquie Emmer has not paid the $1,237.

He said he’s considering suing her, but he is concerned about attorney’s fees.

Sounds pretty damaging.

And sources out on the campaign trail tell me that the tale has raised some eyebrows.

But Doyle’s story is missing some key facts.

———-

A Minnesota Tenth District Court document, “Findings of Fact, Conclusions of Law and Order” for Case Number CV-07-7141, filed on December 28, 2007, includes the following “Findings of Fact” (transcribed from the order), relates the conclusions of the judge, after a December 13 hearing in Buffalo between Tony Poppler and defeandant Tom Emmer.:

  1. In May of 2006, Jacquie Emmer contacted Plaintiff, seeking the performance of landscaping work.  Plaintiff and Ms. Emmer discussed the scope of the work and the price to perform that work.  Plaintiff and Ms. Emmer entered into an oral contract to perform the work.
  2. On June 22 and 23, 2007, Plaintiff performed the work requested.  During the work, Mrs. Emmer requested additional work to be performed and Plaintiff agreed to perform it.  Part of this additional work included removal of certain dirt.  Mrs. Emmer and Plaintiff did not discuss the specific cost of the additional work.
  3. Defended is married to Mrs. Emmer.  During the course of the project, Defendant looked over some of the work that had been performed and said that it looked good.
  4. Defendant never asked Plaintiff to perform any work whatsoever.  defendant never agreed to pay for removal of dirt.  There is no evidence that Defendant directed Mrs. Emmer to seek landscaping services or to remove dirt.
  5. Plaintiff has been compensated for all materials and labor except for, possibly, the removal of dirt.  Plaintiff does not seek recovery from Defendant or Mrs. Emmer under any theory of contract.  Plaintiff does not seek recovery from Mrs. Emmer under any theory.  Plaintiff seeks recovery from Defendant on a quasi contract theory of unjust enrichment.

Re-read number five.   It says that, as a matter of fact, Poppler didn’t try to sue Mrs. Emmer, the person with whom he had the “contract”.  He’s trying to get the money out of Tom Emmer for “unjust enrichment“.

The “Conclusions of Law” are pretty succinct:

  1. Plaintiff’s performance of landscaping work at the direction of Mrs. Emmer does not unjustly enrich Defendant. Schumacher v. Schumacher, 627 N.W. 2d 725, 729 (Minn App. 2001).

In other words, the basis of Poppler’s suit – that Tom Emmer was “unjustly enriched” by the flap between he and Jacquie Emmer – had no basis in law.

And the “Order for Judgment” is one simple line:

  1. Defendant is entitled to dismissal of Plaintiff’s claims, with prejudice, and to tax his costs.

I’m no lawyer, but it looks as if Mr. Poppler and Jacquie Emmer had a misunderstanding about billing – even though as the court directly noted, he was paid for everything but the dirt removal.  Poppler went after Tom Emmer and, after an appeal, lost, and was compelled to pay Tom Emmer’s court costs.

A source with knowledge of the situation emailed: “Basically, [Poppler] didn’t sue Jacquie because he couldn’t – he did not have a contract and he would have lost. So he tried to sue Tom for “unjust enrichment.” In the findings of fact, the judge wrote that he didn’t have a case against Jacquie. He ruled that the guy sued the wrong person. And he gave Tom court costs. A clear victory for the Emmers“.

But to hear Pat Doyle tell the story, you’d think it was one of a pettifogging attorney welching out on a contractor, and getting away with it on a petty technicality.

Pat Doyle would seem to have printed all the news that fit…the Strib’s narrative.  It’s of a piece with the 2006 smear of Alan Fine, the 2000 smear by association of Rod Grams (reporting on his son Morgan’s addication problems while omitting the fact that Grams had had very little contact with his son; his ex-wife had custory), and other among the Strib’s greatest hits, and might prompt a thinking person to say “there’s a pattern here”.

I will be asking Pat Doyle for comment.  Don’t hold your breath; most Strib and PiPress reporters seem to think they’re above answering questions from peasants.

Chanting Points Memo: When Is A Cut Not A Cut?

You just can’t keep some people happy.

The media and DFL have been chanting for the past week that Emmer hasn’t released his plan for completely re-engineering government.  I pretty well walked through the reasons not to yesterday.

But another reason might be that Emmer knows – as anyone who watches the Minnesota DFL can figure out – that actually answering questions isn’t the issue. 

One area where Emmer has put out actual numbers and concrete proposals is the issue of Local Government Aid.

And yet one of the DFL’s latest chanting points is that “Tom Emmer wants to eliminate Local Government Aid.  The four DFL candidates Dayton, Anderson-Kelliher, Entenza, and “Independence” Party  DFL-Lite candidate Horner all duly parroted the line at the “Green” debate, and Minnesota’s huge class of government hangers-on has uncritically adopted the line.

Naturally, it’s not true.

As we noted in my five-part series on Local Government Aid (Parts One, Two, Three, Four and Five – Six and Seven are actually on the way), Local Goverment aid…:

  1. …was originally intended to subsidize basic services in poor outstate cities,
  2. …has been completely inverted, with the Twin Cities, Minnesota and Duluth getting 2.5 times as much LGA per capita as the rest of Minnesota’s cities,
  3. …has become a vast money-laundering scam, to intended to conceal profligate local spending by fobbing it off on the rest of the state, and thus…
  4. …causing the Big Three cities to act like a heroin addict deprived of his fix when the funds are cut at all; the Big Three cities have become used to being able to hide their excesses by paying for it with other peoples’ money; when LGA gets cut, they face what would be a sisyphean choice for most government bodies, to cut or to raise taxes.  For the DFL-dominated cities, it’s not really a choice; they raise taxes and pass the proverbial buck.

So LGA has become a political kicktoy; big cities need it to keep up the spending and so secure their constituencies and still avoid the pain of excessive tax hikes;  the Republicans in their base – the exurbs – understandably ask why it is that a program that was supposed to ensure that Middle River could pay for a water plant now forces Minnetonka, which gets no LGA at all, to pay for Saint Paul’s fire department, so Chris Coleman can build more indoor ice rinks.

As Emmer’s campaign notes on its website notes on its website, Emmer has sought to stop the insanity:

Tom Emmer is the author of the Minnesota Fair Plan, a bill that would institute a new program to replace (not eliminate) the current system of local government aid (LGA). The Bill was HF 339 of the 86th Legislative Session of the Minnesota Legislature.

The Minnesota Fair Plan would eliminate the current practice of allocating LGA resources by city, a process that has proven rife with political wrangling, with a more equitable system of pooling LGA resources by county and placing responsibility for the distribution of such funds to the county commission. This is hardly the equivalent of “eliminating LGA.”

Emmer’s worked as a defense attorney; I suspect he’s had to shepherd more than a few defendants through spin-dry, and he knows that addicts like crackheads and major cities don’t just recover from their addictions instantly:

The transition from the current system to the new system is designed to take place over several years, to allow city councils to adjust to the Minnesota Fair Plan.

The base level of LGA will be reduced to 40% of the 2009 level for cities over three years with the balance of the funds given to counties to distribute among any and all of the localities within their county as they see fit. The total amount of LGA available will continue to be determined by the legislature. The amount for the current fiscal year listed in the bill was $526,148,487; or just over a half billion dollars.

Half a billion dollars.  To be accurate, the total LGA amount for 2009 (the year Emmer introduced the bill) was $526,141,547 – about $7,000 less than Emmer’s proposal, according to League of Minnesota Cities figures. 

So what Emmer has actually proposed isn’t eliminating LGA; it’s taking the cities’ share (all cities, from Middle River to Minneapolis) out of the cities’ hands and issuing it (over time) to the counties.

It’s not a matter of money; it’s a matter of control.  The DFL wants it; Emmer’s proposal would put a speed bump in the way – another level of accountability.

And the DFL hates speed bumps on the road to your wallet.

Stuck On Stupid Wishful Thinking

The DFL is getting its money’s worth.

Figuratively speaking, naturally.

After the Strib, MPR and the MinnPost ran pieces that called (on rather specious grounds) for Tom Emmer to release his plan for re-engineering state government, the regional sorosphere is taking up the chanting point.  That’s how the DFL machine works.

Since it is a chanting point, however, there are a few points you’ll never hear, either in the media or among the DFL chantblogs:

Why Should Emmer Do The DFL’s Work For Them?:  The DFL not only have seven weeks to go until their primary, but the DFL seems to be mired in a huge passion deficit. Nobody cares about the DFL primary race.  Mark Dayton isn’t so much running away as ambling away with it – because it’s the most tedious primary field in Minnesota history, and its finish is all but inevitable at this point:  Mark Dayton is going to win, and nobody in the world outside the DFL cares about Margaret Anderson-Kelliher and the other guy.

So the DFL desperately wants Emmer to give them some red meat on which the three “contenders” can focus.

Which is why you see the articles, and the vigorous chanting from the blogs; because if the DFL doesn’t get something interesting to talk about soon, their primary turnout may be lower than Bert Blyleven’s lifetime ERA.   The DFL realizes that they’re facing a Republican “passion index” that is beyond anything in recent memory – it may dwarf 1994 by the time we’re done – and they have to do something to focus the troops.

So expect more “Heyyyy, what are you, chicken?  Buk  buk buk!”-style chanting from the DFL, their media supporters, and the chantblogs.

And do not expect Emmer to take the bait!

The Endurance Race:  Campaigns are like a competitive 10K race.  It’s a long slog – and you still need to have a sprint-like “kick” at the end.

And in a long race, runners will try to trick other runners into using their “kick” early, tiring themselves out, and fading in the stretch.

This governor’s race is like a 10K, against an opponent; let’s all that opponent Dieter.  He’s one of those East German athletic machines who’s been pumped full of steroids by his sponsors – the Star Tribune, MPR, the Pioneer Press and the unions – since age 10.   He’s dominated 10K racing for the past 80 few years.  And for all that, you know you can beat Dieter, because you’ve got a great kick…

…but you only have one kick.  And if Dieter jinks you into blowing your kick too early in the race, it’s all over.

The DFL is Dieter; smug, wealthy as all get-out, but starting to show the wear and tear of all the decades of abuse of the taxpayer steroids.  And Tom Emmer has a great “kick” – lots of energized volunteers, some campaign money, a great message…

…but only once.  It’s for the end of the race.  When it matters.

The DFL, of course, would love it if Emmer used his kick right now, while Dieter and the other three runners from Bulgaria, Singapore and Tuvalu were still getting into the starting blocks.

Look – Emmer’s up against not just the DFL, but the media and, by election-time, most likely plenty of national liberal donors and activist groups.  It’s a tough uphill battle in this state; the Strib and MPR have immense influence on voters, and the Strib (and the MinnPost, which is largely former Stribbers) is nothing if not reliably in the bag for the DFL.  Emmer has ever reason to husband his resources, his “kick” – money, ad time, volunteer energy, impact – for when they matter.

And every single DFL and media demand that he pony up his plan now, every single one, is the equivalent of Dieter telling you “vots ze mattah?  You a giiiirly maaan, afraid tur do your kick now, when ve are in ze locker room? hahaha…”

So when your co-workers come out with that time, put ’em in place.  It’s getting old.

UPDATE:  Welcome MinnPost readers!

Chanting Points Memo: Emmer’s Detailed Plan!

Back during Desert Storm, Saturday Night Live – which still had Phil Hartmann, Dennis Miller, Jan Hooks and Dana Carvey, and was hence still funny at the time – parodied one of the military press conferences that were such a staple of the coverage of that war, way back when.

In it, a stoic military officer (played, if I remember correctly, by Kevin Nealon) stood, trying to remain unruffled, as “journalists” asked a series of increasingly absurd questions:

 

REPORTER:  “Tell us, Colonel:  what will be the targets, strike times and units involved in any air raids today?” 

OFFICER:  “Um, I am afraid I can’t, er, discuss that…”

ANOTHER REPORTER:  “Colonel, when exactly will the ground attack take place, and where?”

OFFICER:  “Um…”

The media’s coverage of Tom Emmer’s gubernatorial campaign reminds me of that skit.

I noticed this bit in Erik Black’s piece in the MinnPost that I covered yesterday (and that Black’s old colleague John Tevlin, in true “Circle The Wagons!” style, also covers today, in nearly identical thoughts if not words):

[Emmer] owes the voters of Minnesota some straighter talk, not about what he could do, but what he would do to balance the budget. (Not to say that all the other guv candidates have been clear abut how they would do it. They haven’t.)

I asked yesterday – Emmer “owes” the people “straight talk”, while the DFLers merely get a mild joshing nod?

Still, I’ve heard this from a few people; “If Emmer’s so great, and if he’s going to rebuild government, then where is his master plan on how he’s going to do the whole thing?”

I gotta confess sometimes, I”m curious myself.

But it doesn’t take a political consultant or an especially curious journalist to see that…:

  1. We are still two months away from having a DFL candidate.
  2. We do, however, have a huge pool of establishment journalists, “alternative” media figures who are dying for material, and…
  3. …a legion of DFL hacks and flacks whose mission it is to try to take the battle to Tom Emmer during these two months, to try to derail any momentum he builds while the Dems are noodling around with their primary process (and, let’s be honest, most of the “establishment” media in #2 above is at the very least sympathetic with, if not actively working to promote at some level, the DFL).

So with that in mind, tell me – what sense would it make for Tom Emmer to release “the master plan” for his administration, two months before there is an alternative to compare it to?  All that would do is give the DFL and the media (that is, let’s be honest, largely on the DFL’s side) time to define, frame, and re-spin it, long before the Dems ever have a candidate, much less a “plan” to “scrutinize”.  Which I put in scare quotes, since I’m not willing to take it on faith that anyone in the Twin Cities’ establishment media will “scrutinize” the DFL’s “plan” so much as run cover for it; that’ll be, as usual, the job of the conservative alternative media.

What’s Emmer’s plan?  I dunno.  His rhetoric is certainly building up expectations; if he’s not swinging for the fence, he’s at least aiming for the outfield. He’s be nuts not to, in my humble opinion; this is a year when people want to see results, and are showing everyone who cares how sick they are of arrogant, rapacious, thud-witted goverment and the bills it leaves us.

But is he wrong to sit on that plan until it matters?  Even if , horror of horrors, it leaves the state’s chattering classes and the designers of the DFL’s Chanting Points less material for the time being?

I’ll give you my answer when I see Mark Dayton’s plan.

Continue reading

Chanting Points Memo: Coulda Woulda Shoulda

I could make Scarlett Johannson the happiest woman in the world.

Let’s see if Tom Scheck and Erick Black start staking out Ms. Johannson’s house.

It might be easier than answering the questions about their coverage of the Emmer campaign.

———-

Tom Emmer launched “Emmertruth” – a site dedicated to countering the media’s context-mangling DFL-agenda-m0ngering – yesterday.  And right in the nick of time.

This past April, Emmer appeared on Gary Eichten’s mid-day show on MPR.  Eichten asked Emmer a hypothetical question about how he’d hypothetically handle Minnesota’s budget.

Now, as someone who talks on the air live for two hours a week with no more “editing” than a dump button in case Ed starts cursing again, I’ll tell you – every so often you say something on the first try that isn’t quite right.  So you take another pass at it.   This happens even if you’re very good at speaking off the cuff – which, by the way, Tom Emmer is.

Most print news people – like Erik Black, formerly of the Strib and currently of the MinnPost – have a hard time with this; they can go their entire career without a “rough draft” going out to the public.  And MPR’s Tom Scheck perhaps is the wrong person to ask about it, since MPR is about as  spontaneous and unedited as the Catholic Mass.

Anyway – according to Emmertruth, this is what happened, with emphasis added by me:

Emmer did initially say the overall budget should be around $40 billion, down from the current level of $60 billion. But seconds later he clarified with the definitive statement that we “can reduce government easily by 20% in the next four years.” When Scheck chose to use the $20 billion figure instead of the more definitive final word on the question, he made a critical and material journalistic mistake.

Here – in Tom Scheck’s piece on the subject, which extensively quotes state bureaucrats on why Tom Emmer should not cut state bureaucracy – is the quote in question:

In late April, he suggested he could eliminate a third of overall state spending, roughly $20 billion.

You be the judge – but from where I sit, Scheck is wrong, or misleading, when he uses the $20 billion number. Emmer said – in the definitive take on the hypothetical question – he’s cut 20% over 4 years. Not that he’d immediately slash $60 to $40 billion.

It’s not rocket surgery to expect that the local mainstream media will circle its wagons to defend the rest of the media.  And some of the regional  media, including Erik Black’s former bosses in the Strib editorial board, are pretty transparently working to see a DFLer gets elected governor this fall, as usual.  And while I’m the last person in the world to impugn the integrity of MPR News – whose standards I’ve repeatedly praised in the past – their coverage of Emmer bears watching, since Emmer has spoken of cutting the state’s subsidy of MPR.

Black continues:

he has launched a feature called “EmmerTruth,” in which he will set the record straight about distortions of his record, position and statements.The first couple of entries, though, are pretty weak. In one, he complains that MPR reporter Tom Scheck said that Emmer would cut $20 billion in state spending. But Emmer says he never said he would cut $20 billion, only that he could.

And then…what?

He went on to clarify the whole thing!

So why did Scheck choose to go with the initial – and, via Emmertruth, admittedly bobbled – take on the hypothetical, when the clarification is, with a nod to Regis Philbin, “the final answer?”

And why did Black ignore this?   Do the facts matter, or is it all about playing “gotcha” with off-the-cuff answers to hypothetical questions?

Black concludes:

I’ve about convinced myself that Emmer owes Scheck an apology.

I’m dying to figure out why.

And he owes the voters of Minnesota some straighter talk, not about what he could do, but what he would do to balance the budget. (Not to say that all the other guv candidates have been clear abut how they would do it. They haven’t.)

Let me get this straight:  the DFL candidates have been “unclear”, but Emmer “owes” everyone an explanation now – so the DFL and its friends in the media can bag on it at their leisure until the DFL picks a candidate?

Why does the MinnPost hold Republicans to a different standard than the DFL?

DISCLOSURE:  I recently signed on to have occasional posts from this blog re-posted on MinnPost.  We’ll see how that works out now, won’t we?

UPDATE:  Gary Gross at Let Freedom Ring and True North covers this as well.

CORRECTIONS:  In the original take on this story, I’d forgotten that there is, technically, a GOP primary.  That’s right, Leslie Davis and Ole Savior get their moment in the electoral sun.  Als0,  I had the wrong date for the original broadcast on the Eichten show that spawned this “controversy”.

Chanting Points Digest: Emmer’s First Six Weeks

We’ve been covering the DFL’s chanting points for the past month or so.

As the DFL still has two months to go until they get to the primary, they still have eight weeks of internecine bloodletting before they actually have to try to unite behind Mark Dayton.

And so the regional media and the left-leaning “alternative” media are focusing their coverage of the Emmer campaign on a number of chanting points whose relation to factuality doesn’t stand up to the most cursory examination….

…but then, chanting points aren’t supposed to.   They are responses to Josef Göbbels’ classic Public Relations dictum “if you want people to believe a big lie, repeat it often enough”. 

They’ve got the repitition part down, of course; you can practically trace the Minnesota leftyblog chain of command [1], watching the various memes – Chanting Points – making their rounds, starting with the big DFL-affiliated blogs, and filtering their way down to the little footsoldier blogs.

The purpose of the “Chanting Points Memo” is to give you, the conservative in the street who may not spend your time living and breathing  politics, the material you need to respond to some of the tripe the DFL is spreading about when you hear it from your DFL friends, relatives and co-workers – not so much to convince them, as to make sure any undecided or non-aligned voters that are in on the conversation can get the actual facts.  From you!

So let’s run down the big Chanting Points offenders so far in the Gubernatorial race:

“The GOP is in disarray because Tom Horner and Arne Carlson oppose Tom Emmer”: This is often followed with “Tom Horner is a Republican.  End of Story”, from the kind of people who believe that saying “end of story” actually ends the story.   See below.

Right.  And the DFL is in disarray because Randy Kelly and Norm Coleman aren’t part of it.  Right?

It’s balderdash, of course.  While Horner, Carlson and Dave Durenberger were part of the GOP mainstream twenty-odd years ago, before conservatism made any serious inroads in the party, today they are relics of an era when the old “Indpendent Republican” party was no less a big-government, big-tax party than the DFL.  Just like Kelly and Coleman are, by DFL standards, fossils from an era when Harry S. Truman, John F. Kennedy and Hubert Humphrey combined their “progressive” ideals with a staunch patriotism and the sense that the the taxpayer wasn’t a ripe suck that deserved what they got and should just shut up already.

[1] Oh, I know – it’s not a literal chain of command, except as re the Minnesoros “Independent”, which takes its orders from the supremely-ironically-named “Center for Independent Media”.   But watching memes circulate through regional leftyblogs is a bit like watching word spread through a bee hive  that there’s a pollenating flower nearby.

“Tom Horner is a Republican!  End of Story!  Hahahahaha!” – Right.  He’s part of the big-government, big-tax, big-spending wing of the GOP;  the part that has been so completely marginalized within the party that they have to go to places like the “Independence” Jesse Ventura Party to get a shot at running for office.

Since the twilight of Governor Ventura, the “IP” has been mostly a haven for “moderate” Democrats like Tim Penny, cast-off wonks like Dean Barkley, and “Independent Republican” fossils like Horner, who may have been a typical Minnesota Republican establishment figure in the early eighties, but is not today.

Is it possible it’ll backfire on the GOP?  Has the GOP moved “too far to the right?”  Well, we’ll find out in November, in the only poll that matters.  It’s entirely possible the party could lose its shirt this fall – but I”m just not seeing it.

Because what’s interesting is that Republicans who’ve run to the right of the conventional wisdom in the past two cycles – historically awful cycles for the GOP – have done better than the ones that scampered to the center.  Michele Bachmann beat back two challenges in a row,  and rode out being abandoned by the weak-kneed leadership of the national GOP.  Tim Pawlenty took a hard line on taxes and spending – very “red” behavior – and held on in 2006.  Erik Paulsen ran well to the right of the conventional wisdom in the Third District, back when that “wisdom” said the Third was “deep purple”; Paulsen may be no Newt Gingrich, but he’s well to the right of his predecessor, Jim Ramstad – exactly the opposite of what the conventional wisdom was saying about the district two years ago. 

If bright red carried the day in both of those horrible cycles, what do you think it’s going to do with the Tea Party at its back, in a year that is shaping up to be less “anti-incumbent” than “anti-big goverment?”

“Tim Pawlenty has destroyed Minnesota!” – We’re in mid-recession, and our unemployment rate, while high, is the 13th best in the nation, almost three points below the national average.  Check out the states with the best unemployment; most of them conservative-run states outside the deep south.  Liberal cesspools California and Michigan, at 48 and 50 on the list, with 12.6 and 14% respectively, are what the DFL would have; high-tax, high-“service” states that, when times get tough, fail with a huge “foomf”.

I’d love to see what would have happened in this past four years had the MNGOP been able to hold even one of the houses of the Legislature; while Pawlenty essentially held the line on spending, he couldn’t stop everything that the DFL’s two-house press threw at him.  Spending rose – at a time when it needed to be cut, and cut sharply.

But no – when the DFL says Pawlenty “destroyed Minnesota”, what they mean is “Pawlenty made government a tad less comfortable; he slowed the rate of increase in a way that forced government to have to actually adapt, like all the greasy hoi-polloi have to do when times get tough”. 

Goverment hates that.  DFL is the party of government.  Connect the dots.

“Emmer is running scared!” – Of what?

Polls?

Leaving aside the fact that the only poll that shows dodgy results for Emmer – the “PiPress” poll earlier this week that was commissioned from a company run by a pal of Tom Horner’s – is the most transparently risible exercise in DFL morale-building since…well, the last “Minnesota Poll” – so what?   If credible polls taken months before elections mattered, Emmer would have dropped out of the race after Marty Seifert won the Central Committee poll, and won it soundly, last winter.

Emmer spent the winter getting name recognition among Republicans, and bit by bit snuck up on and, finally, defeated Seifert for the nomination.  And he did it the old-fashioned way – one voter at a time.

Emmer has always been the underdog.  If he’s the underdog now, that’s fine – Mark Dayton has huge name recognition outstate (Entenza doesn’t matter, and I’m verging on saying Kelliher doesn’t either), but after the primaries, when Minnesota voters look at the DFL slate and say “Oh, that Mark Dayton?”  It’s fair to say that someone meeting Tom Emmer stands a great chance of coming away a supporter; someone meeting Mark Dayton may need a cup of coffee, stat.

“Emmer is an extremist!” – Over what?  His push to fundamentally rebuild government into a more responsible, less costly, less-entitled institution?  Most Americans and Minnesotans agree these days. 

Over Arizona’s immigration law?   Emmer supports the same law – which does not allow profiling – that nearly two in three Americans do.

Emmer is the mainstream candidate.  Which is the only reason the DFL and their blog friends need to keep repeating the lie that he’s not; it’s the only response they have.

We’ll do another digest after the DFL and their pals in the media and their kept blogs send some of these memes to the showers and wheel out some new ones.

Chanting Points Memo: The Mindy‘s Thin, Runny Gruel

Andy Birkey of the Minnesoros “Indpendent” and Bradlee Dean of punk-rock fundamentalist ministry “You Can Run But You Can Not Hide” and AM1280’s “Sons Of Liberty” are so different from each other that Hollywood is reportedly talking about putting them on an island and doing a reality show.

Not without reason, of course; Dean is an outspoken fundamentalist who believes God condemns homosexuality; Birkey covers the gay beat for the Mindy, especially focusing on outrages against gay rights (provided they’re not from Keith Ellison).

Of course, Dean’s preaching on the subject is not unusual among fundamentalist ministries; most African-American Baptist churches are every bit as fire-and-brimstone on the subject as Dean. But I’m at a loss to find another fundamentalist minister who’s been the subject of seventeen pieces in the Mindy in the past eight months.

Lately, as we noted last week, the subject of the coverage has been a radio broadcast where, to read Birkey’s account, Dean said executing gays was moral.  We dealt with and disposed of that this past week; Dean will no doubt address the issue this weekend on “Sons of Liberty”.

Now, even the Minnesoros “Independent” knows that “fundamentalist cites Leviticus in re gays” is “dog bites man”.  It’s not news.  And the “Independent” doesn’t really cover theology.   Their mission is to advance the left’s agenda.

And part of the left’s agenda this year in Minnesota is to win the Governor’s office.

With this in mind, Birkey has spent his last couple of articles trying to tie the Tom Emmer campaign to Dean and his ministry.

The “ties”, according to Birkey, are:

An almost-two-year-old “donation” of $250, in the form of buying seats at a You Can Run benefit dinner in November of 2008.  This, by the way, was long before YCR was on the regional media radar – although Birkey continues to refer to this “donation” with context and time frame carefully buried.

Tom Emmer stopping by and getting photographed at the YCR booth at the Minnesota State GOP Convention (as he had stopped by every single gathering of conservatives anywhere in Minnnesota for the past year).

An appearance on “Sons Of Liberty”.  By that token, RT Rybak, a former NARN guest, must be a conservative sympathizer.

Tom Emmer calling Bradlee Dean and his associates “nice people.   It’s perhaps an inconvenient truth to Andy Birkey that Bradlee Dean and Jake MacMillan are nice people.  They may have different beliefs than Andy Birkey and, also, me.  And perhaps it’s easier to believe people who disagree with you are foul people with horns growing out their heads.  But Dean and MacMillan and their wives and associates are a genial bunch.

And that’s it.  That, according to Birkey, is the extent of Tom Emmer’s “link” to YCR.

And yet Birkey wrote (with emphasis added):

“Emmer is one of several Republican leaders involved with the ministry of Bradlee Dean,”

Andy Birkey:  Where is the “involvement”? All you have is an ancient donation, a photo and an off-handed and, as it happens, accurate impression of personalities.

Does Emmer have any substantial link to YCR?  Does YCR have any significant influence on Emmer?

Or is the Mindy just repeating a big lie until people believe it?

Andy Birkey and the Mindy:  Either show a real, current, substantive link between Emmer and You Can Run – and by “substantive” I mean more than a grin-‘n-run photo or a door-knocking-stop – or get real, grow up and drop your unsupported meme that Emmer is, in your words, “involved” with YCR.

Because you can mislead, but you can not get away with it.

Chanting Points Memo: “LGA Cuts Are Destroying Minnesota” (Part V)

Last week, someone asked “what about Rochester”.

Interesting questions.

The “Big Three” – Minneapolis, Saint Paul and Duluth – are interesting cases in that they have all been run by more-or-less DFL-dominated regimes for all of recent memory; the Norm Coleman/Randy Kelly years in Saint Paul were an anomaly in that you had moderate DFLers (Coleman eventually became a Republican) running the show. 

All three cities have been represented by various flavors of DFL – from moderate to crypto-maoist, with a huge “progressive” preponderance – at all levels, from Washington DC all the way down to city council.

Rochester is a lot more interesting.  It’s a stereotypically Republican town – although it certainly has a powerful DFL involved in the city and region’s politics, being represented by Tim Walz as part of the First Congressional District.

  2002 2009 Before Unallotment 2009 After Unallotment
Rochester LGA $10,700,664 $8,979,816 $7,307,970
Rochester Levy $22,480,214 $41,486,193 $41,486,193
Rochester Pop 89,325 102,437 102,437
    MVHC Cut: $1,671,846

 And Rochester gets significant Local Government Aid – although in 2009 it amounted to $71 per Rochester resident, as opposed to $343 per Duluther.

But the big difference is in population:  Rochester is actually the third-largest city in Minnesota now, and has grown 14% during the Pawlenty years, as the Twin Cities grew slightly and Duluth shrank.

As a result – while the Twin Cities “tax Capacity” has been fairly stagnant (less due to collapsing property values than to the fact that the Cities have no place to grow; surrounded by ‘burbs, they can’t annex anything), while Rochester’s has grown 53% during Pawlenty’s administration.

Rochester is expanding physically, of course, and that helps the tax base (and helped shrink the city’s LGA by about 30% during the Pawlenty years).  But the demand for the space it has is growing, and the health of the local and regional economy plays a role; the city wouldn’t be expanding if there weren’t jobs for people to do.

 Correlation doesn’t equal causation – but the fact that Rochester has a functional two-party government certainly can’t hurt its prosperity, compared with the stagmant one-party miasma of the Twin Cities.

Still – notwithstanding the fact that Local Government Aid, which was instituted to help move money from the state’s wealthy urban/suburban areas to the stagnant outstate area (call it “municipal welfare”), it currently awards the state’s Big Four cities, where just over one in five Minnesotans live…

  2002   2009 After Unallotment
Big 4 Pop 845,156   865,843
Total city Pop 3,930,406   3,930,413
Big 4 % of Pop 21.5%   22.0%

…with well over half of the Local Government Aid…

  2002 2009 Before Unallotment 2009 After Unallotment
Big 4 LGA $225,457,015 $191,096,688 $174,328,384
All others LGA $339,533,937 $335,044,859 $307,193,549
Big 4 % of LGA 66.4% 57.0% 56.7%

…which means twice as much Local Government aid per resident goes to Duluth, the Twins and Rochester…

  2002 2009 Before Unallotment 2009 After Unallotment
Big 4 per capita LGA $266.76 $220.71 $201.34
All others LGA per capita $110.05 $109.33 $100.24

…as to the rest of the state, even with Rochester’s proportion shrinking by almost a third.

——–

On a related note, someone from the League of Minnesota Cities has been discussing my series on Twitter.  He notes that LGA has not risen or fallen in a straight line over the Pawlenty years; if you look at LGA statewide and for individual cities, it bounced up and down quite a bit. 

That is a fact. It also doesn’t change my conclusions, which are…

  • …that for all the left’s caterwauling about Pawlenty “leaving a mess” after eight years by cutting LGA, that local governments have seized far more of this state’s wealth via property tax hikes than they ever lost from LGA cuts, and…
  • …even if you accepted the initial necessity of a “municipal welfare” program like LGA to transfer wealth from the once-wealthy Metro to the once-stagnant-to-impoverished Greater Minnesota, the program has reversed itself, and become a program to launder the profligate spending of the Metro DFL through the rest of the state’s taxpayers, as well as…
  • …a political cudgel the DFL uses to squeeze voters, by simultaneously holding hostage programs that directly impact the taxpayer (firefighters, libraries) even as they jack property taxes far beyond any actual LGA cuts

Most worrisome?  If a DFL governor is elected and the DFL retains control of both houses of the Legislature, you know that while the Metro’s property taxes will not budge significantly downward, the statewide taxes to cover the promised “restoration” of LGA (with “cost of living” increases) will zoom upward for all Minnesotans as well. 

Thursday – what about the parts of the state that don’t get in on the LGA gravy train?

Chanting Points Memo: “LGA Cuts Are Destroying Minnesota!” (Part IV)

In the first three parts of this series, I showed that the example of government fiscal starvation Jeff Rosenberg used in his plaintive plea for more Local Government Aid (LGA) – Brainerd shutting off some of its streetlights – was not borne out by the numbers.  I also showed that the DFL’s claim that cities are raising property taxes to make up for LGA cuts isn’t even half the truth – indeed, it’s more like 1/7th the truth, as property tax levy increases have outstripped LGA cuts by a factor of 7.5 to 1  – and that’s after Governor Pawlenty’s “unallotment”, without which the disparity would have been more like 16 to 1.

On Tuesday, we’ll be looking at LGA in Greater Minnesota – on the many, many cities that get no LGA, and on one city that receives it, but has run its fiscal shop much more responsibly than the DFL-clogged Big Three cities.

That’s next week.

For today, though, I just want to answer some questions.

A couple of people, on blogs and in the comment sections, sniffed “but you’re not controlling for inflation”, with one suggesting if I didn’t use constant dollars the whole exercise was moot. 

Inflation is a factor, and as I noted people need to take it into account when considering the numbers. 

But as I noted the other day, property tax levies have risen 59% in the past eight years.   Even with the cuts to LGA, the total amount of LGA plus levies has risen 34%. 

Inflation during the same period was 21.94%.

“But the government inflation rate is higher!” 

Well, that’s part of the problem, isn’t it?  Government is more expensive than most things – mostly due to labor.  The median government job pays much better than the median private sector job; add in benefits, and the fact that government is the most-unionized sector of the economy (thus immune to the salary contraction that we in the private sector have dealt with in recent years. and “government inflation is higher” is a key reason to cut, not raise, the amount we spend on them.

And it brings up a key question that ties into liberals and conservatives’ views on what government really is: should government be immune to hard times in the private sector?  More to the point – should the taxpayer be required to keep government immune at all costs, when they themselves are suffering in a way that government employees are not?

This will be an especially important question next year, when the current “recovery” grinds to a halt under the avalanche of new Obama administration taxes; indeed, stagnancy or a double-dip recession will likely be tied directly to the growth and voracity of government.

So not only is the complaint about inflation numbers wrong, but it completely avoids the real point; government should not be immune to hard times in the rest of the economy.  Government is not a family member that we are obligated to support; it is at best an employee.  Not much different than the millions that are getting laid off, although the worst government can expect is that they’ll get a pay cut, and it’ll be temporary, and that when things do turn around (when the grownups are in control again), they’ll bounce back just fine.

More next week.

Chanting Points Memo: “LGA Cuts Are Destroying Minnesota!” (Part III)

There are a little over five million Minnesotans. 

About 4.3 million of them live in “cities” of widely-varying sizes and government types, from plucky Montevideo up to metropolitan Minneapolis, from conservative Mound to neo-Wobbly Duluth.

These cities have a few things in common.  They levy property taxes to pay part of their municipal bills – and many of them spent much of the past forty years laundering their spending through the state via “Local Government Aid”. 

In their approach to the next election and the run-up to this November (which, for the DFL, will almost surely be as  much a matter of running against Pawlenty as anything), the DFL is banging on the ideas that…:

  • cuts to Local Government Aid shredded budgets and gutted infrastructure throughout Minnesota, and
  • Minnesota cities need to “pay their way”.

So let’s look at how Minnesota “pays its way”, according to data from the League of Minnesota Cities.

From 2002 to 2009,. Local Government Aid to all Minnesota cities fell 15%. 

  2002 2009  Initial 2009 after Unallotment $ change % Change
Total City LGA $564,990,952 $526,141,547 $481,521,933 ($83,469,019) -15%
Total City Levy $1,060,248,330 $1,689,917,723 $1,689,917,723 $629,669,393 59%
Total LGA+Levy $1,625,239,282 $2,216,059,270 $2,171,439,656 $546,200,374 34%

 You might ask “what about the changes between 2002 and 2009?”  It’d be a fair question; while I am focusing on the big picture here – the gross movement during the Pawlenty Administrion, the fact is that LGA started at $564 million in 2002, dropped to $464 million in 2003, dipped into the $430-million range through ’05, and held in the $480-millions until 2009, when the original amount ballooned back up to $526 million, before Governor Pawlenty’s unallotment shaved it back into teh $481 million range, roughly where it’d been throughout his second term.

But check out the second line – the total property tax levies from all cities.  In every year of the Pawlenty Administration, they rose by at least $100 million. 

As a result, while total LGA was off 15%, or about $83 million, for the period (and maybe $3 since the start of Pawlenty’s second term, even with unallotment and the removal of the “Minnesota Value Homestead Credit” (in which the state stopped paying cities and counties back for a credit on taxes for high-value homes – which affected suburbs with high property values vastly more than the Big Three cities of Minneaoplis, St. Paul and Duluth – of which more in a bit.

Those numbers are for all cities.   And throughout Minnesota, hikes outstripped cuts by a factor of 7.5 to 1 (683 milion to 85 million), even after unallotment.

Now, let’s look at the Big Three – Minneapolis, Saint Paul and Duluth.

Minneapolis’ population grew by 2% during the Pawlenty years – while property tax levies rose 93% to cover a post-allotment drop of 28% in LGA payments; the city’s total revenue zoomed up 35% during the Pawlenty years.  Hikes outstripped LGA cuts by almost 4 to 1.

  2002 2009 2009 with unallotment $ change % Change
Mpls LGA $111,567,143 $88,786,411 $80,249,971 ($31,317,172) -28%
Mpls Levy $121,910,797 $235,717,416 $235,717,416 $113,806,619 93%
Total LGA+Levy $233,477,940 $324,503,827 $315,967,387 $82,489,447 35%
Mpls Population 382,446 390,131 390,131 7,685 2%

 Saint Paul didn’t fare quite as well; nearly doubling the property tax levy to its stagnant population  only compensated the 22% drop in LGA with an overall quarter hike in LGA/property tax revenue.  Hikes outstripped cuts by almost 3 to 1.

  2002 2009 2009 with unallotment $ change % Change
StP LGA $73,554,056 $62,600,018 $57,569,445 ($15,984,611) -22%
StP Levy $45,857,683 $89,254,277 $89,254,277 $43,396,594 95%
Total LGA+Levy $119,411,739 $151,854,295 $146,823,722 $27,411,983 23%
StP Population 287,260 288,055 288,055 795 0%

 Duluth’s LGA, with unallotment, dropped by one percent over the Pawlenty Administration, and supplies more of the city’s budget than the property tax levies – which rose 70% – do.  Note that while Local Government Aid was virtually unchanged even with Pawlenty’s unallotment, and the loss of MVHC revnues had little effect given the city’s depressed housing values, property taxes went from about a third of the total LGA/tax venue mix to a little less than half; the overall take rose by 15%, even though Duluth’s population shrank.

  2002 2009 2009 with unallotment $ change % Change
Duluth LGA $29,635,152 $30,730,443 $29,200,998 ($434,154) -1%
Duluth Levy $9,062,723 $15,437,590 $15,437,590 $6,374,867 70%
Total LGA+Levy $38,697,875 $46,168,033 $44,638,588 $5,940,713 15%
Duluth Population 86,125 85,220 85,220 (905) -1%

So let’s compare the state’s Big Three cities with the rest of the state.

The population of Minneapolis, Saint Paul and Duluth grew by about a percent during the Pawlenty years, while all the rest of Minnesota’s cities grew by 8% – greater than the population of Saint Paul.  The Big Three cities’ state of the state’s population shrank by 1.2%, to just under 18% – less than one in five Minnesotans:

Populat6ion 2002 2009   Gross change % Change
Big 3 Population 755,831 763,406   7,575 1%
Total city Pop 3,993,198 4,315,637   322,439 8%
Big 3 % of Pop 18.9% 17.7%      

 But how do the finances break out?

The big three, even with a 22% post-unallotment cut, get a third of the state’s Local Government Aid – double the population’s proportion of the revenues:

Big 3 LGA $214,756,351 $182,116,872 $167,020,414 ($47,735,937) -22%
All others LGA $350,234,601 $344,024,675 $314,501,519 ($35,733,082) -10%
Big 3 % of LGA 38.0% 34.6% 34.7%    

Divided up by resident, this means that residents of the Big Three get, even after the unallotment cuts, two and a half times as much Local Government Aid per-capita than the rest of the state’s cities.

  2002 2009 2009 ost unallotment Change %change
Big 3 per capita LGA $284.13 $238.56 $218.78 ($65) -23%
All others LGA per capita $10.19 $96.85 $88.54 ($20) -18%

And the Big Three’s property tax revenue hikes – 93%,  almost $164 million over the Pawlenty years – outstripped their net LGA cuts (almost $48 million) by 3.4 to 1. 

What does this mean?

The Hikes Beat The Cuts: While the DFL caterwauls endlessly about the damage the cuts in LGA did, the hikes in property taxes statewide outstripped the LGA cuts by 7.5 to 1.   Without unallotment, that would have been closer to 16 to 1.  Bear in mind that this is money that goes to government – not merely to maintain it but to grow it – as opposed to anything useful, like growing our private sector or putting your kids through college.

Pay Your Own Way?  While Local Government Aid was originally intended to subsidize smaller, poorer governments in outstate Minnesota, so that their schools and infrastructures could compete with those of the once-wealthy Twin Cities, that’s been totally stood on its head during the past generation.  Minneaopolis, Saint Paul and Duluth get 2.5 times as much Local Government Aid per capita than the state’s smaller cities.

Why?

Because the Big Three cities are basket cases after generations of unfettered DFL control.

The DFL would have you believe there’s no alternative.

We’ll look into that on Monday.

Chanting Points Memo: Emmer And The Yellow Quote

Over the years, we’ve become used to the Minnesota Independent’s sloppy, agenda-driven “reporting” on issues.

Yesterday, Andy Birkey at the Mindy topped himself in a piece about a “donation” from the Tom Emmer campaign to “You Can Run International” (YCR(, an Annandale-based ministry. 

YCR is a fundamentalist group that started as a metal-rap music ministry that started doing assemblies in schools, and have branched out into multimedia, including a weekly radio program, “Sons Of Liberty” on WWTC-AM, where my “Northern Alliance Radio Network” also broadcasts.  Disclosure:  I know Bradlee Dean via the station; we talk radio quite a bit; I disagree with him on not a few things, theologically and politically, and he and his ministry say a few things I don’t personally endorse.  But we’re on the same team (and I’m waiting to see which leftyblog is the first to copy and paste “we’re on the same team” while omitting the previous couple of sentences).

Birkey:

The Minnesota House campaign of Rep. Tom Emmer donated to the ministry of You Can Run But You Cannot Hide Intl., Inc., according to the press secretary for Emmer’s gubernatorial campaign. Emmer is one of several Republican leaders involved with the ministry of Bradlee Dean, who leads a hard rock band that brings its message of Jesus Christ into public schools and recently affirmed the practice of Muslim countries executing gays and lesbians.

First, the “donation”. 

According to a source very close to the Emmer campaign, “the “contribution” was nothing more than buying seats at a dinner”, a teen outreach event.   It was not a direct cash donation to YCR, as Birkey’s article implies.

Tomayto Tomahto?  Not really – accuracy and context count. 

But Birkey goes farther into the weeds.

According to campaign finance reports, Emmer’s campaign gave You Can Run $250 in late 2008 (pdf).

In the last few months, Emmer has appeared on Bradlee Dean’s radio show — the same show on which Dean said, “Muslims are calling for the executions of homosexuals in America. This just shows you they themselves are upholding the laws that are even in the Bible of the Judeo-Christian God, but they seem to be more moral than even the American Christians do, because these people are livid about enforcing their laws. They know homosexuality is an abomination.”

Well, no.  Emmer did not appear on “the same show” where Dean gave the quote above.  He appeared on a completely separate episode of the program.   And they talked about politics.  Not Islam and Christianity’s views on gays.   Birkey’s wording is incredibly misleading; the subtext – that appearing on a radio show implies agreement rather than trying to engage an audience – is even worse.  

And if Birkey wants to believe appearance equals agreement, he might want to have a word with NARN guest R.T. Rybak.

And Dean was talking about traditional biblical and quranic theology, not advocating actions by a civil government.  Fundamentalist Christianity and Islam are both rather harsh on the subject of homosexuality, and Dean is nothing if not a fundamentalist.  But it’s crazy to take Dean’s quote – about an outrage on the part of Muslim governments – and spin it as sympathy for lynching gays (see “UPDATE”, below).

So to summarize, Andy Birkey wants you to believe that seats “donated” at an outreach dinner in November 2008 for a group whose radio program didn’t go on the air until August 2009  implies…what?  That Tom Emmer harbors some sympathy for putatively outrageous views on gays?

Seem a little stretchy to anyone?

Emmer also posed for a picture with leaders of You Can Run,

As he did with pretty much everyone who attended any Republican function in the past year or so, myself included.  Heck, if Andy Birkey had shown up, he’d probably have gotten a picture with Emmer too. 

Emmer, by the way, responds pretty definitively to the issue to MPR’s Tom Scheck.

UPDATE AND CORRECTION:  I talked with Bradlee Dean – that’s how I roll, reporting-wise. 

First the correction:  Dean interviewed Emmer on their old KKMS program, before he started on WWTC.  KKMS is Salem’s religious station, while WWTC covers politics.

Now, the update.  I asked Dean “Do you advocate or approve of the government executing homosexuals for being homosexual?”

He laughed a long, deep bellylaugh.  That’d be “no”.

“Would it be fair to say”, I continued, “that the context of the quote Andy Birkey ran was discussing biblical and quranic theology, rather than advocating or tolerating actions by a civil goverment, and that neither Bradkee Dean nor You Can Run International advocate the murder of gays?”

“Absolutely”, Dean replied.

I don’t know about you, but that was not the impression I got from Birkey’s quote.

Chanting Points Memo: “LGA Cuts Are Destroying Minnesota!” (Part II)

Question:  Has your disposable income gone up 44% in the past ten years?

 As I noted yesterday, Local Government Aid was originally set up to transfer wealth from the wealthy Twin Cities to smaller towns in then-poor outstate Minnesota.  To a great extent, it worked; outstate Minnesota came a long way very quickly, in what was called “The Minnesota Miracle”. 

One of the cities in outstate Minnesota that benefitted from Local Government Aid nearly forty years ago was Brainerd.  The capitol of Minnesota’s lake country tourist district, Brainerd was and is a sleepy town of about 18,000 year-round, whose area swells to six digits on a summer fishing weekend.

But the cuts in Local Government Aid have apparently hobbled plucky Brainerd; as Jeff Rosenberg of MNPublius plaintively pleaded earlier this week:

How bad have local government spending cuts become? The city of Brainerd has started turning off the lights:

Selected streetlights – in alleys, in mid blocks and duplicates at intersections – started being shut off by the utility in early May in response to the Brainerd City Council’s direction to reduce the street lighting budget by $91,000. Brainerd Public Utilities Superintendent Tom Phelps told the Personnel and Finance Committee that in addition to shutting off lights he’s been reducing wattage in downtown decorative lights and looking at switching to LED lights.

Now, if you’re a typical homeowner and provider for a family in these tough times, you might be forgiven for responding “Good!  Let them cut back!”  I mean, Rosenberg even notes that the street and alley lights that are the subject of this tragedy are duplicates, or ones found in the middle of the block, or in some of the alleys in sleepy, relatively crime-less Brainerd.  It’s a selective  cut, not a wholesale blackout.  There’s no indication that any of the lighting is essential to safety; they’re redudant and/or decorative!

Unless your point of view is that no government “service”, no matter now non-critical, shall ever want for even the most trivial nonessential funding, what is the fuss about these “cuts?”  Indeed, if we go through a year without any problems from the shut-off lights, could it be fairly asked if the lights were needed in the first place?

But no mind.  The “service” is being cut, we’re told by the left and media (pardon the redundancy) because Brainerd’s Local Government Aid has been gutted.  Jeff ask  – and, since MNPublius is as close to being an institutional voice of the DFL as exists in the Twin Cities blogosphere, we can assume this is part of the Party’s portfolio of chanting points – “How bad have local government spending cuts become?”

Good question.

I checked League of Minnesota Cities   website, which includes tax and LGA data for much of recorded history.   In it we see that Brainerd’s allotment of Local Government Aid has gamboled around a bit:

  • 2002: $4,005,088
  • 2003: $3,488,947
  • 2004: $3,488,947
  • 2005: $9,739,034
  • 2006: $4,019,438
  • 2007: $3,904,428
  • 2008: $3.958.462
  • 2009: $4.186.234

In other words, Brainerd’s share of Local Government Aid took a quick dip in 2002, when Pawlenty started the cuts, and returned quickly to…

…almost a $200,000 increase.

In the meantime, property taxes for the same period looked like this:

  • 2002: $1,,620,757
  • 2003: $,2937,920
  • 2004: $2,500,872
  • 2005: $2,804,037
  • 2006: $3,198,474,
  • 2007: $3,510,360
  • 2008: $3,816,641
  • 2009: $3,962,752
  • Brainerd’s property tax levy increased by 235%!

    This table shows the bookends of the Pawlenty years – 2002 versus 2009 LGA and property tax levies:

    Funding Source 2002 2009 Change ($) Change (%)
    Brainerd LGA “$4,005,088” “$4,186,234” “$181,146 “ 101.18%
    Brainerd Levy “$1,620,757” “$3,962,752” “$2,341,995 “ 235.48%
    Brainerd Population “13,421” “13,954”    
    Brainer LGA/Capita $298 $300    

    The amount of Local Government Aid per resident has risen by $2; LGA has risen by a percent and change since Pawlenty took office, while Brainerd more than doubled their taxes to “make up for the LGA shortfall”.   

    So – for the entire period of “dislocation” “cause” by Pawlenty’d “cuts”, the total Brainerd City take between property taxes and LGA only dropped once – by $75,000 (1.5%), in 2003.  Between the steady LGA payments and the skyrocketing property taxes, Brainerd’s take from these two sources has zoomed from $5.62 million to over $8.14 million during Pawlenty’s administration.  That’s a 44% increase in overall savings. 

    It’s ahead of inflation, overall.  It’s well ahead of wage increases for the private sector, overall. 

    So what’s with all the whinging about huge cutbacks?  Forget about asking why they’re complaining about shutting off some non-essential lights; why are they shutting them off at all?

    What are they spending money on so that they (and the DFL) can spin a steady LGA payment and a 44% overall increase in LGA and Property Tax combined revenue as a poverty case with a straight face?

    ———-

    So that’s Brainerd – one of the cities LGA was originally supposed to help.

    So how does this play out around the state? 

    If you believe the DFL and Media (pardon the redundancy)’s conventional wisdom, the cities have had their local aid gutted, leading to their budgets falling apart.

    Could that be true?

    More tomorrow.

    Chanting Points Memo: LGA Cuts Are Killing Minnesota! (Part 1)

    I wrote about it yesterday:  the regional left wants to make Governor Pawlenty’s cuts to the “Local Government Aid” program a major issue in the campaign.

    If there is any justice – and if Minnesotans can read numbers – it should backfire badly on the DFL.

    I wrote yesterday about a piece in Twin Cities leftyblog MNPublius written by Jeff Rosenberg, which led:

    As Tim Pawlenty tries to walk into the sunset, he’s got one small problem: He’s left Minnesotans a complete mess.

    He went on to quote heavily from a WCCO TV report that showed how grievously cities around Minnesota are suffering because of Governor Pawlenty’s cuts to LGA.

    We’ll address the “cuts” later in this series. 

    ———-

    But for today, let’s just talk history. 

    “Local Government Aid” was a scheme hatched in the late sixties and early seventies.  There are really two ways to look at it:

    “Political Welfare” – Just as “welfare” in its purest, most generally-accepted form seeks to put a safety net over the abyss of poverty, and “corporate welfare” tries to help businesses create jobs in communities that might not otherwise exist (often for good reason), LGA started out as welfare for cities; the state’s taxpayers would subsidize the less well-off parts of the state by redistributing wealth from the parts of the state that were prospering.  At that time, of course, it was the wealthy metro area  subsidizing relatively poor outstate Minnesota.  

    But forty years of DFL mismanagement have turned the major cities – Minneapolis, Saint Paul and Duluth into fiscal basket cases; outstate Minnesota is holding its own; the suburbs, especially the Twin Cities’ booming southern and western ‘burbs, are absolutely booming.

    And like the original intentions of the personal and corporate welfare systems, Minnesota’s political welfare system, Local Government Aid, has been perverted far outside its original scope.

    Which means LGA really more closely resembles…

    Money Laundering: Originally intended to give small, poor outstate governments and schools a hand, it now subsidizes DFL-dominated city governments to a vastly disproportionate degree.  And it allows those city governments to diffuse the accountability for their own wasteful, featherbedded spending.

    Look at it this way:  A city spends 10 million dollars.  They want to spend fifteen million dollars.  What do you suppose is going to be an easier pill to shove down the city’s taxpayers’ throats?

    • A 50% hike in property taxes?
    • No change in property taxes, and a five million dollar subsidy gotten from the state’s three million taxpayers?

    Because when you’re a politician, the best kind of accountability is the kind you fob off on someione else.

    And while the DFL caterwauls about the losses that LGA cuts have supposedly inflicted on the cities, the numbers show a very, very different story;  LGA cuts have been far outstripped by property tax hikes.

    More, including numbers – lots and lots of numbers – tomorrow.

    Chanting Points Memo: The “Republican” Horner

    Luke Hellier at MDE finds more background on the “Republican” Tom Horner:

    “What they (MCCL) set out to do could have a dramatic impact in 1997,” said Tom Horner, of the Bloomington-based public policy firm Himle Horner Inc. “The involvement of the pro-life community makes the end-of-life decisions much more of a political debate than an individual issue or medical concern.”

    “What will start to emerge is the recognition that there has to be a move away from the fee-for-service,”

    Never worked in the insurance business?  “Fee For Service” means “Pay money, get insured”.

    Managed care means “pay money, have a case manager or a committee of reviewers decide what care is cost-effective for you”.  You could even call it a “death panel”, although that’s sorta inflammatory and makes liberals irate.

    Horner said. “And more and more people will have to be moved into managed care with some limitations, and that is going to be a pretty difficult task.”

    Especially because people don’t want it.

    Hellier:

    Horner’s position in favor of “moving away” from fee-for-service and into “managed care with some limitations” simply means health care rationing—the denial of care to those who need it.

    Managed care isn’t problem in and of itself;  it was a market response to rising healthcare costs in the seventies. The problem, if you value individual choice in health care, is that Horner pushed government healthcare.

    Why does the media continue the meme that Horner is a Republican in any way?

    Chanting Points Memo: The Humphrey Institute Poll

    So yesterday Minnesota DFLers were grinning like toddlers that’d just made a good pants at this MPR report that referred to this Humphrey Institute poll that showed Dayton beating the DFL primary field, and – more importantly – beating Emmer.

    But the media reports on this poll have been, to be charitable, sloppy.  To be less charitable, they tip us off at the very least to the Humphrey Institute’s and most likely the media’s bias.

    For those of you from out of state, the Humphrey Institute is a University of Minnesota think tank that is largely dedicated toward – wait for it – “better”, bigger government.  It tends to be a DFL feeder program.

    The story is up-front about the criteria for the DFL primary poll (I’ve added emphasis):

    Among likely voters, Mark Dayton (38%) leads Kelliher (28%) and Entenza (6%) in the contest
    for the August 10th primary to choose the Democratic Party’s nominee.

    That is as opposed to “registered voters”; likely voters are the ones who are most likely to actually make it to the polls.

    Now, here is what the Humphrey institute wrote about the GOP race:

    The most striking and unusual pattern in the Dayton/Emmer match-up is that a third of
    Republicans are defecting from their Party’s candidate, an unusual pattern within the GOP
    electorate. Dayton is drawing 11% of Republicans as compared to the 3% of Democrats
    supporting Emmer. This may be a temporary blip as Emmer launches his campaign or a sign
    that his conservatism may pose a challenge to unifying his party against Dayton.

    “Defecting?”

    Interesting word choice; it implies that a third of Republicans started out firmly in the Emmer camp, but have left.  Is there some prior poll over the past two and a half weeks – which was when Emmer was endorsed in the first place – that showed Republicans were completely united?  Sure, there are still some Seifert supporters with ruffled feathers; there are some Ron Paul people who are making a point of remaining undecided; there are still some Arne Carlson and Dave Durenberger “Republicans” – read “Democrats with better suits” – lurking around the party.

    Which means Emmer’s got his work cut out for him – and the campaign knows that, just as they knew it when they lost the straw poll at the GOP Central Committee meeting by a fairly decisive margin.

    So is it a sign that Emmer’s “conservatism” is a problem?  It’s possible – but it can not possibly be inferred by any of the data in a single, initial poll five months before the election.

    Not that the Twin Cities media will say so.

    Chanting Points Memo: Emmer’s “Absences”

    If you believe the Dem’s current chanting points on the subject, you’d think that Tom Emmer had spent the last year at Sandals. 

    Of course, when they say this they are seemingly oblivious of then-Senator Obama’s 300 missed Senate votes during his presidential campaign (documented all over the place).

    Don’t they think people remember this?

    But even more interestingly – its seems his endorsed opponent so far, Speaker of the House Margaret Anderson-Kelliher, has not only missed 51 votes this session, but – according to a source at the Capitol, “Al Junhke was voting from the speaker’s chair for Speaker Kelliher all afternoon – she was not even in the chamber”.  Word has it there’ll be photos of Rep. Juhnke leading the House, which is I’m sure exactly what Rep. Kelliher’s constituents wanted.

    Another capitol GOP source notes ” Tom (Emmer) actually missed a vote this afternoon because he got held up in the hallway talking to MPR about missing votes. True story! This is getting ridiculous.”

    It is indeed.

    Chanting Points Memo: The Black Bag

    You pretty much expect the DFL to lie about things; they’re stuck behind an administration that is becoming less popular daily and a Congress that might, maybe, outpoll Charles Manson.  They’re strapped to a Healthcare bill that is about to blow up in their faces, electorally. 

    And at a time when jobs are tight and even legal immigrants have had enough of illegal immigration, they are flogging the idea of open borders.

    The facts of their own positions are against them.  You can hardly expect them not to aim for the gutter.

    This little fella’s name is Robert Erickson.  He joined the Emmer “Cinco De Mayo” parade – but he’s no Emmer supporter:

    The handmade sign says Your Papers Please.

    The handmade sign says "Your Papers Please".

    He writes a leftyblog called “Columbus Go Home” (I’m not going to link it; too depressing).  If you see him at a parade, he should be politely asked to leave.

    Since the Democrats have no actual counterarguments, and they’re losing in all the polls that matter, we have to be all the more vigilant about things like false-flag dirty tricks and dumbed down chanting points like these…

     

    Macalester Coeds display their solidarity with their Latina sistas.

    Macalester coeds display their solidarity with their Latina sistas.

    …aimed at voters who just don’t know any better, it’s vital the Republican activists watch out for things like Mr. Erickson, with too much time on their hands and too little respect for other’s free speech.

    WELCOME, “PHOENIX WOMAN” READERS: Glad you stopped by!  Just to clarify, though – whenever leftybloggers say that people like me “seethe with envy” or are “having a cow” or are “melting down”, they are pulling it (to phrase it in Latin, which is so much classier than English) De Anus

    Of course, “she” would be accountable for this sort of thing – if she blogged under her actual name.

    Perhaps that’s why “she” stays anonymous…

    Chanting Points Memo: “Uncertified” Teachers

     If you’ve read anything about education in the past 20 years, you’ve heard that the school systems are crushingly short of science and math teachers.

    If you’ve had kids in the public school system, you’ll know that the system is even shorter of good math, science and technology teachers. 

    It’s not a wonder, of course; people with degrees in math, hard science and technology have a lot of opporunities in the private sector, right out of school.  And as a career wends its way, the disparity gets starker; while a career in science or technology offers boundless opportunity for advancement and even entrepreneurship, a career in public education offers decades of unionized, union-style plodding up a public service pay scale, in a system where no matter how hard you work or how good you are, you will always have less money, seniority or recognition than some ticket puncher who gave up on teaching a decade ago, but is five years away from her pension.

    But for all that, there are people, especially people in Math and Science, who spend a decade or two in the field and want a change of pace, or develop an altruistic streak, or become alarmed at the lack of math and science preparation they’re seeing in their own school-age kids; people with ample skills, the real world experience that impresses smart kids, and enough zeal for educating kids that they opt to leave a well-paid field in mid-career to teach! 

    And it’s with an aim toward alleviating that shortage that the Emmer Campaign is pushing alternative licensure – to allow these highly motivated people, the ones that have the chops to convince a school board to hire them, to get into the classroom without having to repeat two years of college to get a state license…

    …that in the end ensures nothing about a teacher’s competence, but shows that they’ve sat through classes on pedagogy and child psychology.

    But to listen to the left’s chanting points industry, you’d think what Emmer and the conservatives mean by “alternative licensing” is bringing in unqualified teachers from Guatemala and putting them in the classroom.

    This particular chanting point is such a gross torture of context that it qualifies as an outright lie. It actively disinforms the public.

    Remember – every single  burned-out teacher currently punching their ticket in a Minnesota school until retirement is “certified”.  The state’s minority achievement gap – which, in the Metro, is among the worst in the nation – was accomplished by “certified” teachers.  But our math and science classes remain catastrophically short of qualified instructors.

    What is more important – maintaining a bureaucratic status quo, or getting our state’s kids the education they need?

    To Education Minnesota and the DFL, the answer is painfully obvious.

    Chanting Points Memo: “Emmer Is An Extremist”

    For a while, I wondered if “Tom” wasn’t the MNGOP’s gubernatorial candidate’s middle name.  Listening to the Minnesota media, one might think his first name is “Right-wing-Extremist”.

    In the meantime, they christened his opponent and erstwhile sparring partner in the House, Margaret Anderson-Kelliher, as a “moderate”. 

    But Rachel Stassen-Berger, writing in the Strib, notes that I if Emmer is an “extremist”, then so is Kelliher; their voting records almost perfectly mirror one another:

    Check out how various organizations rated the two House colleagues. The scores below are based on 2009 votes, unless otherwise noted:

    AFSCME Council 5 (The state employees union)

    Emmer — 0 percent

    Kelliher — 100 percent

    Clean Water Action (These are based on 2008 votes. The groups rates lawmakers votes for “our water, our health and our environment.”)

    Emmer — 0 percent

    Kelliher — 100 percent

    Conservation Minnesota ( “We help you and other Minnesotans protect the lands, lakes, and way of life that we all cherish. We do so by helping Minnesotans evaluate the performance of your elected representatives.”)

    Emmer — 13 percent

    Kelliher — 88 percent

    Legislative Evaluative Assembly (“LEA bases its evaluation on the traditional American principles of
    constitutionalism, limited government, free enterprise, legal and moral order with justice and individual liberty and dignity.”)

    Emmer — 98 percent (94 percent, career)

    Kelliher — 0 percent (13 percent, career)

    Minnesota Association of Professional Employees  (“Our issue priorities include: achieving fair compensation for state employees, fixing our broken health care system, preventing outsourcing and privatization of state services and protecting our pension and retirement benefits.)

    Emmer — 13 percent

    Kelliher — 100 percent

    AFL-CIO (These are lifetime ratings through 2008. “The mission of the Minnesota AFL-CIO is to improve the lives of working families—to bring economic justice to the workplace and social justice to our state and the nation.”)

    Emmer — 1 percent

    Kelliher — 97 percent

    Minnesota Chamber of Commerce (“Our voting records represent the most important votes on the issues that impact Minnesota businesses and jobs – they are not intended to endorse or oppose any candidate for office.”)

    Emmer — voted with the Chambers position on 10 of 13 issues. He was absent on two votes and voted against the Chambers’ position on one issue.

    Kelliher — voted with the Chambers’ position on 2 of 13 issues.

    Minnesota Citizens Concerned for Life (“MCCL compiles the voting records of lawmakers on key pro-life issues that come before the legislature”)

    Emmer — 100 percent

    Kelliher — 0 percent

    Minnesota Family Council (The Council rates lawmakers on what it considers “pro-family” votes)

    Emmer — 90 percent (He was absent for one scored vote.)

    Kelliher — 0 percent

    NARAL Pro-Choice Minnesota (“We highlight the choice votes that occurred during the 2009 legislative session.”)

    Emmer — voted against the NARAL position on three out of three issues.

    Kelliher — voted with the NARAL position on three out of three issues.

    National Federation of Independent Business (These are 2007-2008 ratings. Legislators got high scores if they “supported legislation important to small business.”)

    Emmer — 89 percent

    Kelliher — 11 percent

    Organizing Apprenticeship Project (The project gives its “assessment of the state legislature’s and governor’s efforts to move policies that strengthen opportunity, racial equity and American Indian tribal sovereignty.”)

    Emmer — D grade

    Kelliher — A grade

    Taxpayers League of Minnesota (“The Taxpayers League of Minnesota is a nonpartisan, nonprofit grassroots taxpayer advocacy organization which fights for lower taxes, limited government and full empowerment of taxpaying citizens in accordance with Constitutional principles.”)

    Emmer — 100 percent (92 lifetime)

    Kelliher — 0 percent (11 percent lifetime)

    So which is it?  Is Kelliher an “extremist”, too?  Or are they both merely partisans who get routinely praised and/or slagged by their special-interest friends/enemies?

    Chanting Points Memo: The Green Issues Forum

    The DFL and Media were in full dudgeon over the weekend, as Tom Emmer “missed” a gubernatorial candidates forum attended by the three DFL candidates and the Independence Party schlep.

    It seemed so clear-cut coming from the Strib:

    Emmer was invited but did not show for the event. But former U.S. Sen. Mark Dayton and former House leader Matt Entenza, both DFLers, made sure that he wasn’t forgotten.

    “I think it’s instructive who’s not here today, the endorsed candidate of the Republican Party,” Dayton said. “Environmental protection should be and used to be in Minnesota a bipartisan or nonpartisan concern, shared by everyone.”

    Unexplained in the Strib piece:  Emmer had declined to attend because of an even that had been in the works for a very long time; his youngest’s first communion.  Emmer had respectfully declined to appear due to this rather important commitment in the life of any committed Catholic family.  Reporting this out of context would be like tittering about Keith Ellision’s refusal to eat pork as a slur against the Minnesota Pork Producer’s association, without mentioning that Islam forbids eating pork.

    In fact, according to a source close to the party, Emmer respectfully declined the appearance, citing the reason, months ago; “My understanding is that the first communion was on the schedule for months and the campaign simply declined the forum due to the family event” said the source.  This was not news, and had nothign to do with whatever views Emmer has on the environment.

    But the Strib article, the DFL candidates and the leftybloggers who wrote about the subject portrayed it as if he just blitzed on it, or was afraid.  Of Kelliher, Dayton and Entenza.

    This portrayal is misleading and based on a mangling of context and selective omission of fact.

    The Strib should be ashamed, and would be, if their role as a lackey for the DFL wasn’t pretty clearly set.

    Chanting Points Memo

    From the Dictionary In The Dark:

    Chanting Point:  (Noun)  Similar to a “talking point”, but intended to be recited by rote (often as part of large real or virtual crowds) rather than critically analyzed.

    The DFL response to Tom Emmer has largely consisted of what I’ve christened “chanting points”; bits of rhetoric that may or may not contain a grain of “truthiness”, but aren’t designed so much for substantial policy discussions as they are to be chanted by crowds, either in person or online.

    The term occurred to me last summer at the Minnesota State Fair.  Ed and I were sitting on our stage, right across from the DFL booth, talking about the ongoing negotations that led to Obamacare, eventually.   A compact fiftysomething woman in a full Frankenware ensemble strutted to the middle of the audience area, folded her arms, and started shaking her head back and forth.

    “Would you care to discuss this?” I asked her, getting ready to take the mobile microphone and hike out into the audience.

    She took a deep breath as I stood up, and yelled “PUBLIC OPTION NOW!  PUBLIC OPTION NOW! PUBLIC OPTION NOW!”.  She then turned on her heels and scampered away as fast as her busy little legs could carry her.

    Ed and I compared notes during the break; that was about as close to a substantive argument that most Minnesota DFLers came then, and now.  Words designed to be bellowed over ones’ competition.

    Chanting points.

    The political marketplace is getting clogged with the chanting points of the left.

    And I’m going to tackle them.  And so can you.

     

    Image courtesy Lassie from True North.

    Follow along in the “Chanting Points Memo” category.  Pass ’em around.  Learn ’em.  It’s gonna be a long campaign.