Scenario 1: Obama wants the shutdown.
The government shutdown will be a bonanza to Obama.
Pro: It’ll draw attention – with the aid of his Praetorian Guard, the media – away from the mounting disaster that is the Obamacare rollout, to say nothing of the IRS, NSA and Fast and Furious scandals. With the aid of his lackeys in the media, he could actually play it into a big win, a la Clinton vs. Dole in 1996.
Con: This isn’t 1996. Back then, this was a pretty trivial country, awash in a boom. This country could still get away with fripperies like electing Jesse Ventura, for crying out loud. Now, people are hurting, and seeing the way government behaves with the money it’s borrowing from our grandchildren is galling at least. And the only people it’s going to affect are those who are never going to vote Republican anyway.
Scenario 2: Obama Doesn’t Want The Shutdown
Pro: Remember “sequestration?” Despite the best efforts of Obama’s Praetorian Guard, which tried to portray it like Operation Barbarossa gathering on the Atlantic seaboard, either do most of you. Obama counted hard on “sequestration” to do for him what the 1996 shutdown did for Slick Willie.
That didn’t work, did it?
Con: John Boehner could screw up a third date with a drunk Lindsay Lohan.
And even if Boehner and the DC establishment don’t screw the pooch, the media will, will will be out there working overtime to represent, and misrepresent, for Obama at every turn. If there’s a low-information voter to be convinced, the MSM will be there to carry whatever meme Media Matters and Organizing for America need carried.