Gary Gross at LFR sent me a copy of NRO’s Jim Geraghty’s list of 13 potential November upsets.
And coming in at #11:
11. Theresa Collett vs. Betty McCollum, Minnesota’s 4th District.
Reasons the challenger should have no chance: This is a D+13 district; McCollum won it in 2008 by 37 percentage points.
Reasons the challenger has a chance: Upon winning the primary, Collett, a University of St. Thomas law professor,challenged McCollum to four debates. She’s still waiting for a reply. On the stump, Collett makes her points in a crisp, clear, direct style. Outgoing governor Tim Pawlenty is giving Collett some help. Collett is severely underfunded, but McCollum has only $160,634 in cash on hand as of July 21, which is fairly low for an incumbent.
This is the first I’ve seen anyone think of MNCD4 a potential upset…ever.
I remain to be completely convinced. Oh, in a just world Teresa Collett – a blindly-articulate, fiercely-intelligent con-law professor, would mop the floor with McCollum, a woman often distracted by shiny objects, and about whose speaking style it is said that she could read the phone book from the well of the House, if only because it sounds like she already is, and who is serving her fourth term on the strength of being endorsed by the DFL in a district that would have sent Richard Hung to Washington if he’d come up with the endorsement.
Is this year going to be that different? I’ll cross my fingers and whisper “from Geraghty’s lips to God’s ear”.