Shot in the Dark

What The Hell Is Wrong With The MNGOP: Part V

Yesterday, I noted that, from an activist’s perspective, the MNGOP seems to want to centralize control of its message – keeping activists and bloggers it doesn’t control at arms length – but at the same time, that it doesn’t seem to know what its’ message is.

It’s a real problem.  It’s easy for Democrats to get on message; most people learned the key points of Democratic/Liberal philosophy in kindergarten; “share and share alike! Take your fair share! Everyone is exactly the same (except your teachers, of course)!”.  Take these simple tropes, tack on the element of state force to get compliance, and you basically have the DFL message; “Share what we think we need, or we’ll take what we want”.  They word it more nicely, but that’s really about it.

It’s more complicated when you’re right of center; many of the tenets of center-right thought are harder, almost counterintuitive, to the things we were tought when we were five years old; merit, tough love, rights don’t impinge other rights, enumerated powers, individual responsibility.

And even with that, there are so many flavors of thought in the GOP:

  • The Ron Paul crowd – basically Libertarians who saw a major party ripe for the picking.  They are largely hardcore civil libertarians, largely without the faintest interest in social conservative issues.
  • Evangelicals – largely social conservatives; they focus (some of them almost to exclusion) on issues like abortion, gay marriage and stem cell research; I’ve met not a few that were hard-core pro-lifers who were wobbly on Second Amendment and even fiscal issues (I’m talking to you, Mike Huckabee).
  • Culture Conservatives – Similar to the Evangelicals, although not always motivated by faith; immigration, gay marriage and the near reaches of social policy motivate them.
  • Fiscal Hawks – These range from Center of the American Experiment policy wonks to Jason Lewis’ hordes of tax hawks.  Many are social conservatives, but it’s no lock.
  • “Reagan” Democrats  – There are not a few moderate DFLers – union members, blue-collar guys and gals, veterans – who are nauseated by some combination of Dems’ policies.
  • Homesteaders – That’s my term for the small, but growing, groups of black Republicans who realize the DFL represents a tragic quackery on education and welfare, and Hispanics who are tired of having their conservative social beliefs piddled on, Asians who recognize the DFL’s threat to free enterprise, African immigrants who’ve already lived through third-world hell and don’t want to see Minnesota even start to flirt with more of the same, and even a few Gay conservatives who are tired of being treated as ripe voting sucks by a party that expects their votes in exchange for not a helluva lot but rhetoric in return.
  • “Moderates” – These people used to control the party; the likes of Lori Sturdevant and Nick Coleman pine for the days when Arne Carlson and Dave Durenberger were the voices of the MNGOP.  They[‘re still out there; the Override Six battle showed they’re still alive,well, and – this is important – a non-trivial force in the party.
  • “Pragmatists”  – Moderate?  Conservative?  Fiscal Hawk?  Opportunist?  They may be a minority in your BPOU caucus, but they’re pretty prominent in the party leadership and, lest we forget, the governor’s mansion.
  • Security Voters – Maybe they remember the joke that was the Democratic Party during the Cold War; maybe they recall the way the Dems giggled and skipped away as the Communists inflicted epic mass murder on Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia; maybe they’re sick of Minnesota’s catch and release criminal justice system; maybe they still see the Twin Towers burning when they go to the polls.  Whatever; they are Republicans because they see that the Dems are whores on the battlefieldand generals in the bedroom when it comes to security, at home and abroad.
  • The Mitch Berg Bloc – This last bloc, of indeterminate size (from one to thousands; nobody knows for sure) represents people who are fiscal hawks, social libertarians, personal Christians, legal Constitutionalists and who are pragmatic yet absolutist on security.

To make it challenging, remember; without any of these blocs (Homesteaders and the Mitch Bergs might be expendable, sorta), the party will have a very hard time winning.  And that means any bloc; the RINOs, damn the luck, are as important as the fiscal hawks.
So what happens when you put a Taxpayers’ League wonk, a MCCL activist and Ron Paul supporter in a room?

Currently, not much; the pro-lifer calls the other two RINOs on social issues; the wonk calls his roommates RINOs on fiscal issues, and the Paulbot bags on the others’ commitment to small government and liberty.

And they’re all wrong.  And they’re all right.  And it’s no way to run a party, either way.

———-

In the past, I’ve used the metaphor of the “Tug of War” to describe my beliefs about partisan politics.  We live in a pluralistic society; nobody is ever going to convince everyone to believe as they do, to “pull the other side into the mud pit”, to complete the metaphor; the best they can hope for is to convince as many people as possible to join their team to “pull the rope” for their particular issue as far as possible in the direction they want.  Which doesn’t necessarily mean “compromise right out of the gate”; indeed, it means “pull like hell” – to a point.

As a Reagan Conservative – a center-right fiscal conservative and social libertarian – I’ve set my stake in the ground.  I wrote the “True North Manifesto” almost two years ago – and with its six key pillars (Liberty, Prosperity, Security, Limited Government, Culture, Family) it was a pretty decent summation of center-right conservatism as I’ve seen if I say so myself (and I say so myself).  Those are the six ropes I haul on, and try to convince others to join me in pulling for.

But when you run a genuine big tent party, there are many, many of these tugs of war – many of them within the party itself.  What does “limited government” mean to Arne Carlson?  What is “Security” to a Hispanic conservative, a 9/11 Democrat, or a Ron Paul supporter?

The problem is, to get anything of this implemented into policy, you have to win elections, no matter what bloc you belong to.  And with the Minnesota GOP this fragmented, that looks dicey.  But if the GOP isn’t in power, it’s for sure that the DFL is not going to stand for anything we believe in, whether fiscal sanity or law and order or the sanctity of human life.

What’s a party to do?

———-

My friend Andy Applikowki at the blog Residual Forces  – one of my colleagues on the ruling junta at True Northput it well at an editorial meeting a few months back.  Paraphrasing, he said we need, as a party, to put aside the things we disagree on to fight for the things we do agree on.

He’s right, of course.  If you oppose abortion, who is more likely to return your call when she’s in office – a Republican for whom it’s a non-issue, or a Democrat for whom it’s a social sacrament?

It’s a no-brainer; no GOP power, no progress on the things any of us, Paulbots and MCCLers and Jason Lewis fans and, by the way, me, believe in.

So what do all Republicans, from all corners of the party and every place in between, agree on, on a statewide level (meaning “things that state elected officials will ever have to deal with), that we can turn into a winning message?

Hint:  They all tie in with “Freedom” at the root of it all.  But “Freedom” is an ephemeral concept – a great, beautiful one that hundreds of thousands of our forefathers (and brothers and sisters, really) died to protect.  But one of the great political aphorisms is “it’s the economy, stupid”; people think in terms of tangible things that hit them where they live, day in, day out.

And for the Republican voter, and (more importantly) the non-affiliated voter who can be persuaded, there are three of these issues I’m going to suggest:

Prosperity.

Education.

Security.

We’ll address each of these – and why each gives the voter a reason to vote Republican, and why Republicans do have to agree on these – starting Monday.


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23 responses to “What The Hell Is Wrong With The MNGOP: Part V”

  1. Lassie Avatar

    I’ve been handing out our True North cards wherever I can (containing the 6 pillars). Great words and messaging, Mitch. Forward this post to leaders and activists in your GOP senate districts. ‘

    PS: Mitch – check your email.

  2. Badda Avatar

    Flash to pop in and complain that the MN Republicans apparently “kicked him out” in… 5, 4, 3, 2, 1…

  3. Badda Avatar

    Reagan ran, won, governed, ran, won, and governed some more on the three-leg philosophy.

    The Rule of Threes works in comedy, public speaking, and other areas for a reason. You can focus your message quite well, folks can understand it wuite well, and you can focus your efforts quite well.

    This is great advice for The Man Who Would Be King (and I don’t mean Sean Connery) as well as folks in buisness and folks handling personal goals.

  4. Amendment X Avatar

    or the “Amendment X Bloc”…I’m willing to build a coalition there Mitch

  5. McGonagle Avatar
    McGonagle

    Look at how many kinds of Conservatives/Republicans Mitch can name. Look how big the tent can, or has, to be. The liberals win elections by ignoring (only during election cycles) the chief flaw of their ideology: the perfect is the enemy of the good. When lefties talk about policy, they cling to their childish expectation of the perfect, i.e. perfectly clean water, perfect race relations, perfect fairness or equality or perfectly progressive taxation. When it comes to electing a candidate, many disparate groups seem to be able to set aside their minor conflicts to get their guy in.

    On the other hand, Republicans/Conservatives insist on the perfect candidate. Is he pro-life? If not, I can’t vote for him. Is she for a flat tax? No? Well, sorry then. All the disparate groups refuse to get together to get our guy in.

    In a previous comment, I said Republicans have to cowboy up and be who they are: conservatives. That’s their responsibility: to appeal to the base. But for those who aren’t the base, those people need to realize and more important, accept that a candidate cannot be all things to all people. We have to accept that elections are not for our individual enrichment; they are for our collective prosperity, and we need to realize that conservatives can guarantee that better than liberals. I’m done voting for my interests; the state, the country is more important. I’ll vote for a pro-choice Republican because litmus tests hamstring candidates, and once you have one, there will be more.

  6. Mr. D Avatar

    Prosperity.

    Education.

    Security.

    Three really good words. How do we define them? That’s where it gets sticky. One could argue (and many people do) that the Nanny State provides security, to use just one example. I’m looking forward to what you have to say in upcoming installments.

  7. Mitch Berg Avatar
    Mitch Berg

    Three really good words. How do we define them?

    We’ll do that on Monday.

  8. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    I agree with Mitch that the way to form a consensus and cooperation is to begin with finding common ground, points on which you can agree.

    I would further offer that where there is disagreement, more often than not the problem is the factual basis from which one forms their differing opinion.

    For example, I believe that Mitch and I disagree about taxing the wealthy. Mitch has asserted, if I read him correctly, that taxing the wealthy penalizes success, and that it is a bad thing to use taxation to redistribute wealth.

    I would argue that while nominally taxed at a higher rate, the actual tax paid by the extremely wealthy is considerably less than it appears nominally. A point I heard supported just recently in statements about taxation made byBOTH the ranking dem AND republican in the MN legislature, in a discussion of taxation on MPR (relative specifically to the federal alternative minimum tax, for example). IF one accepts as fact that the extremely wealthy are not paying taxes at the nominal tax rate, but are instead paying taxes at a rate lower than the rate of those with lesser incomes, then arguably those who are not – yet- wealthy are being handicapped in their efforts to get ahead by those who have great wealth by redistributing wealth from those who have moderate means to those who have accumulated wealth. It would indicate that hard work, initiative, and innovation have less chance of succeeding, and that the usual market forces that should benefit competition, et. are not able to work to the benefit of either those individuals, or the overall economy, the way those forces should work.

    So while appearing to disagree, I think it would be fair to assume that both Mitch and I are in agreement that hard work, clever inventions and other good ideas – essentially the various ways in which we define merit – OUGHT to result in achieving wealth.

    The devil as Mr. D points out is very much in the ‘details’.

    I would go a step further however, and strongly suggest that to appeal to the widest possible number of people to include in the ‘big tent’, it is desirable NOT to use beligerant, devisive rhetoric. Ditch the emphasis on idealogy, particularly the more shrill expressions of it – a la Rush, et al. And likewise, back off from the culture wars; no one wins those anyway.

  9. Mitch Berg Avatar
    Mitch Berg

    I agree with you, DG, generally.

    Although this big here…:

    Ditch the emphasis on idealogy, particularly the more shrill expressions of it – a la Rush, et al.

    …Rush isn’t running for office. To the extent that he’s anything other than entertainment (and phenomenally successful entertainment at that), he’s just another guy, to use my metaphor, pulling on a rope on one side of a mud pit. He pulls harder than most; without Rush, we’d have lost by a lot more than we did this past fall. But he’s not the issue, here.

    Will elaborate next week. But I have to add; Democracy not only survives partisanship; it requires it, except in the face of threats to democracy itself.

    And likewise, back off from the culture wars; no one wins those anyway.

    As an element of party consensus? Sure. But we’ll be getting to that next week.

  10. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    Thanks Mitch. One of the reasons I find it so easy to disagree with you RESPECTFULLY is (1) that I do believe we are far more in agreement than disagreement, and (2) that I respect your process of arriving at a different conclusion when we do differ – and feel you respect mine.

    While Rush is not running for office, he is attempting to not only entertain but to promote a distinctive point of view around which political group(s) align. I would – respectfully – suggest that as a prominent person who is seen by many to voice “the position” of conservatives and/or republican Rush IS the cause of more loss than gain, even if he is not himself running for office. He is very polarizing, divisive and oppositional.

    When I first met Mitch in the course of our shared hobby, I think it would be fair to say that I was the last person in the world Mitch ever expected to see in a leadership role within that activity. Yet in fact (once I decided to attempt it), I found it relatively easy to lead by consensus, despite being something of an unusual participant, the ‘odd person out’.

    I was taught that forming consensus, and other leadership skills were essentially like learning to do long division in your head, or diagram a sentence, or ride a bike; something anyone should be able to learn to do, just an ordinary skill – not the mystical product of personality or charisma.

    Yet I see very little of either leadership or consensus building skills in evidence. THAT is the place to begin.

    Further, I think that some very aggressive challenging of assumptions is in order. One that comes to mind is the premise for example that taxing the rich would diminish the formation of new jobs. Again, respectfully, I would suggest that even the most minimal research will demonstrate that venture capital is not easily discouraged, and that wealthy investors are not particularly essential to business start ups. In that direction, may I refer you to the history of several very successful companies here in MN that started up with the support of smaller investors – 3M, Medtronic, and Eco Labs.

    While brushing up on the history of successful companies, you might be surprised at what the usual compensation was for CEOs and other executives btw….and their relative performance for that compensation.

    An awful lot of existing, successful companies started up as a result of booms going bust, or what we now think of as bursting economic bubbles. My personal deepest hope is that this current economic disaster results in the re-industrialization of the US.

  11. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    An after thought – speaking of how companies start and grow successfully – if you have an interest in researching corporate histories, you might throw in one that you used to work for Mitch, KSTP/ Hubbard broadcasting. You know the corporation from the perspective of an employee. I have a very casual acquaintance with the progress of the business through knowing the family as neighbors and close friends to my aunt and uncle down on the St. Croix.

  12. justplainangry Avatar
    justplainangry

    “The Mitch Berg Bloc” – Uh. oh… Only Christians? Where is the love?

  13. richlud Avatar
    richlud

    Mitch, I really enjoy reading your blog. This is the first time I have commented and I definitely fit into the Mitch Berg Bloc. I also think that there are way more of us in your bloc than you may think. If anyone believes in the Constitution as it is written they almost by default have to belong.

  14. Troy Avatar

    Dog Gone said:

    “he is attempting to not only entertain but to promote a distinctive point of view around which political group(s) align”

    Promote his own point of view? Sounds like every person I know.

    “I would – respectfully – suggest that as a prominent person who is seen by many to voice “the position” of conservatives and/or republican”

    Though he has the prominence one receives with a popular radio show, it is intellectually lazy (or perhaps “convenient”) to consider him, or any other “prominent” radio host, “the voice” of conservatives or Republicans. It should be reasonably clear to EVERYONE (even RickDFL, though he’d never admit it) that he is “a voice” and his position is “a position”. If it is not, please do consider that ignorance of the differences in conservative, Republican, and “Rush Limbaugh” positions is no excuse to trot out this lame supposition as fact.

    “Rush IS the cause of more loss than gain, even if he is not himself running for office. He is very polarizing, divisive and oppositional”

    This may be true. He may cause more loss than gain, but if that is true it is only because of the many people who readily believe, without really thinking too much about it, that Rush Limbaugh is the “leader of the Republican party”. He has some influence because he is a radio host, but he is just a radio host. I’ve read it implied by the President and repeated in headline after headline, but proof? I’ve seen not a shred. Have you? If so, please share.

  15. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    I think Al Franken is the face & voice of the Democrat party.

  16. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    Troy says:
    “Though he has the prominence one receives with a popular radio show, it is intellectually lazy (or perhaps “convenient”) to consider him, or any other “prominent” radio host, “the voice” of conservatives or Republicans.”

    I will admit to many faults Troy, but being intellectually lazy is not one of them. Given the evident absence of any clear leadership or unified voice, I think it is very fair to posit that Rush has the highest profile of the fragmented Right. So to avoid a tedious and misplaced argument over semantics, for the rest of this reply, consider “the Right” to be a catch all for both, Republicans, and / OR Conservatives, encompassing all of the groups Mitch delineated, and any he might have omitted to mention.

    While those involved in the many splendored fragmented segments are engrossed in their distinctions, I think it is fair to say that those outside those same segments do not. As much as Rush may delight those in the choir, neither his preaching nor that of anyone else with a lower profile that is oppositional in tone, is not going to expand the congregation.

    Even if the existing segments of “The Right” could be unified – and there is no evidence of THAT happening at the moment – the numbers are too few either to regain the Presidency, and / OR the Senate and the House of Representatives. The Right has to attract voters from other segments of the political spectrum.

    How could “The Right” do that you may ask? History provides a useful suggestion and current events provide the perfect opportunity – if someone could rise to the occasion. Ferdinand Pecora Commission of 1933 is the perfect precedent for a solution. And – if I may be forgiven a classic movie reference a la W C Fields – we have an ideal candidate for a new Pecora in the senior ‘bank dick’, Bill K Black, from the Reagan era Savings and Loan debacle.

    The up side is that “the Right” could probably succeed in unseating the powerful left / democrats if there was a Pecora-like investigation. See the excellent W. K. Black interview from last night’s Bill Moyer’s Journal, available in either video or transcript format on the PBS website.

    The down side is that such an investigation, honestly done, would also dump a lot of entrenched old hand Republicans – and properly so. But the potential to gain the support of a substantial quantity of the electorate is probably better now than at any time since.. well, since 1932. And of course, the opportunity to make a significant beneficial difference to the country is not to be sneazed at either. I doubt that anything less than the potential uproar against widespread misconduct could be a unifying force; not to mention the basis for promoting some kind of conservative position, i.e., to piggyback success in the so-called culture wars.

    And yes, that means I am a cynical pragmatist who does appreciate the potential provided by crisis.

  17. zestro Avatar
    zestro

    “neither his preaching nor that of anyone else with a lower
    profile that is oppositional in tone, is not going to expand
    the congregation.”

    Disagree. The successful candidate will not only define the
    principles Mitch identifies but how each is being eroded by
    the Democrats. If we fail at that whaever we do lends nothing
    to the improvement of the Democrat sensibility, Democrats are
    proven correct by default and they continue voting Democrat.
    Now granted actions are of upper-most importance – voting on
    legislation is the politicans job. But as far as messaging
    goes we need to be sufficiently intrusive to persuade.
    Jamie

  18. kel Avatar
    kel

    if the MNGOP wants unifying issues to attack the Democrats in 2010 they need look no further than developing a concerted campaign against:

    HR 875

    and

    S 510

    Betty McCollum is a co-sponsor of HR 875

    the appeal of this opposition covers rural, suburban and urban voters because these bills threaten small family farms, farmers markets, organic farmers and their customers, and anyone who takes dietary supplements who may suddenly find their favorite supplement deemed “unsafe” and taken off the market.

  19. RepublicanMom Avatar
    RepublicanMom

    You forgot the most important voting block of them all….Republican Women, the suburban Mom. They have turned away from the party but not voting or switching sides. Study after study has said that the suburban mom takes their husband to the polls to vote, volunteers, chats at book clubs/mom’s clubs, etc. They have left us. They may be subsets of the groups listed above, but they are a force to be recognized in their own right. The party has completely ignored us and assumes because we live in the suburbs, “we are theirs and will vote for them.” More likely I hear the mom’s club moms say they will stay home because the party has left them and they don’t see any voices that resonate with them…..

  20. Mitch Berg Avatar
    Mitch Berg

    RM

    True. And please keep the feedback coming (and invite those disengaged moms to write in!) as I get into the actual issues this week.

  21. Troy Avatar

    Dog Gone said:

    “consider “the Right” to be a catch all for both, Republicans, and / OR Conservatives, encompassing all of the groups Mitch delineated, and any he might have omitted to mention”

    This isn’t lazy? Oookaay … *eyeroll*

    I’m sure you won’t object if I group you with folks you little in common with, in a way that is so general that it makes the grouping almost meaningless, and assign leadership of this “group” to some one “prominent” (yet repulsive, for what ever reason, to a large number of folks). And we won’t call that lazy. *snicker*

  22. Dog Gone Avatar
    Dog Gone

    Troy,
    I believe you are missing my point.

    Do you really believe that those who are NOT already aligned with groups who style themselves either conservative or republican CARE about the various fragments?

    No, they don’t. It doesn’t mean they are lazy, it more often means that they are either fully extended or over-extended just keeping up with the demands of daily life and family. What gets through as the conservative and/or republican point of view are the highest profile individuals who represent themselves as expressing that perspective. Not everyone has the luxury of being an informational ominvore, to borrow a term I heard recently.

    The very fact that there ARE so many fragments suggests unpleasant conflict, something that most people have too much of in their lives. If EITHER republicans OR conservatives wish to reach out to people who have moved away from their position(s), or who have never been aligned with those positions, you need to look at the situation for a moment from an outsider’s point of view. And that means letting go of the focus on these internecine differences in order to reach out to new, different potential members. Perhaps you are unable to let go in that way?

    Internecine conflict is not conducive to enlisting the support of new people. I would respectfully suggest that the more beligerant tone associated – rightly or wrongly – with the conservative and republican spectrum of thought is also detrimental to gaining converts.

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