The Minnesota Public Radio/Humphrey Institute “Poligraph”feature did provide some thorough fact checking on Dayton’s income tax proposals and found they came up short on revenue.
The report called Dayton’s plan to raise $4 billion from raising taxes “wishful thinking”; the plan doesn’t account for the fact that people with money will likely change their behavior to pay less taxes. People react in their own best interests, generally; it’s human nature. Even DFLers.
That leads, of course, to an ever-expanding game of fiscal cat and mouse; the “rich” – all those cops and teachers and pharmacists and entrepreneurs and mid-level business analysts – work harder and harder to shift money out of taxable status, which causes less revenue to come in, which further drops the revenue projections, which requires the state to further lower the definition of “rich”.
It was, of course, beyond the MPR/HHHI scope to calculate exactly how short the projections will actually fall. The fact is, Dayton himself thinks one needs a “supercomputer” to figure it out; he hasn’t figured it out either.
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