Shot in the Dark

Next On The Agenda

The die has been cast.  The votes have been counted.  They’ll be counted again, shortly, as re the governor race.

So what’s next?

It’s time someone investigated the Star-Tribune’s “Minnesota Poll” and the Hubert H. Humphey Institute’s poll.

The Minnesota Poll – especially the one released one to seven days before every gubernatorial, presidential and senate, election – may not be an effort to drive down GOP voting, per se.

But if they were, it’s hard to say now the polls would be any different.

Investigation next week on Shot In The Dark.

Posted

in

by

Mitch Berg

Tags:

Comments

20 responses to “Next On The Agenda”

  1. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    Given the results in the rest of the state, I think you’ll find that they got the ratio of Democrat/GOP likely voters wrong. They got Horner about right.

  2. bubbasan Avatar
    bubbasan

    Instead of complaining about bias, why not simply point out how wrong they tend to be, and how consistent they tend to be in their wrongness–as in they tend to be always wrong about five to ten points in favor of the Democrats?

    Shame sometimes works better than outrage.

  3. Chad The Elder Avatar
    Chad The Elder

    Better be careful calling for investigations Mitch or you’ll have Chris Matthews hectoring you about it for years to come.

  4. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    Mitch has done been hypmotized!

    KANSAS CITY, MO—A former congressman and U.S. ambassador to the United Nations pleaded guilty in federal court today to obstruction of justice and to acting as an unregistered foreign agent related to his work for an Islamic charity with ties to international terrorism, announced Beth Phillips, U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Missouri.
    http://kansascity.fbi.gov/dojpressrel/pressrel10/kc070710.htm

  5. justplainangry Avatar
    justplainangry

    Time to play “Guess the Party Affiliation” Game?

  6. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    Siljander was a member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Michigan
    JPA, you go first.

  7. Jeff Kouba Avatar
    Jeff Kouba

    I show you now code discovered on a HHI laptop found in a bag on a bike left on a Metro bus…

    //Initialization

    DEMOCRAT_PERCENT_VOTERS=60
    REPUGNANTCAN_PERCENT_VOTERS=0

    TOTAL_DAYTON_RESPONSES=50
    TOTAL_EMMER_RESPONSES=0

    //process poll response
    for (i=0; i< TOTAL_RESPONSES; i++)

    //if choice for Dayton
    //yay!
    TOTAL_DAYTON_RESPONSES = TOTAL_DAYTON_RESPONSES + RAND(DEMOCRAT_PERCENT_VOTERS+20)

    //if choice for Emmer
    //puke!
    TOTAL_EMMER_RESPONSES = (TOTAL_EMMER_RESPONSES * REPUGNANTCAN_PERCENT_VOTERS) + RAND(1)

  8. Terry Avatar
    Terry

    Heh. I grew up in what is now Bachmann’s district.

  9. Ben Avatar
    Ben

    Terry, thats like kissing your sister the fact that they got Horner right. And Mitch the MPR poll needs investigation too. According to RCP they had Dayton up 41-29.

  10. flash Avatar
    flash

    For the most part, polls across the country were spot on. But clearly, in MN the local polls were way way off. In the past those polls at least were trending in the direction of the result, both 2008 and 2006.

    This year, however, there is something that doesn’t pass the smell test, and if that something is being done intentionally to skew votes or voter turnout, that is just plain wrong, regardless of which party benefits.

    Flash

  11. swiftee Avatar
    swiftee

    “In the past those polls at least were trending in the direction of the result, both 2008 and 2006.”

    Let’s see…what was going on in those years…oh yeah; the Democrat party won.

    Pffft. More razor sharp insights from moonbat Flush.

  12. swiftee Avatar
    swiftee

    Say Flush?

    Pardon me, but I’d be remiss if I didn’t ask…so, how is that Hopey/Changey going for you?

  13. Night Writer Avatar
    Night Writer

    I wonder if the MN Poll, MPR Poll and Humphrey Institute poll had an affect on Republicans taking the MN House and Senate.

    The theory: Likely Voter sees polls showing Dayton has huge lead and appears inevitable. Likely Voter thinks, “Jeez, if Dayton gets in with a DFL legislature then I’m really hosed. I kind of like my local moderate DFLer, but I can’t take that kind of chance. If Dayton’s going to win, I HAVE to vote Republican for the legislature. Hope that doesn’t make me a racist.”

  14. Master of None Avatar
    Master of None

    NW — I’ve been thinking the same thing.

    I heard an analysis on MPR (sorry folks), where a guy added up the total number of votes cast for MN senate candidates. More DFL votes were cast than GOP, but more GOP candidates won because the DFL wins were landslides, and the GOP wins were squeekers. The lack of success in the constitutional races displays the same trend.

    Despite the GOP landslide, we’ve got a lot of work to do in this state. A couple of years of good solid conservative governance by the GOP majorities ought to start changing minds.

  15. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    Anyone who believes MPR is non-partisan is a fool. Even the DFL know they aren’t.

  16. Master of None Avatar
    Master of None

    My favorite MPR show is “All Things Slanted Left “

  17. The Big Stink Avatar
    The Big Stink

    Everything they do is designed to incrementally enhance their numbers. Whether it be by picking a polling station in a remote area to pad their numbers or enlisting union help to round up vagrants to vote or, outright fraud at their pre-sanitized polling stations, they know how to turn a close election in their favor. Manipulating the polling numbers is merely one of the bullets in their arsenal.

    It isn’t whether they cheat – they do. But, like a crime scene investigation, the trick is finding enough physical evidence to convict them. Unfortunately, Republicans have to have a majority PLUS 1%.

  18. viper Avatar
    viper

    Go gettem Mitch! For the Star Tribune to publish such misleading data every time borders on criminal. It is no different that intentionally publishing a false news story that has real consequences. Or to couch it in today’s pc environment, the Strib is being a bully.

  19. Kermit Avatar
    Kermit

    The Strib is a propaganda arm of the DFL, nothing more, nothing less. To expect anything approaching journalistic integrity from that rag is foolish naivete. The common sense Minnesotan knows this, which is why their readership (and most importantly their subscribers) has dwindled to a fraction of what it was three decades ago when they actually had integrity.
    May the Star Tribune sink under it’s own malfeasance.

  20. lakelevel Avatar
    lakelevel

    A good strategy would be to target the other media that report on this bad poll. Complain to the big TV and radio news departments that they should no longer report the Minnesota Poll. If it just gets reported in the Strib, no-one except left-bots will take it seriously.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.