The latest MPR/Humphrey Institute poll is showing a tossup
…Among likely voters, Mark Dayton and Tom Emmer are even at 34 percent support each. Independence Party candidate Tom Horner received 13 percent support.
It’s volatile, of course…:
A fifth of likely voters are undecided. Defections of both Democrats and Republicans from their party’s candidates and splits among key voting groups also contribute to the tight race…One-third of partisans are defecting from the Democratic and Republican candidates for governor, draining usually reliable bases of support for each.
Some DFLers are crying foul over the crosstabs…:
You’ll have to excuse me if I don’t buy that. The oversampling of Republicans is yet another reason to suspect that this poll overstates the extent to which the race has actually narrowed.
…and the technology…:
Landline? Are you kidding me? I wonder how many younger voters were missed. Not having a landline, I could never have been contacted for this poll.
Although the pollsters tried to pre-empt the technical issue…
The survey data has also been weighted to accomodate for factors such as the number of telephone lines, cell phone usage, gender, age, race and ethnicity to approximate the demographic characteristics of the state’s population according to the Census.
…while a GOP activist notes that the poll might reflect the passion gap between Republicans and Democrats fairly accurately.
More coming up shortly.