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October 17, 2004

Sign of Desperation?

Days after Kerry's "victory" (according to the media and the lefty blogs) in the third debate, most polls show a slight Bush lead. Nothing to get remotely complacent about - the 72 plan will not be wasted in this election - but things are feeling better than they did before the convention.

So how hard-up are the Dems for some good news?

Atrios today plugs a poll that shows Kerry up 50-47.

The latest Democracy Corps poll which just landed in my inbox has Kerry up by 3.
Democracy Corps? Who 'dat? [emphases mine]:
Democracy Corps is an independent, non-profit organization dedicated to making the government of the United States more responsive to the American people. It was founded in 1999 by James Carville, Stanley Greenberg, and Bob Shrum. Democracy Corps provides free public opinion research and strategic advice to those dedicated to a more responsive Congress and Presidency.
So perhaps the real story is that a DNC front group like "Democracy Corps", run by the likes of Shrum, Greenberg and Carville, could only gin up a three-point lead for Kerry.

And lest you were wondering:

Bob Shrum has taken a leave of absence from Democracy Corps while he is working on John Kerry’s Presidential campaign.
Of course.

Posted by Mitch at October 17, 2004 11:28 AM | TrackBack
Comments

Yay, coccooning!

"Don't get worried there, lil' ABB voter. All right thinking people will get rid of Bushitler in a couple weeks..."

Posted by: Mark at October 17, 2004 12:23 PM

Mitch: I saw that post this AM as well. When I went to the link and read the same snippet you quoted, I placed that poll in the same category (invalid outlier) as I do the Minnesota Poll.

Flash

Posted by: Flash at October 17, 2004 02:44 PM

Precisely my point, Flash.

Rational people look at this and go "enh. A rent-a-poll".

Yet Atrios (and Kos, and Willis, and so on) are huge blogs with immense, credulous readerships.

Posted by: mitch at October 17, 2004 02:53 PM

FLASH - in the distinguished JRF Poll, Bush has "surged" to an 80-20 lead!

(the JRFP, JustRand Family Poll, is conducted under the strictest polling rules...full details availble as soon as the ink dries on the rulebook)

*note: the 20% was the cat, who refused to wake up long enough to vote...so we gave it to Kerry)

Posted by: justrand at October 17, 2004 05:40 PM

I'm afraid I have to call your polling method into question, even if the ink has not yet dried. It is clear that no effort has been made to account for the dead people vote, which will almost certainly favo9r Kerry. You should be able to contact your friendly neighborhood psychic for assistance with this.

Posted by: Vexorg at October 17, 2004 07:07 PM
hi