Could it be that Kerry got no bounce at all after the convention?
...the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards trailed the Republican ticket of Bush and Dick Cheney 50% to 46% among likely voters, with independent candidate Ralph Nader at 2%.Comedians joke that it might be best to send Kerry to a spa in Sweden or something until November 3. It may be more than a joke; Kerry is so stiff and unappealing, even my Democrat friends admit (tacitly) to holding their noses when they think of voting for him.Before the convention, the two were essentially tied, with Kerry at 47%, Bush at 46%.
The change in support was within the poll's margin of error of /- 4 percentage points in the sample of 763 likely voters. But it was nonetheless a stunning result, the first time in the Gallup Poll since the 1972 Democratic convention that a candidate seemed to lose ground at his convention.
I don't pay much attention to polls, of course; if they were right, Roger Moe and Walter Mondale would be Minnesota's governor and senator, respectively.
Still, that a poll of likely voters didn't bounce at all after the convention is amazing.
Posted by Mitch at August 1, 2004 02:36 PM | TrackBack
Polls showing a loss of support: USA Today.
Polls showin a gain of support: Zogby, Rasmussen, ARG, CBS/WSJ, and Newsweek.
Odds that USA Today poll is the one correct poll in a sea of opposing polls: 0.0%$.
Posted by: Jeff Fecke at August 2, 2004 04:29 PM