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October 23, 2006

The Other Stakes

Tim "All Foley, All The Time" O'Brien of the Strib's "Blog House" says:

It's looking more and more like Republicans are going to be having a blue election day.
Well, to be fair, that was something the Strib decided on about November 3, 2004, whatever the facts were. They've tailored every aspect of their coverage, from the Minnesota Poll and their selective coverage of the candidates (again) down to...well, Blog House.

But let's discuss degrees of blue. Chris Bowers at the vacuous MyDD writes

"Even the big problems that have pushed Republican chances so low ... are not Republican 'mistakes' as such. They are instead, inherent to Republican governance now that the modern conservative movement has taken over the Republican Party and are finally being exposed by a more capable progressive opposition."
When "more capable" equals "no message", you have a pretty good summation of the Democrat party in 2006. But let's stick with Tim O'Brien's prediction: with talk like that, the Dems are going to have to deliver BIG on November 7.

If on November 8 the Dems control the House by less than 20-30 seats, or the Senate by less than 10, they will have failed. If they don't unseat Pawlenty, turn back Michele Bachmann, and get two of the three other constitutional offices, they will have failed in Minnesota.

Because any less a victory will leave Bush and Pawlenty, both, in a position to accomplish quite a lot in the next two years - and 2008 is a whole new ball game, one the Democrats seem from two years out extraordinarily ill-equipped to do much with.

Blue - the color of oxygen starvation.

Posted by Mitch at October 23, 2006 07:35 AM | TrackBack
Comments

Ah, the bitter taste of lowered expectations. Why not: "If on November 8, Nancy Pelosi can't levitate the U.S. Capitol using the power of her mind, the Democrats will have failed." I guess just showing up and losing will be a victory for the Republicans, eh?

Posted by: angryclown at October 23, 2006 08:09 AM

Clown - when did you turn into a spin doctor for Dean?

Anything less than complete control is failure.

Posted by: mitch at October 23, 2006 08:17 AM

What, that nutty scream guy? Angryclown's only allegiances are to truth, justice and the American way. But his bullsh1t detector is mightily aroused at the notion that you'll be crowing about a pretend Republican win as the Democrats caucus to appoint Speaker Pelosi.

Posted by: angryclown at October 23, 2006 08:55 AM

Pelosi on her expected accession to the Speakers' chair: "The gavel of the Speaker of the House is in the hands of special interests, and now it will be in the hands of America's children."

Yeah, baby!

Posted by: Eracus at October 23, 2006 09:45 AM

I am starting to worry about you Democrats. Seriously.

I hear constant boasts about "winning big" in November, when any rational analysis makes that uncertain, at best. You seem to be deluded by your own sense of entitlement, or your sense of your own moral and intellectual superiority, and most likely both.

I am concerned because you have so much of your self-esteem on the line. It isn't healthy.
Consider the possibilities:
-If you win big it will be only because you are willing to lie, cheat and steal to do it. What kind of victory is that? And if you don't care, what moral authority can you possibly have to preach to the rest of us?
-If you win narrowly, you will have failed to meet expectations, and support for your agenda will wither along with your ability to deliver it. Even if you "get it together," you have been so non-specific as to what your agenda is, yet set expectations so high, that you can only fail. Anything specific you have said is so impracticable as to be (hopefully) easily defeated and if not (hopefully) easily vetoed.
-The best thing you could do for yourselves and the nation would be to lose, and that your ego will simply not tolerate. Should that happen, though, the nation will avoid the disaster that your reckless and senseless policies would inflict upon us. You will then be in a position to form the "loyal opposition" and develop some real, positive alternatives for the next election. If you can.

Posted by: J. Ewing at October 23, 2006 10:09 AM

The thing we need to remember is that for the left, results don't matter as much as intent. They will win because they are the best intentioned party. Any positive is a huge victory. They can't deal with defeat, it drives them nuts. IMHO, as hard as they have worked in Minnesota, the only things close to a lock are CD-4 and CD-5.

Posted by: billhedrick at October 23, 2006 11:30 AM

I think that what people are forgetting is that, historically, the party in power almost always loses a few seats in mid-term election. So for the Dems to claim anything other than an overwhelming victory is, in fact, a kind of defeat. Gaining a few seats and calling it anything other than historical precedent is sort of like saying "See, we TOLD you that water is wet"... Add to this the fact that when Republicans lose they usually come back stronger in two years time. So one would think that with a Presidential election in two years the Dems would almost prefer to lose this round. After all, it does no good to win the battle and lose the war.

In the event that the Dems do take over either or both houses of Congress, I see one of two scenarios playing out. One is Nancy Pelosi being unable to work with Pres. Bush due to too many burned bridges. The other is that the Dems pursue "investigation and impeachment". This option would lead to charges by the Republicans that the Democrats had no plan after all, that they only wanted to "get George Bush". Either way, it would spell Republicans back in control in two years time.

As I said earlier, maybe the best thing the Dems can do is "throw the fight". Otherwise they may find out first hand that, to paraphrase football coach Bill Walsh, it's easier to get to the top than it is to stay on top...

Posted by: Just Me at October 23, 2006 01:48 PM

Gee, JustMe, investigating the Bush administration sounds like a terrible idea! We all remember what a pasting the Democrats took in 1974 and '76.

I know it's easy for you right-wing kooks to forget, but in a democracy, the side with the most votes wins.

Posted by: angryclown at October 23, 2006 01:55 PM

Unless Republicans get the most votes. Then it's a Diebold conspiracy.

Posted by: Ryan at October 23, 2006 03:34 PM

Technically, it's the side with the most /honest/ votes, or should be. Dead people, illegal immigrants, and people that vote 10 or 12 times should not determine the "winner."

Posted by: J. Ewing at October 23, 2006 03:35 PM

Actually, Clown, there are several instances in American politics where the person with the most votes did not win, especially if one looks at the American presidency.

Posted by: Just Me at October 23, 2006 03:37 PM

AC's understanding of history only goes back to 2005, if that.

Posted by: Ryan at October 23, 2006 03:58 PM

JustMe blathered: "Actually, Clown, there are several instances in American politics where the person with the most votes did not win, especially if one looks at the American presidency."

I will not listen to you slandering our president, JustMe. Bush won the 2000 election fair and square, 5 to 4.

Posted by: angryclown at October 23, 2006 04:58 PM

[niggling, pointless comment expunged by blog owner]

Posted by: ted at October 23, 2006 06:18 PM
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