Shot In The Dark: Pack It In, Hatch

September 18, 2006

Pack It In, Hatch

The latest Minnesota Poll shows Mike Hatch and Governor Tim Pawlenty tied:

Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Attorney General Mike Hatch are entering the fall campaign facing an electorate evenly divided on their candidacies for governor, according to the latest Star Tribune Minnesota Poll.

Of course, according to the Strib Minnesota Poll, we sent Ann Wynia to the Senate in 1992, picked Skip Humphrey for governor in 1998, and Fritz Mondale to the senate and Roger Moe as governor in 2002. Simple fact; you need to give Republicans an extra 6-9 points over whatever the Minnesota Poll says.

It it's so unreliable, it's actually reliable.

The Pawlenty campaign awaits the truly big news; Jeff Fecke's prediction. They're praying he gives Hatch the nod...

Posted by Mitch at September 18, 2006 04:45 AM | TrackBack

Comments

Sorry, Mitch. I predicted Pawlenty would win this race back in December of '05, and I haven't moved off of that. This race will be close, but I still give TPaw the edge.

FWIW, though, this tracks with every other poll that's come out in the past few weeks, which have all shown the race within 1-2%.

Posted by: Jeff Fecke at September 18, 2006 07:26 AM

And "every poll" has pretty consistently underrepresented Republicans by 3-5 points, when viewed via actual election results.

However, your 12/05 pick IS troubling, and I suspect a payoff from Hatch.

Come clean, dammit!

Posted by: mitch at September 18, 2006 07:50 AM

I have this strange, niggling distrust of polls published by the local Newspaper of Record.
I don't know why...

Posted by: Kermit at September 18, 2006 10:56 PM