So AmmoDumpGate has been discredited, probably fatally. John Kerry either knew that before his ad buy referencing the story went on the air (and if he didn't, the stupidity involved beggars logic).
So why run with it?
Via commenter MWB, Three Rounds Brisk has an idea:
There was thought to be over 600,000 tons (via Belmont Club) of conventional munitions/explosives in Iraq before we ever invaded. The use of scavenged weapons for constructing IED's is undoubtedly a serious threat in Iraq...but why the frantic effort to exploit this story, in the face of its contested veracity, now? The Kerry ad referenced above is implicit:Paranoid? Maybe - but not implausible.
"The kind used for attacks in Iraq, and for terrorist bombings."
The U.N. snapped the ball but it sure looks like friendly MSM and the Kerry campaign had the play early. Why?
Kerry can't give reasons to vote for him, so he attacks. That's traditional - almost reflexive in fact, at this stage of Democrat campaigns. They don't have another DUI story, the ANG line has been flogged to death, and this damned economy hasn't crumbled in the face of $55.00 a barrel crude. This does have all the hallmarks of an October surprise. Did Kerry's people bother to ask themselves why they got handed this story now?This is not to say Kerry is complicit in a terrorist conspiracy.
Syria's Assad knows that he's on G.W. Bush's to-do list for the next administration. He also has an ambassador in that august body. Not too long ago he had a non-voting position on the security council. He also hosts Hamas and Hizbollah in downtown Damascus. The U.N. knows that coalition access to Syrian dumps, and the Bekka Valley in Lebanon, will answer a whole lot of questions about Iraq's WMD programs.
The elections in Spain were derailed by targeted bombings that occurred three days before the ballots were cast.
My conclusion: The chances of us being bombed on Friday or shortly thereafter have increased dramatically. And if we are bombed, we'll see RDX/HDX or derivative materials used in the weapons.
You can buy RDX off the shelf anywhere in the world. You can identify the compound in hours. I wonder how long to determine the manufacturer, if it is even possible to do?
This is to say that it doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that right now would be a great time to launch an attack to try to influence the election, if you're a terrorist or a client state. If you're Assad, Zarquawi, Bin Laden (assuming he's alive), Arafat or Kim Jong-Il, you have reasons to prefer Kerry to Bush. And if you're Kerry - well, you have to take the breaks you're dealt, right?
May as well be ready, just in case, right?
Nothing to lose, after all...Posted by Mitch at October 27, 2004 06:50 AM | TrackBack