shotbanner.jpeg

October 11, 2004

Five Points

The latest WaPo poll shows the President up by five points among likely voters.

Good news?

I don't know. After Memogate and Newsweek's Incredible Swinging Sample - which showed the President 11 points ahead after the GOP convention with an oversample of Republicans, dropping to a three point Kerry lead with a significant oversample of Democrats right after the first debate; perhaps a coincidence, but if I were a Kerry sympathizer in the media who wanted to puff up Kerry's reputation as a "Closer", it's be a fine way to start.

Too cynical? I'm starting to think that if you're not cynical about the media, you're not paying attention.

Posted by Mitch at October 11, 2004 12:19 AM | TrackBack
Comments

Huh. 'Cause the latest Zogby tracking has Kerry by 3.

Looking at the polls as an aggregate, this election remains essentially tied.

Of course, if one looks at the Rule of Incumbents, a tie is very good for Kerry and very bad for Bush.

But we shall see.

Posted by: Jeff Fecke at October 11, 2004 01:41 PM
hi