301-237?

According to CNN, if the election were held today Bush would win, and win big.

Quite a sea of red, there - and of the blue states, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Minnesota are all very much in play at the moment (as are Colorado, New Mexico and Florida, in some polls). That's a potential swing of 52 "Blue" votes and 41 "Red" votes, giving Bush at least some cushion, if the poll is accurate (always the key caveat).

A separate Florida poll conducted September 18 to 21 by Quinnipiac University showed Bush ahead of Kerry, 49 to 41 percent, among registered voters.

But the most movement has taken place this week in New Hampshire and Iowa, two states where voters got to know Kerry early during the race for the Democratic nomination.

Several new polls show Bush posting sizable gains in both states -- especially Iowa, where the president led Kerry by 6 points in a new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll. A survey conducted in late August showed Kerry with a 6-point lead in the Hawkeye State.

Iowa, Wisconsin and Missouri going Bush, with Illinois, Minnesota, Oregon and even New York uncomfortably close?

While the news is encouraging, remember (assuming you're a Bush supporter) that it's just a poll. We can lose this election. It's up to you to get out and volunteer.

More on that in coming weeks...

Posted by Mitch at September 24, 2004 03:53 AM | TrackBack