At the Minnesota State Fair this last few days, we were astounded by the numbers.
Not just the numbers of people - in fact, our little corner of the fair, on Judson by the International Bazaar, was actually kind of a calm backwater, compared to the Midway or Dan Patch Avenue.
But the numbers we noticed were the buttons, T-shirts, caps and bags with logos for the various presidential campaigns.
Our poll was completely unscientific, of course - but we saw at least five or six pieces of Bush/Cheney paraphernalia for each piece of Kerry/Edwards swag.
Is that because we were at the Patriot booth? Maybe to some extent; certainly the audience that gathered around the Patriot studio was largely there because they agreed with our message.
But we were counting people walking by at random on Judson, too - and there's no reason to think they were skewed toward one party or another. They were random passers-by...
...and they were overwhelmingly wearing Bush/Cheney gear.
I'm not the only one noticing, of course. Lori Sturdevant writes (emphasis mine):
"The DFL booth has the best crowds I've seen in a lot of years," [U of M Poli Sci prof and everyone's local political expert D. J.] Leary said as moms pulling kids in wagons and elderly people pushing walkers entered from several sides. "There have been years when this booth might have been surrounded by crime scene tape, for all the interest it drew.So it's not just me."I tell my DFL friends, that's the good news. The bad news is, the crowd at the Republican booth is just as big."
On Carnes Avenue, people were filing into the small, narrow GOP booth as steadily as if it were a cheese curd stand, and leaving with lots of Bush/ Cheney buttons on their shirts and in their hands.
A few streets away, a smaller crowd cooled off -- or, depending on their predilection, heated up -- by watching anti-John Kerry attack ads in the Republican National Committee's 18-wheeler, Reggie the Registration Rig.
If one counts the pro-Bush display at the Minnesota Taxpayers League's Grandstand table, the president's reelection effort is a State Fair triple threat. The polls might still show Kerry with a small lead in this state. But by my fair reckoning, he has some catching up to do.
Both booths were crowded, indeed. And here I'm going to swerve into my own observations; while the DFL booth was busy both times I walked through, the people seemed to be regulars; I didn't get the impression that there were lots of new faces in the booth. Besides me.
The GOP booth felt like it had an energy about it; people had a spring in their step, an optimism in the air that seemed (to my admittedly-biased ears) lacking in the DFL booth.
Speaking of things that I wasn't the only one to notice - it was fascinating to see Safire arrive at this conclusion (again, I'm adding the emphasis):
The Labor Day Bush trend (which could, by the nature of swing voting, be reversible) has Democratic politicians between dismay and panic. As usual, they are crying foul at a veterans group's answer to Kerry's blunder of running on his Vietnam war and anti-war record. As insiders shake up the staff, outsiders pre-emptively lay the basis for post-election excuses, positioning themselves for embittered told-you-so's.Posted by Mitch at September 6, 2004 03:54 AM | TrackBack
Wow, thanks for pointing that out, Mitch. I've been saying that for weeks, even in comments hereabouts, I believe.
My powers of mind-reading are not limited to Democrats, however. I'm about to make a major breakthrough in the canine kingdom.
Posted by: Brian Jones at September 6, 2004 09:11 AMI spent 11 days at the KY State Fair National Horse Championshio show. Bush buttons was very much more being worn than Kerry If I had to guess it was at least 6-1 but more likely it was higher than that
Posted by: Bowling at September 6, 2004 09:27 AMBowling - Cool! But it's fair (ahem) to say that Kentucky's pretty safe for Bush.
The cool part about our observation is that Minnesota has voted Democrat for the past 32 years. We were the only state to vote for Mondale in '84, for crying out loud. And yet Bush and Kerry are statistically tied today in Minnesota, and the GOP base is *incredibly* energized. Our volunteers outnumber their volunteers - and not by a piddly margin.
Brian - Breakthrough? I'll await the update...
Posted by: mitch at September 6, 2004 10:14 AMOne of the truly odd moments I experienced at the fair: Passing by the DFL and Labor booths on the way to the Wonders of technology building, my son and I were amused to hear a really, really bad rendition of CSN&Y's "Ohio" coming from that direction - my son said "That's GOT to be karaoke!" and I just nodded. "You'd think they'd get a new song. It's been 36 years," I replied. "And they say we're the ones living in the past!"
Posted by: Kevin at September 6, 2004 02:48 PMReporting back: Sorry, the canine mind has proven too complex, and I have been unable to read it much past the usual "food sleep humping."
I'll have to stick with the relatively simpler Democrat mind, which operates on a single wavelength nowadays: hatred of GW Bush; and is thereby a much simpler read.
Posted by: Brian Jones at September 7, 2004 01:16 PM