Kaus on Cook

When, oh, when, will Mickey Kaus install permalinks?

Because storiesl ike this are too good to have to scroll down for:

ABC's "contest to lose" blooper was explicitly based on Cook's incumbents-never-win-the-undecideds analysis. Today Cook declares

[I]n the absence of some major external event or a monumental screwup by Bush or Kerry in this fall's presidential debates, neither candidate is likely to build a significant, sustainable lead.

Why do we think that this CW is any more true than the "contest to lose" CW? Isn't it possible that, in the teeth of media resistance, Bush will build a small-but-significant lead (absent some huge setback on Iraq or the economy)?

That's been one of the mantras the Dems, especially my old compadre Slash the Spin Tivo, have been falling back on; ChallengerGetsTheUndecidedsChallengerGetsTheUndecidedsChallengerGetsTheUndecidedsChallengerGetsTheUndecideds, like a good Catholic spitting out the rosaries.

Now - what?

And now with talk of turmoil in the Kerry Kamp...

These are going to be eight of the most interesting weeks ever.

Posted by Mitch at September 1, 2004 05:15 AM | TrackBack