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November 09, 2002

And So It Begins -

And So It Begins - Maybe - According to the Jerusalem-based DEBKA defense news website, US, British, Iranian, Turkish and Jordanian Special Forces are already in combat not only in Northern Iraq, but in the southeast, attempting to set up Iraqi opposition and secure the oilfields to thwart a repeat of Hussein's arson campaign of 1991.

. The US-led assault force has two primary missions:

A. Within the 60 days assigned to the UN inspectors for completing their report, the troops aim to assert military control over all southeastern Iraq up to the Iranian frontier including the Hawr al-Hammar lake and marshes. They will encircle the great oilfields of Khozistan, but stay outside. This mirrors the situation established earlier in northern Iraq, where US, British, Jordanian, Turkish and Iranian special forces present since April have taken control of much of the region, but came to a standstill at the gates of the two oil cities of Kirkuk and Mosul.

US-led allied forces are under orders to skirt Iraq’s northern and southern oilfields for two reasons: One, their capture would nullify the UN oil-for-food program that requires Iraq to pump oil according to a quota. Two, it could goad Saddam to extreme reprisals such as using his weapons of mass destruction against the assault troops or blowing up wells.

B. When completed, the attacking force’s capture of southeast Iraq, on top of its extensive control of territory in the north and west (along the Jordanian border), will transform the political-military balance. US and allied forces will have caged Saddam Hussein, his family, the ruling Baath and the armed forces in the central region, cornering them in the cities of Baghdad and Tirkit and cutting them off from access to the oilfields. Saddam will be dispossessed of his sole source of revenue for keeping the Iraqi army fighting.

How reliable is DEBKA? Read it, and I'll let you be the judge.

However - if it's true, it's very similar to what I was saying a while ago.

Well, one part, anyway.

Posted by Mitch at November 9, 2002 10:04 PM
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