{"id":83757,"date":"2022-11-02T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-11-02T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=83757"},"modified":"2022-11-02T05:54:04","modified_gmt":"2022-11-02T10:54:04","slug":"peaking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=83757","title":{"rendered":"Peaking?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Yesterday was a big day in polling for MN Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Top of the order &#8211; Real Clear Politics&#8217;s polling summary shows Scott Jensen behind, still &#8211; but the second most-improved of the GOP hopefuls:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"646\" height=\"553\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-83758\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image.png 646w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-300x257.png 300w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-350x300.png 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 646px) 100vw, 646px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s over the previous two weeks &#8211; and it was the best performance of a number of underdog Republican gubernatorial candidates.  As <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalreview.com\/2022\/11\/how-the-campaigns-are-breaking-entering-the-final-week\/?utm_source=recirc-desktop&amp;utm_medium=article&amp;utm_campaign=river&amp;utm_content=native-latest&amp;utm_term=second\">Dan McLaughlin said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>In the gubernatorial races, the Wave Surfers are Christine Drazan, Kari Lake, Joe Lombardo, Stitt, Derek Schmidt, and Tim Michels. Maybe you could persuade me with one more poll to slide Scott Jensen into this bracket.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>And its been 16 years since <em>that&#8217;s <\/em>been said out loud. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Later in the day? I suspect some interns were soundly thrashed when the news came out:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-2-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-83760\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-2-1024x768.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-2-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-2-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-2-1536x1152.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-2-400x300.png 400w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-2.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Wilson up five over Blaha, with plenty undecided, but Biden underwater in Minnesota and momentum apparently moving the other way? Fingernails will be chewed.  But it could be worse. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the big news:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-1-1024x768.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-83759\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-1-1024x768.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-1-768x576.png 768w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-1-1536x1152.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-1-400x300.png 400w, https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image-1.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Courtesy KSTP-TV<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>GOP Attorney General candidate Jim Schultz up by nearly double the margin of error, with barely enough undecideds to swing the race to Ellison if they <em>all <\/em>joined him (ignoring the MOE for a moment). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As to the Governor&#8217;s race? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Survey USA, which had Jensen down 18 points two months ago,  currently has him&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">KSTP\/SURVEYUSA: MN Gov. Tim Walz continues to lead his race against Republican Scott Jensen, 51% to 43% with just 4% undecided. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fYxhZYpRRF\">pic.twitter.com\/fYxhZYpRRF<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Tom Hauser (@thauserkstp) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thauserkstp\/status\/1587565575366221825?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 1, 2022<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8230;down eight.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m not going to claim SUSA is biased in the same way I showed the Star Tribune Minnesota Poll was.  Clearly the methodology differences between SUSA and the Trafalgar Poll a few weeks back are pretty immense, and it&#8217;ll be interesting, to say the least, to see how this shakes out over the next week.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday was a big day in polling for MN Republicans. Top of the order &#8211; Real Clear Politics&#8217;s polling summary shows Scott Jensen behind, still &#8211; but the second most-improved of the GOP hopefuls: That&#8217;s over the previous two weeks &#8211; and it was the best performance of a number of underdog Republican gubernatorial candidates. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[427,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83757","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-22","category-minnesota-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83757","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=83757"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83757\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83761,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83757\/revisions\/83761"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=83757"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=83757"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=83757"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}