{"id":26039,"date":"2012-02-07T10:00:52","date_gmt":"2012-02-07T16:00:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=26039"},"modified":"2012-02-07T05:35:04","modified_gmt":"2012-02-07T11:35:04","slug":"where-used-car-salespeople-fear-to-tread","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=26039","title":{"rendered":"Where Used Car Salespeople Fear To Tread"},"content":{"rendered":"

Say what you will about the Minnesota Poll and the Hubert H. Humphrey poll. \u00a0As bad, inaccurate, DFL-biased and seemingly-rigged as both are<\/a>, they both actually release their cross tabs – such as they are.<\/p>\n

So far.<\/p>\n

With the WaPo’s new practice of\u00a0sitting on the data for their polls<\/a>\u00a0– which, naturally, show that Barack Obama has bounced back – I don’t expect that to last for long.<\/p>\n

Ed Morrissey wrote about the new practice:<\/p>\n

More importantly, though, the poll series has dropped its reporting of partisan identification within their samples.\u00a0 It\u2019s the second time that the poll has not included the D\/R\/I split in its sample report, and now it looks as though this will be policy from this point forward.\u00a0 Since this is a poll series that has handed double-digit partisan advantages to Democrats in the past (for instance, this poll from April 2011 where the sample only had 22% Republicans), it\u2019s not enough to just hear \u201ctrust us\u201d on sample integrity from the Washington Post or ABC.<\/p>\n

One cannot determine whether Obama\u2019s improvement in this series is a result of the State of the Union speech, as Dan Balz and Jon Cohen suggest, or whether it\u2019s due to shifting the sample to favor Democrats more so than in previous samples.\u00a0 The same is true for the Post\u2019s report that Obama \u201cfor the first time has a clear edge\u201d over Romney head-to-head.\u00a0 One would need a poll of registered or likely voters to actually make that claim (one has to register to cast a vote, after all), and one would need to see the difference in partisan splits between this and other surveys in the series to determine whether the movement actually exists or got manufactured by the pollster.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Expect the effort to get Obama re-coronated to result in the extinction of whatever passes for “Journalistic Standards” in the polling industry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Say what you will about the Minnesota Poll and the Hubert H. Humphrey poll. \u00a0As bad, inaccurate, DFL-biased and seemingly-rigged as both are, they both actually release their cross tabs – such as they are. So far. With the WaPo’s new practice of\u00a0sitting on the data for their polls\u00a0– which, naturally, show that Barack Obama […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,130,125],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-media","category-tc-media-bias","category-the-great-poll-scam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26039","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26039"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26039\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26070,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26039\/revisions\/26070"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26039"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26039"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26039"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}