Usual disclaimers about “the only poll that counts is on November 3  inserted here.
But pessimist that I am, I really didn’t see this coming
KSTP/SURVEYUSA: Tina Smith 43%; Jason Lewis 42%; 12% undecided; 3% people other. Confidence Interval +/- 5%. Smith had 11-point lead in September and 7-point lead earlier this month. pic.twitter.com/mX91q0MI6X— Tom Hauser (@thauserkstp) October 21, 2020
Polls finding more-likely voters, ones who’ve actually been paying attention?
I’ve heard more than a few fellow D-list pundits exclaim disbelief at “12% undecided”. I’m going to chalk that up to some misdirected Pauline Kael syndrome, from people who “write”/tweet about politics constantly, thinking everyone is the same as they are. Smith has tried hard to follow A-Klo’s model of being innocuous and invisible. We’ll see if it works.
Lewis beating the Butcher Of Vandalia would be an early Christmas present.
 And, let’s be honest, as we saw in 2008 and 2010, it still may not count, really, but let’s try not to go completely down the rabbit hole.