Unintended Consequences of Witchhunts

In the previous two postings, I wrote about the dangers of facile populism and the “Evita” phenomenon (people valuing charisma over results).

Last week, of course, the most immediate and least-rhetorical danger of Obama’s policies – scapegoating, simplistic appeals to mob passion via a one-party Congress – will have to our society; immense economic dislocation:

The dangerous consequences of slapping punitive taxes on Wall Street bonuses are becoming clearer in the ashes of Washington’s AIG bonfire.President Obama and cooler Senate heads must apply reason amid hysteria to avoid damaging the economies of New York and America.

The tax plan approved by the House as revenge against a handful of obscenely greedy AIG executives would slam tens of thousands in the financial industry, many of them New Yorkers, who have nothing to do with AIG or any other wrongdoing.

And that would be just start of the collateral damage.

The levies are so draconian that major banks that took bailout money are threatening to give it back – defeating the purpose of jump-starting the economy with an influx of cash.

Businesses with so-called TARP money in their accounts would also be put at a great competitive disadvantage to firms that have none. Those include foreign banks that will poach top Americans with higher pay.

One the great dangers of the current wave of populist scapegoating is the idea that CEOs don’t deserve all the money that many of them get; many float the fiction that Japanese CEOs get a vastly smaller multiple of workers’ salaries than they do in the US (it’s partly true, partly derived due to different means of measuring compensation,and partly due to the sampling on boths sides of the Pacific).  Many CEOs fail, of course – the chief executives of AIG, Fred, Fannie, Bear Stearns, Citibank and many others might deserve some scrutiny.  But the idea that the Chief Executive Officer of a publicly-held corporation is a simple job requiring no more talent than any other employee has is lunacy; running a company in a competitive market is like Alec Baldwin’s scene in Glengarry Glen Ross; “‘re adding a little something to this month’s sales contest. As you all know, first prize is a Cadillac Eldorado. Anybody want to see second prize? [Holds up prize] Second prize is a set of steak knives. Third prize is you’re fired.”  And not just you, but dozens, hundreds, thousands of others.

I used to think people couldn’t appreciate good CEOs until they saw a bad CEO.  Now, I’m starting to think most of the opinionmakers (to say nothing of the mob) are either so insulated from the world of business, or just ignorant of it, that they are impossible to teach.

As the financial capital of the world, New York would take the hardest hit. The city and state stand to lose millions in needed tax revenues.

The bill passed by the House of Representatives would essentially confiscate bonuses paid out by firms that have accepted $5 billion or more in bailout funds – a category that includes major employers such as Citigroup, JPMorganChase, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.

Let’s not forget – bonuses aren’t just for execs: lots of people get ’em.  They’re one of the key motivators for many people far from Mahogany Row.  The phrase “…we’ve paid 15% bonuses the last four years” has turned many a job interview into a hot pursuit:

Last year in New York, 168,000 workers collected bonuses – ranging from top execs to receptionists. Many would see their incomes evaporate, barring a wholesale change in the way banks pay their people.

Also caught in the whirlwind is General Motors. Does it makes sense, as blogger Nate Silver asked, to take the bonus of an engineer who dreams up an energy-saving car? No. Meanwhile, Merrill Lynch bonuses are exempt because they were paid before Jan. 1.

No matter.  The mob must be appeased.  The mob, in this case, is the “best and brightest” that we send to DC:

It’s insane that New York officials, including Rep. Charles Rangel and Sen. Chuck Schumer, have joined the mob. A better example was set by Staten Island Rep. Michael McMahon, one of only six Democrats who had the courage to vote no in the House.

Populist outrage is the opposite of the “nuance”.

So what major industry are you willing to do without to satiate the mob?

3 thoughts on “Unintended Consequences of Witchhunts

  1. The most depressing part of the idiocy is the distraction from the real issues.

    A million dollars will fit in an aluminium briefcase, like the Bad Guys use on TV. You can carry it under your arm.

    A billion dollars is 1,000 million, so it’s 1,000 briefcases. 30 billion dollars is 30,000 briefcases. That’s how much bailout money went to AIG. You don’t carry 30,000 briefcases under your arm, that’s 3 semi-truck loads.

    So the semi-truck driver and his buddies were hired to load 30,000 briefcases into their semis – by hand – and make deliveries all over Hell and gone. They wanted a little something for their trouble. The dock foreman said “Okay, each of you can grab a couple cases off the back of the truck but keep it quiet. I’ll clear it with the boss.” The dock foreman got the accounting office to add a note to the Bill of Lading saying “driver bonus approved.” The driver and his buddies threw 165 briefcases in his pickup and delivered the rest of the briefcases, promptly and reliably.

    Now the owner’s wife found out and is screaming about it. And her idiot nephew who thinks he should be running the company, and some of the customers, and the guy running for mayor – they’re all insanely furious about the 165 briefcases. The boss, naturally, says he knew nothing about it, he signed the Bill but he never read it. The foreman says he didn’t approve inserting the bonus into the Bill, or maybe he did, or maybe it was an accounting office goof-up.

    So they’re calling for the police to confiscate the pickup load of briefcases, the bonus that the driver was promised when he took the job.

    Look – I don’t give a crap about whose fault it is, or who got a pickup load of briefcases. What I want to know is . . . where are the 3 semi-trucks?

    Where are the other 29,835 briefcases, each containing $1,000,000?

    What the Hell happened to the rest of my money?

    .

  2. There are posters up around the U of M promoting a Socialist gathering. It’s interesting that almost every speaker is a government employee. People out in the real world know better.

  3. nate,

    AIG has had 17 truckloads of briefcases since the whole bailout fiasco started last year. The truck drivers were going to get less than 1/10th of 1 percent.

    The misdirection of UNrighteous indignation is stunning. The last 40 years of liberal control of the public education system is finally showing an ROI for all their hard work. They have cultivated a nation of politically and economically illiterate sheeple. (that was #10 of the 10 planks of the Communist Manifesto, btw…)

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