The “bad” news? While the GOP thrashes its way through an uncommonly-gnarly primary battle, the Obamessiah’s poll numbers look rosy in Minnesota:
President Barack Obama holds a comfortable lead in Minnesota over all the Republicans seeking the GOP nomination, according to a new survey from…
The better news? It’s just…
….Public Policy Polling.
…whose results always give Democrats a couple of unearned points. Not sure how, and I’m not saying they’re as bad as the Minnesota or Humphrey Polls, but the skew seems to have been consistent. As much time as I spent tracking the one-sided inaccuracy of media polls last year (pointing out the disgraceful long-term pro-Democrat biases of the Humphrey and Strib polls), I’ll be doing even more this year.
Although Obama’s advantage over rivals such as Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich has fallen since last May, the president still holds an edge over the two current front-runners for the Republican nod among voters in Minnesota, the poll found.
All the usual disclaimers apply; it’s early, the GOP has no unified candidate and is stuck in intra-party squabbling (as we should be!), and the poll is getting media placement mainly to try to demoralize Republicans and prepare the ground for Democrat GOTV efforts, and likely as not there’s a systematic bias.
Against Romney, 51 percent chose Obama compared to 41 percent for Romney, the same margin by which Obama beat John McCain in 2008, the pollster notes. Obama holds a 15-point lead over Gingrich, 54 percent to 39 percent, and a 12- and 13-point lead over Rick Santorum and Ron Paul, respectively.
Nothing new here. Carry on. .
Anyone who thinks Obama won’t win Minnesota has been living a a cave for the last six years.
I was polled about the caucus earlier this evening. I am still undecided, I might have been a Newt supporter however, his attacks on Romney over Bain Capital and having a swiss bank account have turned me off. Plenty to attack Romney on without resorting to class envy.