Predictions

You got Strom’s predictions. Now it’s my turn.

  • Senate: A-Klo probably wins, but it’s going to be a lot closer than the pundits wanted it to be.
  • MN CD1: Gutknecht in a tight squeaker.
  • MN CD2: Kline is going to beat Rowley like it’s a prison shower-room beat-down. Ten points at least.
  • MN CD3: Ramstad by twenty.
  • MN CD4: The MFT Betty “Rubble” McCollum will beat Obi Sium by around 20, 15 if we’re lucky. But it’ll be a first step in breaking the DFL’s hegemony in the Four. Will the CD4 GOP be smart enough to get the message?
  • MN CD5: Ellison 45, Fine 25, Lee 20, Greens and other hamsters divvy up the rest.
  • MN CD6: Bachmann by eight.
  • MN CD7: Peterson by a jillion.
  • MN CD8: I haven’t followed this one. I suspect habit-prone Rangers will return porkmeister Oberstar for his 200th term, but I’m ripe for a surprise.
  • Governor/Loot Governor: Pawlenty/Molnau by four.
  • Attorney General: In a tribute to the influence of the media and Minnesotans’ short attention spans, Lori Swanson will win by five. More’s the pity; Johnson’s got my vote. I’m hoping for a surprise.
  • Secretary of State: There’s some talk that this could be the upset race, with Kiffmeyer losing to foamy-mouthed Mark “Not Married To Madonna” Ritchie. I certainly hope not.
  • State Auditor: Anderson by ten.
  • Hennepin County Sheriff: Stanek will swarm on this race – twenty points, I bet. When even the City Pages is on your side, and you’re a Republican, you really have conquered the world. Or at least Henco.
  • Ramsey County Sheriff: Tougher call. I give the nod to the incumbent, Fletcher.
  • US House: The Dems should gain 15 seats. 20 at the outside, far short of the 50 that would make this the real second-midterm victory they should have expected.
  • US Senate: The GOP will retain a 1-2 seat lead, far short of the four-seat deficit they should have gotten, which would constitute the lower threshold for a Dem “victory”.

I’m off to the polls now. See you on the Patriot this evening!

I don’t take these predictions all that seriously, and either should you. I’ll pants the first person to wag their finger in my face and say “ha ha” if I’m wrong. It’s really not that big of a deal.

But given my ’04 record, who knows?

4 thoughts on “Predictions

  1. Got to agree with you on your senate prediction Mitch. If the Democrats don’t win the Senate by at least 654 seats it will be considered a horrendous defeat. They should disband as a party.

  2. A-Klo by nearly 20, Walz by 5, McCollum by nearly 40 (!), Otto by 10… hope you didn’t have money on these, Mitch. 🙂

  3. I’m Norwegian and Scottish. Money is to be hoarded.

    Yeah, I got a few of the races wrong. But how about that Bachmann result? Dead-on!

  4. True, true. With Bachmann, Pawlenty, and Kline y’all didn’t have such a bad night.

    I must need more Scottish blood, because I tend to spend all my money.

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