{"id":8813,"date":"2010-02-23T13:00:24","date_gmt":"2010-02-23T18:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=8813"},"modified":"2010-07-07T20:02:51","modified_gmt":"2010-07-08T01:02:51","slug":"homey-dont-play-fences","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=8813","title":{"rendered":"No Fences"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Derek &#8220;Chief&#8221; Brigham over at Freedom Dogs has taken <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freedomdogs.com\/news-archive-mainmenu-2\/114-elections\/4295-conservative-bloggers-emmer-or-seifert.html\">an unscientific (!!!) poll of Minnesota conservative bloggers<\/a>\u00a0for the gubernatorial race. \u00a0Unsurprisingly, Tom Emmer won, bigtime.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m listed under the &#8220;Has a candidate, but isn&#8217;t spilling it publicly yet&#8221; category, along with David Strom, Margaret Martin and Sue Jeffers. \u00a0 The fact is, with the departure of Dave Hann from the race, I <em>am <\/em>leaning in one direction &#8211; but I&#8217;m not going to say which one yet.\u00a0 Partly because, hello, I&#8217;m a schmuck blogger and nobody cares what I think.\u00a0 Partly because it&#8217;s early, and I could still change my mind, depending on how this session goes.\u00a0 And partly because, hello, do I want to get the other candidate&#8217;s people cheesed off at me so they&#8217;ll never appear on the NARN again?<\/p>\n<p>And mainly because the fact is, whichever one wins the nomination, I&#8217;ll back him 100%, along with pretty much the entire MNGOP slate.\u00a0 While I&#8217;ve never considered myself a straight ticket voter, the only DFLers I&#8217;ve been able to justify voting for since the mid-nineties have been Norm Coleman and Randy Kelly.\u00a0 As to the Independence Party?\u00a0 Get serious.\u00a0 Jim Gibson&#8217;s Senate candidacy was the only IP bid I&#8217;ve ever considered voting for (and I didn&#8217;t; Rod Grams needed my vote more).\u00a0 The GOP, imperfect as it is, is the only party in Minnesota that covers most of what I believe in <em>and <\/em>has any impact on the way this state is run (shaddap, Constitution Party).<\/p>\n<p>Over on Facebook, a DFL-leaning lobbyist asked what kind of record conservative bloggers have at predicting general elections.\u00a0 The answer is &#8220;none&#8221;; we&#8217;re not the general public.<\/p>\n<p>What it <em>does <\/em>predict, I think, is a spirited endorsement process and State Convention, the kind that&#8217;s going to lead to a <em>much <\/em>better GOP effort in the fall.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Eight years ago, MNGOP establishment candidate Tim Pawlenty had lukewarm support from a conservative wing that&#8217;d been ignored for decades, but which was gaining power.\u00a0 Their candidate, Brian Sullivan, ran a highly successful insurgency, driving the final convention race out to 560 ballots over the course of 467 straight hours of voting at the 2002 MNGOP convention; he only clinched the nomination when he took the Taxpayer&#8217;s League&#8217;s &#8220;No New Taxes&#8221; pledge, promising to spend his term(s) as a fiscal hawk &#8211; something that&#8217;d never have happened without the Sullivan challenge.\u00a0\u00a0 Would Brian Sullivan have won the general election had he gotten the nomination?\u00a0 We&#8217;ll never know; conventional wisdom was that he was &#8220;too conservative&#8221;, but Roger Moe was a bit of a stiff, and probably a lot more vulnerable than the keepers of the &#8220;conventional wisdom&#8221; want to admit.\u00a0 But in a sense he, and his supporters, <em>did <\/em>win; their insurgency pushed Pawlenty to adopt a key piece of Sullivan&#8217;s platform, in a sense perhaps the <em>most <\/em>important one.<\/p>\n<p>This year?\u00a0 The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.minnesotademocratsexposed.com\/2010\/02\/22\/mngop-delegate-count\/\">delegate count is shaping up pretty tight <\/a>so far, although there&#8217;s a long, long way to go.\u00a0\u00a0 Emmer&#8217;s done a good job of staying in front of the Tea Party, but Seifert&#8217;s organization is a formidable one.<\/p>\n<p>The point being that, from where I sit, either Seifert, the establishment candidate, or Emmer the conservative firebrand, will make a better governor than <em>any <\/em>of the vacuous hamsters the DFL is putting forward.\u00a0 And an imperfect &#8220;good enough&#8221;, whether it&#8217;s an imperfect conservative (who&#8217;s been driven to the right by the Tea Party and an Emmer push) or an unrepentant Conservative (who&#8217;s got the whole MNGOP working for him) is going to be better than any of the alternatives.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Derek &#8220;Chief&#8221; Brigham over at Freedom Dogs has taken an unscientific (!!!) poll of Minnesota conservative bloggers\u00a0for the gubernatorial race. \u00a0Unsurprisingly, Tom Emmer won, bigtime.\u00a0 I&#8217;m listed under the &#8220;Has a candidate, but isn&#8217;t spilling it publicly yet&#8221; category, along with David Strom, Margaret Martin and Sue Jeffers. \u00a0 The fact is, with the departure [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[60,72,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-10","category-mngop","category-republicans"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8813","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8813"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8813\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11875,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8813\/revisions\/11875"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8813"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8813"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8813"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}