{"id":87328,"date":"2024-04-12T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-04-12T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=87328"},"modified":"2024-04-11T13:26:38","modified_gmt":"2024-04-11T18:26:38","slug":"good-generic-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=87328","title":{"rendered":"Good Generic News"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A new KSTP\/SUSA polls says Minnesota voters aren’t enthralled with “the Trifecta<\/a>“:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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When likely voters were asked if they\u2019re \u201cgenerally more inclined to vote\u201d for a Republican, Democrat or candidate from another party, 45% said they prefer Republicans, 44% prefer Democrats, 8% were undecided and 3% preferred another party.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Minnesota Republicans are taking encouragement from this – as they should. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The same poll shows Trump and the First Potato in a dead heat:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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According to our latest exclusive KSTP\/SurveyUSA poll of Minnesota voters, Biden leads Trump 44% to 42%, with 11% saying they\u2019ll vote for another candidate and 4% undecided. The poll has a credibility interval, similar to margin of error, of \u00b14.9%<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhen you have a 2-point race in a presidential year, you\u2019ve got a competitive state,\u201d Carleton College political analyst Steven Schier said. \u201cOne that both campaigns will probably pay attention to.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

I’d urge a little caution along with the exuberance:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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  • See that11% “Other Candidate” and 4% in the Presidential poll (and 11% between “Other” and “Undecided” in the House race)? I’m going to guess that, among the Legal Pot and Libertarian and Ventura Party dross, that involves a lot of “Uncommitted” DFLers. Democrat intraparty squabbling is like a couple of bull hogs fighting for the best patch of mud – but being essentially herd animals, Democrat voters almost always “come home”. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • The numbers in the House poll refer to generic Republicans versus generic Democrats. It’s contingent on coming up with candidates who are better <\/em>than generic. There is a strong undercurrent in the MNGOP of the same crowd that made Matt Gaetz and Marjorie Tayor Green into powerbrokers. Someone needs to teach some <\/em>Minnesota GOP voters what legislatures are for. On the other hand, it shows that for exceptional candidates – people cut from the same cloth as Harry Niska, Eric Lucero, Pam Scott, Walter Hudson and Mary Franson – there is immense opportunity. <\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • The Conventional Wisdom in 2016, when Trump came without two points of toppling Hillary!, was that Trump didn’t “almost win”; Hillary!, being a terrible candidate, almost lost<\/em>. We’ll see if Trump has increased his cachet, <\/em>but it’s entirely possible the First Potato is a worse candidate than Hillary! was. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Still, two years into the “trifecta”, we’ve had worse news. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Let’s try not to screw this pooch, MNGOP. <\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    A new KSTP\/SUSA polls says Minnesota voters aren’t enthralled with “the Trifecta“: When likely voters were asked if they\u2019re \u201cgenerally more inclined to vote\u201d for a Republican, Democrat or candidate from another party, 45% said they prefer Republicans, 44% prefer Democrats, 8% were undecided and 3% preferred another party. Minnesota Republicans are taking encouragement from […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[425,72,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-87328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-24","category-mngop","category-republicans"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87328","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=87328"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87328\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87329,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/87328\/revisions\/87329"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=87328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=87328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=87328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}