{"id":81081,"date":"2022-03-09T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-09T17:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=81081"},"modified":"2022-03-08T06:06:50","modified_gmt":"2022-03-08T12:06:50","slug":"whats-ukrainian-for-motti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=81081","title":{"rendered":"What&#8217;s Ukrainian For <i>Motti<\/i>?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>History is full of parallels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trying to use them to predict the future is a fool&#8217;s errand.  It almost never works. . <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Almost.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But huimans instinctively seek out patterns; it&#8217;s evolved into our brain; it&#8217;s a survival mechanism.  We see things that belong together.  We find Waldo. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And the historically parallels with Finland&#8217;s 1940 &#8220;Winter War&#8221; (<em>Talvesota<\/em>) against the USSR are hard to ignore. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One Finnish historian runs down the comparisons in this long, but utterly worth-reading, Twitter thread:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What strikes me in the Kremlin&#39;s invasion of Ukraine are the similarities to the Winter War (1939-40) against Finland. However, I&#39;m afraid the end result could be similar as well &#8211; but it doesn&#39;t need to be. A THREAD.<\/p>&mdash; Janne M. Korhonen is moving to BSky &amp; LinkedIn! (@jmkorhonen) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jmkorhonen\/status\/1498989078649389059?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 2, 2022<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalreview.com\/2022\/03\/stalins-winter-war-of-1939-40-offers-hope-to-ukrainians\/#slide-1\">John Fund<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>No one disputes that Russia dwarfs Ukraine\u2019s military \u2014 just as the Soviet forces dwarfed Finland\u2019s in 1939. In 2020, Russia spent ten times more on its military than Ukraine did.<\/p><p>Nonetheless, historian William Farley recently wrote, \u201cthe Winter War offers a hopeful lesson for Ukraine, in that it is possible for a smaller country to badly bloody Russia\u2019s nose.\u201d<\/p><p>Robert Service, a veteran historian of Russia at Stanford\u2019s Hoover Institution, told the Wall Street Journal\u2019s Tunku Varadarajan that he thinks the Ukrainians could well lose the war eventually. But he finds it inconceivable that they will accept subjugation. \u201cThe Ukrainians have become more nationally conscious over the 20th century, and they\u2019re a proud people who\u2019ve seen what happened to them when they were subjugated by the U.S.S.R.,\u201d he noted. \u201cThey had it in the early 1930s, when millions died under Stalin\u2019s famines. They had it again in the late 1940s, after the war ended. I don\u2019t think they\u2019re going to let history repeat itself.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Finland had one advantage the Ukrainians don&#8217;t &#8211; most of its frontier with Russia was dense, wooded <em>Taiga<\/em>, broken up by swampty <em>motti <\/em>that made movement of any kind difficult.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine?  It&#8217;s got distance &#8211; some, anyway &#8211; and cities, which favor the defender in other ways &#8211; ways that Russia isn&#8217;t above solving with high explosives, which have their own political and military disadvantages.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>History is full of parallels. Trying to use them to predict the future is a fool&#8217;s errand. It almost never works. . Almost. But huimans instinctively seek out patterns; it&#8217;s evolved into our brain; it&#8217;s a survival mechanism. We see things that belong together. We find Waldo. And the historically parallels with Finland&#8217;s 1940 &#8220;Winter [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[131],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-81081","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-war-and-peace"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81081","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=81081"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81081\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81082,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81081\/revisions\/81082"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=81081"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=81081"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=81081"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}