{"id":75727,"date":"2020-10-28T11:00:36","date_gmt":"2020-10-28T16:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=75727"},"modified":"2020-10-28T09:46:14","modified_gmt":"2020-10-28T14:46:14","slug":"fearless-prediction-8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=75727","title":{"rendered":"Fearless Prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Star-Tribune &#8220;Minnesota&#8221; poll coming out on Sunday will show Biden with an absurdly large lead in Minnesota. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>12 points?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>18 points?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Eleventy-Teen Points?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Doesn&#8217;t matter.  The poll will make Minnesota look like a dead lock for Biden and the DFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Because as I&#8217;ve shown in the past, the closer a race actually is, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=15172\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"15172\">bigger the margin the Strib <em>always <\/em>shows for the DFL right before the election<\/a>.   It creates &#8211; accidentally or by design (you know where my money is) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=16522\">it creates a &#8220;bandwagon effect&#8221;, causing less-zealously partisan voters to stay home if they think &#8220;their&#8221; candidate has no chance<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So &#8211; how do we know the race in Minnesota actually <em>is <\/em>close?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s how. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Sources confirm that <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@realDonaldTrump<\/a> is likely coming to Rochester on Friday.<\/p>&mdash; Blois Olson (@bloisolson) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bloisolson\/status\/1321455751920058369?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">October 28, 2020<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Some say Minnesota is Trump&#8217;s &#8220;great white whale&#8221; &#8211; his ego would be fed by flipping Minnesota for the first time in almost fifty years.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps.  I don&#8217;t think there&#8217;s any reason ego <em>and <\/em>opportunity aren&#8217;t at work, here.  <\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Star-Tribune &#8220;Minnesota&#8221; poll coming out on Sunday will show Biden with an absurdly large lead in Minnesota. 12 points? 18 points? Eleventy-Teen Points? Doesn&#8217;t matter. The poll will make Minnesota look like a dead lock for Biden and the DFL. Because as I&#8217;ve shown in the past, the closer a race actually is, the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[369,13,367],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-75727","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-20","category-republicans","category-trump"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75727","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=75727"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75727\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":75728,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/75727\/revisions\/75728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=75727"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=75727"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=75727"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}