{"id":74854,"date":"2020-07-31T05:06:00","date_gmt":"2020-07-31T10:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=74854"},"modified":"2020-07-31T06:11:19","modified_gmt":"2020-07-31T11:11:19","slug":"blue-fragility-numbers-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=74854","title":{"rendered":"Blue Fragility:  Numbers Game"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Liberals keep haranguing us about Covid numbers, comparing New York to Florida, Minnesota to Wisconsin. They want us to believe open states fare worse than closed states. I don&#8217;t believe the numbers Liberals use are apt comparisons.<br><\/p><p>Covid kills old people. It&#8217;s reasonable that places with more old people would experience more Covid deaths. Raw number of deaths, and deaths-per-million-of-total-population, don&#8217;t take into account how many of the population are old enough to be at-risk (leaving aside the fact nobody believes the reported death numbers). You have to look at the at-risk populations to see how various states are doing.<\/p><p>There are 5,800,000 people in Wisconsin, 16.5% of them over-65, for a pool of 957,000 at-risk seniors, of which 906 have died of Covid.\u00a0 That gives Wisconsin an at-risk death rate of 0.094%<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>There are 21,500,000 people in Florida, 21% of them over-65, for a pool of 4,515,000 at-risk seniors, of which 6,100 have died of Covid. That gives Florida an at-risk death rate of 0.135%.<\/p><p>There are 5,600,000 people in Minnesota, 16.3% of them over-65, for a pool of 912,800 at-risk seniors, of which 1,600 have died of Covid.\u00a0 That gives Minnesota an at-risk death rate of 0.175%.<\/p><p>There are 19,500,000 people in New York, 17% of them over-65, for a pool of 3,315,000 at-risk seniors, of which 32,700 have died of Covid. That gives New York an at-risk death rate of 0.986%.<\/p><p>Minnesota&#8217;s results are twice as bad as Wisconsin&#8217;s (17 to 9). <\/p><p>New York&#8217;s results are SEVEN TIMES as bad as Florida&#8217;s (98 to 13).<\/p><p>Among the at-risk population, open states have decisively better results.<\/p><p>That&#8217;s a story that needs better telling.<\/p><p>Joe Doakes<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>That&#8217;s been the case since the beginning of this plague:   &#8220;Blue State&#8221; pundits, pols and Karens have been predicting perdition for uppity square-staters with the fervor of Pentecostal ministers. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The comparison is less and less inapt every day.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Liberals keep haranguing us about Covid numbers, comparing New York to Florida, Minnesota to Wisconsin. They want us to believe open states fare worse than closed states. I don&#8217;t believe the numbers Liberals use are apt comparisons. Covid kills old people. It&#8217;s reasonable that places with more old people would experience more Covid deaths. Raw [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[416,51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-covid19","category-liberal-tyranny"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74854","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=74854"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74854\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":74855,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/74854\/revisions\/74855"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=74854"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=74854"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=74854"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}