{"id":73777,"date":"2020-04-07T05:00:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-07T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=73777"},"modified":"2020-12-21T05:39:25","modified_gmt":"2020-12-21T11:39:25","slug":"modeled-to-death","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=73777","title":{"rendered":"Modeled To Death"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>Minnesotans know from experience that computer models are not perfect predictors. Every winter, the weatherman tells us, &#8220;We&#8217;re tracking a storm out of the Rockies that could bring between 2 inches and 9 feet of snow, depending on which direction the storm tracks.&#8221; We don&#8217;t shut down schools and churches and businesses Just In Case the worst case cenario might arrive. We wait to see and adjust our plans as better data becomes available.<br><br>I wonder if the reason we&#8217;re cowed by the COVID computer models is because we&#8217;ve been indoctrinated to believe that people in white lab coats know more than we do, so we should suspend critical thinking and trust them implicitly? I suspect that&#8217;s why presenters in television commercials and the cosmetic saleswomen at Dayton&#8217;s wore lab coats.<br><br>When the storm fails to appear, the weatherman doesn&#8217;t claim to have saved all our lives with his storm advisory. We know that&#8217;s bunk. There was no storm, he was Chicken Little.<br><br>If the virus storm fails to appear, I doubt Governor Walz will be as humble.<br><br>Joe Doakes<br><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Invoking &#8220;Science!&#8221; (without the including the data to allow critical thought and analysis by those equipped to do so) or its weasel cousin the &#8220;evidence-based&#8221; argument is certainly a form of logrolling.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Minnesotans know from experience that computer models are not perfect predictors. Every winter, the weatherman tells us, &#8220;We&#8217;re tracking a storm out of the Rockies that could bring between 2 inches and 9 feet of snow, depending on which direction the storm tracks.&#8221; We don&#8217;t shut down schools and churches and businesses Just In Case [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[416,2],"tags":[423],"class_list":["post-73777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-covid19","category-minnesota-politics","tag-the-endless-emergency"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=73777"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73777\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":73781,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73777\/revisions\/73781"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=73777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=73777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=73777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}