{"id":49132,"date":"2014-11-18T09:35:54","date_gmt":"2014-11-18T15:35:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=49132"},"modified":"2014-11-18T09:36:03","modified_gmt":"2014-11-18T15:36:03","slug":"demographics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=49132","title":{"rendered":"Demographics"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0Democrats are fond of claiming that demographics favor them; that as America becomes less white, it’ll become more Democrat.<\/p>\n

That presumes two things, of course; that\u00a0 the GOP never changes, and that demographic groups never change.<\/p>\n

The first is always an open, entertaining question.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The latter?\u00a0 This past election put that in question<\/a>, at least among Latino and Asian voters:<\/p>\n

2. Hispanics represented 8 percent of voters in 2014 and 10 percent in 2012, and those percentages will rise. But they\u2019re not unanimously Democratic. They voted 62 percent Democratic in House elections this year, but that figure was buoyed by the nearly 40 percent of Hispanics who voted in heavily Democratic California, New York, and New Jersey. Hispanic Democratic percentages were significantly lower elsewhere, including Texas, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, and Colorado.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

And the reasons?<\/p>\n

Well, they’re pretty much exactly what some of us on the right have been saying:<\/p>\n

Evidence suggests that gentry-liberal causes \u2014 abortion absolutism, gun control, and opposition to fracking \u2014 have been repelling rather than attracting Hispanics. Polls also show they\u2019re more interested in jobs and education \u2014 and dissatisfied with Democrats\u2019 performance \u2014 than in immigration, on which they are miffed at both parties.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

And Asians – who are stereotyped as people who value free markets and the ability to be entrepreneurs?<\/p>\n

3. Asians, 3 percent of the electorate, have been oscillating wildly in exit polls: 73 percent to 26 percent for Obama in 2012, 50 percent to 49 percent for House Republicans in 2014. These may be small and unrepresentative samples. But note that California Asians squelched an attempt by gentry liberals, Hispanics, and blacks to overturn the state\u2019s voter-imposed ban on racial preferences in higher education.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

It remains to the GOP to give Latinos and Asians a better option – as opposed to anger at Obama’s broken promises – to turn this into a trend.<\/p>\n

I give it 50-50.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0Democrats are fond of claiming that demographics favor them; that as America becomes less white, it’ll become more Democrat. That presumes two things, of course; that\u00a0 the GOP never changes, and that demographic groups never change. The first is always an open, entertaining question.\u00a0 The latter?\u00a0 This past election put that in question, at least […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16,24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49132","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-conservatism","category-culture-war"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49132","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=49132"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49132\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":49191,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49132\/revisions\/49191"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=49132"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=49132"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=49132"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}