{"id":48216,"date":"2014-10-17T14:11:50","date_gmt":"2014-10-17T19:11:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=48216"},"modified":"2014-10-17T14:29:07","modified_gmt":"2014-10-17T19:29:07","slug":"three-shockers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=48216","title":{"rendered":"Three Shockers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Three new polls indicate that the &#8220;good year for the GOP&#8217; might not stop at the Saint Croix:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>As I <a title=\"The Unthinkable\" href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=48153\">noted <\/a>yesterday, an internal poll conducted by Tarrance for the GOP shows <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scribd.com\/doc\/243229207\/Tarrance-Group-Memorandum-on-New-Poll-in-7th-CD-October-15\">Torrey Westrom leading 434-term congressman Colin Peterson in the 7th CD <\/a>by a point, 44-43, with 13 percent undecided.\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>A GOP internal poll from POS shows Da<a href=\"http:\/\/politics.mn\/2014\/10\/16\/gop-poll-tight-race-for-secretary-of-state\/\">n Severson up by two points over Steve Simon in the Secretary of State race <\/a>&#8211; a result that I <a title=\"The Incredible Imploding Steve Simon\" href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=48074\">reported as rumor, but a likely one with a high degree of confidence, <\/a>earlier in the week.<\/li>\n<li>Biggest of all, perhaps?\u00a0 A KSTP\/SUSA poll shows Stewart Mills, the GOP challenger in the 8th CD, <a href=\"http:\/\/kstp.com\/news\/stories\/s3592855.shtml\"><em>crushing <\/em>DFL incumbent Rick Nolan 47\/39<\/a>, with a Greenie clocking at 4%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The first two are, of course, internal polls.\u00a0 It&#8217;s possible they&#8217;re self-serving &#8211; although generally the parties are paying good money for the internal polls, and want them to be accurate.\u00a0 They are, of course, intended to start a &#8220;bandwagon effect&#8221;, convincing voters who are inclined to be friendly that their support can be rewarded, and likely opponents to stay home and avoid the futility.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Sort of like the DFL, ABM and mainstream media (ptr) have been doing to make DFL wins feel inevitable.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Three weeks &#8217;til the election?\u00a0 This is huge.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Also &#8211; with the Democrats pulling their money out of Kentucky and Colorado, look for Al Franken to get a wad of cash, as Democrats around the country start to realize Senator Smalley is a lot more vulnerable than the local media let on.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Three new polls indicate that the &#8220;good year for the GOP&#8217; might not stop at the Saint Croix: As I noted yesterday, an internal poll conducted by Tarrance for the GOP shows Torrey Westrom leading 434-term congressman Colin Peterson in the 7th CD by a point, 44-43, with 13 percent undecided.\u00a0 A GOP internal poll [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[121,72],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48216","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-14","category-mngop"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48216","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48216"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48216\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48220,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48216\/revisions\/48220"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}