{"id":38588,"date":"2013-09-25T12:05:17","date_gmt":"2013-09-25T17:05:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=38588"},"modified":"2013-09-25T11:23:48","modified_gmt":"2013-09-25T16:23:48","slug":"filibuster-notes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=38588","title":{"rendered":"Filibuster Notes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As this is written, Ted Cruz is still filibustering.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>A couple of observations.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>On the one hand<\/strong>, a\u00a0friend of mine &#8211; a disaffected Republican and Ron Paul supporter &#8211; snarked something like &#8220;Hey, Ted Cruz is filibustering Obamacare!\u00a0 Western Civilization will be saved!\u00a0 Oh, wait &#8211; no, we&#8217;re still screwed&#8221;.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>So let me get this straight; when <em>some <\/em>people launch quixotic grandstanding windmill-tilts against big government, taxation, spending and creeping statism, it&#8217;s a statement of rock-solid principle, but when others do it for the same reasons, it&#8217;s snark-fodder?\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll have to chew on that one for a while.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Grandstanding<\/strong>:\u00a0 As Michael Medved pointed out yesterday, the filibuster <em>is<\/em>, tactically, pointless.\u00a0 The Senate &#8211; and its majority of Democrats &#8211; will support the President.\u00a0 Period.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Politically?\u00a0 Medved among others also had a point:\u00a0 Obama <em>wants <\/em>the government to shut down.\u00a0 He benefits when he (and a compliant media) can pin pain on smaller government.\u00a0 And while the sequester was a complete squib for him, a shutdown <em>would <\/em>provide an endless parade of calumny for the media, his Praetorian Guard, to force-feed the &#8220;for the children&#8221; voter segment.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And that&#8217;s not the only reason a shutdown benefits Obama.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Great Diversion<\/strong>:\u00a0 Think about it.\u00a0 Obama&#8217;s been in office almost five years.\u00a0 What does he have to show for it?<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>An economy that is creating nothing but part-time jobs (unlike all previous recoveries &#8211; a sort of economic,ex post facto&#8221;Berg&#8217;s Seventh Law&#8221;).<\/li>\n<li>Thousands of American guns sent across the border to the <em>narcotraficantes<\/em>, resulting in the deaths of American cops and Mexican children.<\/li>\n<li>Four Americans dead in a terrorist attack, who had the misfortune to be attacked in a place that apprently was serving as a hand-off point for a black-bag weapons-smuggling operation sending arms to a movement that is rapidly being taken over by Al Quaeda &#8211; leading to a year worth of stonewalling that looks more and more like a coverup.<\/li>\n<li>The Middle East is in worse shape than it&#8217;s been since the 80s, and our stature in the world has shrunk since Dubya left office.<\/li>\n<li>And a bold trip to where even Nixon never went; the Obama Administration appears to have used the IRS to stifle conservative political dissent.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>And even if you get all of those out of the way, what is Obama left with?\u00a0 Obamacare &#8211; a law with some popular provisions that needed to happen via one mechanism or another (portability, dealing with pre-existing conditions) but is, as a package, about as popular as mandatory ice-water enemas.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>What would better serve Obama&#8217;s purposes than to divert attention away from <em>everything he and his Administration have done<\/em>?<\/p>\n<p>A government shutdown, I suspect, strikes this blog&#8217;s audience (as it does me) at first blush as a great idea.\u00a0 But it plays right into Obama&#8217;s hands.<\/p>\n<p>So Cruz should stop filibustering and take a nap &#8211; right?<\/p>\n<p><strong>But Not So Fast<\/strong>:\u00a0 As we\u00a0 noted earlier this morning, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=38577\">Americans <em>are <\/em>fundamentally conservative<\/a>.\u00a0 They don&#8217;t identify with the GOP at the moment &#8211; at least in part because the mainstream GOP, the Beltway GOP of the consultants, doesn&#8217;t reflect the conservative principals that Americans support.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And they didn&#8217;t last year &#8211; which was why conservatives stayed home on election day, handing another term to Obama.<\/p>\n<p>The Tea Party wave of 2010 went back underground.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>But it&#8217;s still out there.\u00a0 The Gallup and Rasmussen polls show it.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>And while Ted Cruz&#8217; filibuster isn&#8217;t going to defund Obamacare, and it&#8217;d probably be a very bad idea to let it shut down the government, it <em>could <\/em>be &#8211; if the GOP is smart enough, and I have doubts about that &#8211; a key step toward doing something that all of the GOP consultants in the Beltway can&#8217;t do and don&#8217;t really want to; mobilize the vast unwashed base of Tea Party conservatives, people who don&#8217;t like to identify as Republicans\u00a0 but see perfectly well that Obama and our idiot Congress have us on the road to Palookaville.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As this is written, Ted Cruz is still filibustering.\u00a0 A couple of observations.\u00a0 On the one hand, a\u00a0friend of mine &#8211; a disaffected Republican and Ron Paul supporter &#8211; snarked something like &#8220;Hey, Ted Cruz is filibustering Obamacare!\u00a0 Western Civilization will be saved!\u00a0 Oh, wait &#8211; no, we&#8217;re still screwed&#8221;.\u00a0 So let me get this [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[121,187,25,13,73],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-14","category-campaign-16","category-history-and-its-making","category-republicans","category-western-civilization"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38588","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=38588"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38588\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38591,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38588\/revisions\/38591"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=38588"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=38588"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=38588"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}