{"id":31489,"date":"2012-10-30T12:28:21","date_gmt":"2012-10-30T17:28:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=31489"},"modified":"2012-10-30T12:29:36","modified_gmt":"2012-10-30T17:29:36","slug":"the-map","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=31489","title":{"rendered":"The Map"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So let&#8217;s indulge in that most pointless of diversions, trying to predict the Electoral College.<\/p>\n<p>Here &#8211; with the help of the good folks at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.270towin.com\/\">270ToWin.com<\/a> &#8211; is the media and Democrats&#8217; (ptr) conventional wisdom; Obama holds Ohio and the rest of the blue Great Lakes states, and ekes out 271 electoral votes &#8211; in this case, 277-261.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?attachment_id=31491\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31491\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-31491\" title=\"1 - MediaCW\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/1-MediaCW-300x200.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/1-MediaCW-300x200.png 300w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/1-MediaCW-447x300.png 447w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/1-MediaCW.png 781w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>And if Obama loses Ohio? \u00a0That inverts nicely: \u00a0Romney 279, Obam 259.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?attachment_id=31492\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31492\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-31492\" title=\"2 - OHFlip\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/2-OHFlip-300x209.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"209\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/2-OHFlip-300x209.png 300w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/2-OHFlip-429x300.png 429w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/2-OHFlip.png 766w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>(Note that I&#8217;m assuming Colorado and New Hampshire vote Romney in both scenarios. \u00a0I think they will).<\/p>\n<p>So what about if Obama takes Ohio, but loses Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Colorado? \u00a0Romney 271-267.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?attachment_id=31493\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31493\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-31493\" title=\"3 - WIFl;ip\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/3-WIFlip-300x212.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"212\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/3-WIFlip-300x212.png 300w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/3-WIFlip-424x300.png 424w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/3-WIFlip.png 751w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Now &#8211; how about the perfect Republican storm, all full of challenger-breaking independents and cascading preferences? \u00a0If Romney takes Ohio\u00a0<em>and\u00a0<\/em>Wisconsin, and somehow hell freezes over and Minnesota goes red?<\/p>\n<p>Romney 305-233?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?attachment_id=31490\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-31490\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-31490\" title=\"4 - All\" src=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/4-All-300x208.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/4-All-300x208.png 300w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/4-All-430x300.png 430w, http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/4-All.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Well, it&#8217;s fun to think about<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So let&#8217;s indulge in that most pointless of diversions, trying to predict the Electoral College. Here &#8211; with the help of the good folks at 270ToWin.com &#8211; is the media and Democrats&#8217; (ptr) conventional wisdom; Obama holds Ohio and the rest of the blue Great Lakes states, and ekes out 271 electoral votes &#8211; in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-12","category-geekery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31489","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31489"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31489\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31498,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31489\/revisions\/31498"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31489"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31489"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31489"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}