{"id":30720,"date":"2012-09-26T06:30:17","date_gmt":"2012-09-26T11:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=30720"},"modified":"2012-09-26T07:36:56","modified_gmt":"2012-09-26T12:36:56","slug":"the-campaign-that-couldnt-shoot-straight-part-ii-from-the-ether","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/?p=30720","title":{"rendered":"The Campaign That Couldn&#8217;t Shoot Straight, Part II:  From The Ether"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This week, we&#8217;ve been looking at the DFL-endorsee Brian Barnes and his campaign for the MN Third Congressional District seat held by Erik Paulsen. \u00a0Yesterday we noted they bobbled a niggling but, er, Federal regulation on their new batch of lawn signs.<\/p>\n<p>Today? \u00a0We&#8217;ll get serious.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this week, the Barnes campaign sent a fundraising email to their mailing list; they just spent a\u00a0<em>ton\u00a0<\/em>of money getting a Minneapolis creative agency to produce a TV ad, and those don&#8217;t come cheap.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s fine. \u00a0Everybody does it.<\/p>\n<p>But here&#8217;s where it gets interesting. \u00a0The third paragraph in the email says (I&#8217;ve added the emphasis):<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Every dollar at this point goes toward getting our message to persuadable voters. We have been steadily closing the gap on Congressman Paulsen. <strong>We started with voters supporting Barnes 24% and Paulsen 39% in May, and we\u2019ve gained 20 points to his 8!<\/strong> In fact, he is beginning to lose voters since we\u2019ve been successfully showing voters he only talks like Jim Ramstad, but he votes more extreme than Michele Bachmann.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Let&#8217;s back that up for a moment; amid the awkward phrasing (are they claiming the race is 47-44 or not?), there are some questions.<\/p>\n<p>What polling?<\/p>\n<p>According to sources familiar with the history of the race, Barnes&#8217; former campaign manager, Tom Beckfield, last month said that there had been no polling in this race. \u00a0That&#8217;s as of August. \u00a0And we know that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, the Dems&#8217; national campaign organization and warchest, had done no polling in the 3rd CD &#8211; or at least they&#8217;d not released any into the public domain. \u00a0So if Barnes has national polls, they&#8217;re illegal.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond that? \u00a0The campaign included no polling expenditures in their <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fec.gov\/fecviewer\/CandCmteTransaction.do\">FEC reports<\/a> through July.<\/p>\n<p>But the fundraising email claims to have tracked results from May through the present. \u00a0<strong>Via what polling<\/strong>?<\/p>\n<p>The source notes that the Barnes campaign\u00a0<em>is\u00a0<\/em>doing intermal push-polling. \u00a0Are these the results that the email is trumpeting?<\/p>\n<p>Since the campaign reports no polling expenses, and the DCCC hasn&#8217;t done it, what else could it be?<\/p>\n<p>If you see Brian Barnes, ask him if you could.<\/p>\n<p>(There are times I wonder &#8211; what if we had a group &#8211; perhaps a whole industry, with printing presses and transmitters and stuff, whose job it could be to check this sort of crap out?)<\/p>\n<p>Tomorrow: \u00a0If you live in Waconia or Minnetonka, one of Barnes&#8217; staffers has something to say to you.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week, we&#8217;ve been looking at the DFL-endorsee Brian Barnes and his campaign for the MN Third Congressional District seat held by Erik Paulsen. \u00a0Yesterday we noted they bobbled a niggling but, er, Federal regulation on their new batch of lawn signs. Today? \u00a0We&#8217;ll get serious. Earlier this week, the Barnes campaign sent a fundraising [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[56,20,155],"tags":[231,162],"class_list":["post-30720","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-campaign-12","category-democrats","category-mn-congressional","tag-cd3","tag-mn-cd3"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30720","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30720"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30720\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30728,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30720\/revisions\/30728"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30720"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30720"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.shotinthedark.info\/wp\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30720"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}